2025 Bowl Projection Tracker

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gopherbadgerman said:
Hopefully the Gophers just win games and dont have to worry about what the other teams do. If MN wins out are they going to Florida? I assume 2-1 gets them to Nashville?
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If MN wins out they’re either going to Florida or the playoff

2-1 they need Michigan or Iowa to make the playoff IMO to go to Florida

2-1 PROBABLY gets them Nashville or Vegas but it’s all placements so nobody knows
 


gopherbadgerman said:
Hopefully the Gophers just win games and dont have to worry about what the other teams do. If MN wins out are they going to Florida? I assume 2-1 gets them to Nashville?
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I think the lower levels including Nashville is kinda a crap shoot.

Decisions there seem a bit of a dice game.

Illinois has an easy route so I worry they'll swoop in ahead of us.
 

DarrenTheGreek said:
Current Standings (removing former Pac12 teams as they will likely go to Pac12 legacy bowls)
Indiana 9-0
Ohio State 8-0
Michigan 7-2
Iowa 6-2
Minnesota 6-3
Illinois 6-3
Nebraska 6-3
Northwestern 5-3 (@USC, Michigan, Minnesota, @Illinois)
Maryland 4-4 (@Rutgers, @Illinois, Michigan, Michigan State)
Rutgers 4-5 (Maryland, @Ohio State, Penn State)
Penn State 3-5 (Indiana, @Michigan State, Nebraska, @Rutgers)
Michigan State 3-6 (Penn State, @iowa, Maryland)
Wisconsin 2-6 (Washington, @Indiana, Illinois, @Minnesota)
Purdue 2-7


Big Ten bowls
Citrus (Orlando, FL): Iowa and Illinois ineligible Prediction: Michigan
Reliaquest (Tampa, FL): Michigan ineligible Prediction: Iowa
Las Vegas (Las Vegas, NV): Prediction: Illinois
Music City (Nashville, TN): Iowa ineligible Prediction: MInnesota
Pinstripe (New York, NY): Nebraska ineligible...Rutgers, Minnesota, Maryland have also been within last 8 years) Prediction: Northwestern
Rate Bowl (Phoenix, AZ): Rutgers ineligible Prediction: Nebraska
Sports Bowl (Detroit, MI): Prediction: Maryland/Rutgers winner

The Maryland vs Rutgers game is significant for that final bowl spot. If Rutgers can beat Maryland and get to eligibility, the conference can make a case that they should be moved above Rate Bowl AND Pinstripe due to recent visits, giving them an "undeserved" slot in Music City. That would mean Maryland or Minnesota has to repeat at Pinstripe with the other going to Rate Bowl. Ish. I guess I'm rooting for Maryland this weekend.
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Does Vegas pick before Music City? The Las Vegas Bowl was a PAC 12 bowl prior to the new conference realignments and former PAC 12 teams still have a claim to being assigned in the former conference bowls. In some ways I wouldn't mind a rematch with CAL.
 
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TwistingMyMelon said:
Does Vegas pick before Music City? The Las Vegas Bowl was a PAC 12 bowl prior to the new conference realignments and former PAC 12 teams still have a claim to being assigned in the former conference bowls. In some ways I wouldn't mind a rematch with CAL.
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I believe Vegas picks before Music. But Music picks before Mayo. USC filled the Pac12 legacy role last year. This year it is supposed to be Pac12 vs B1G so I am assuming the Pac team will be one of the former members from BigXII or ACC
 

Some guy said:
If MN wins out they’re either going to Florida or the playoff

2-1 they need Michigan or Iowa to make the playoff IMO to go to Florida

2-1 PROBABLY gets them Nashville or Vegas but it’s all placements so nobody knows
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MN isn't making the playoff even winning out.
Oregon has zero good wins right now. They'll add some beating Iowa (which would hurt our SOR), USC, and Wash if they win, but a horrific loss to Iowa, a loss to near .500 Cal and a non-competitive one to OSU will eliminate us

The kicker would be if we made the B10 title game somehow.

The issue now is there's severe lack of H2H in comps so bowls will have full bandwidth to take whoever really. If the games go as they should, I'd guess Vegas or Music City. I don'tknow anymore which bowl was formerly named what so I just hope we don't draw another fucking MAC game and maybe it'll work out I could use it as a bullshit reason to go somewhere random lol
 


upnorthkid said:
MN isn't making the playoff even winning out.
Oregon has zero good wins right now. They'll add some beating Iowa (which would hurt our SOR), USC, and Wash if they win, but a horrific loss to Iowa, a loss to near .500 Cal and a non-competitive one to OSU will eliminate us

The kicker would be if we made the B10 title game somehow.

The issue now is there's severe lack of H2H in comps so bowls will have full bandwidth to take whoever really. If the games go as they should, I'd guess Vegas or Music City. I don'tknow anymore which bowl was formerly named what so I just hope we don't draw another fucking MAC game and maybe it'll work out I could use it as a bullshit reason to go somewhere random lol
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I agree but I also think 9-3 Minnesota would be ranked higher than you think
 

DarrenTheGreek said:
I believe Vegas picks before Music. But Music picks before Mayo. USC filled the Pac12 legacy role last year. This year it is supposed to be Pac12 vs B1G so I am assuming the Pac team will be one of the former members from BigXII or ACC
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Last season, in the Alamo Bowl (a PAC 12 bowl), the matchup was between Brigham Young and Colorado and they were both in the Big 12. So, it is possible they could take two teams from the same conference in a PAC 12 bowl.
 



TwistingMyMelon said:
Last season, in the Alamo Bowl (a PAC 12 bowl), the matchup was between Brigham Young and Colorado and they were both in the Big 12. So, it is possible they could take two teams from the same conference in a PAC 12 bowl.
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Interesting Vegas bowl matchups would be Mn vs Washington or Mn vs USC
 



 






Buck_Buchanan said:
Completely agree and wish it would cease to exist.

In addition, it's played on a field that seems to be always in horrible condition and results in significant injuries.
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What significant injuries have happened in the pinstripe bowl
 


TwistingMyMelon said:
Does Vegas pick before Music City? The Las Vegas Bowl was a PAC 12 bowl prior to the new conference realignments and former PAC 12 teams still have a claim to being assigned in the former conference bowls. In some ways I wouldn't mind a rematch with CAL.
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There's not supposed to be "picking" anymore since the B1G works with bowls to appropriately "place" teams based on fairly opaque criteria like record, match-ups, and recent appearances. There are certainly tiers of bowls and perceived prestige based on payout and conference affiliation of course.
 

Who in their right mind would want to go to New York City for a football game.? I’ve been there, it isn’t worth the time to get there.
 


The Pac12 legacy bowls, in order of selection/prestige:

Alamo (vs Big12) Colorado played in 2024, Arizona 2023, Washington 2022, Oregon 2021
Holiday (vs ACC) Wash State played in 2024, USC 2023, Oregon 2022, UCLA 2021
Las Vegas (vs B1G) USC played in 2024, Utah 2023, Arizona State 2021
Sun (vs ACC) Wash played in 2024, UCLA 2022, Wash State 2021
LA Bowl (vs Mtn West) Cal played in 2024, UCLA 2023, Wash State 2022
Independence (vs Big12) Cal played in 2023. Nobody else recently

Eligible teams (grouped by new conference)
Oregon 7-1
USC 6-2
Washington 6-2
UCLA 3-5 (Nebraska, at Ohio State, Washington, at USC)

Utah 7-2
Arizona State 6-3
Arizona 5-3 (Kansas, at Cincinnati, Baylor, at Arizona State)
Colorado 3-6 (at West Virginia, Arizona State, at K-State)

Cal 5-4 (at Louisville, at Stanford, SMU)
Stanford 3-6 (at North Carolina, Cal, Notre Dame)

Washington State 4-5 (LA Tech, at James Madison, Oregon State)
Oregon State 2-7

Assume:
A) Oregon makes the playoffs. No other teams do
B) UCLA, Colorado, Stanford will not get to 6 wins.
....then that would leave 7 teams available to fill the 6 bowls listed.
My prediction in that scenario would be:
Alamo: USC (biggest name...hasn't been there)
Holiday: Utah (best team left...hasn't been there)
Vegas: Washington (hasn't been there...but likely depends on which B1G team they'd play)
Sun: Arizona State (hasn't been there.)
LA Bowl: Arizona (hasn't been there)
Independence Bowl: Cal or Washington State (Cal was just there 2 years ago)
 

Rutgers defeated Maryland. They need to find 1 more win against Ohio State on the road or Penn State at home.

Maryland needs to find 2 wins at Illinois, Michigan or at Michigan State.

Will be tough for both
 

Unless we run the table it’ll be another shitty bowl win notch in PJ’s holster. Just look at where we rank by the different polls none think we are very good.
 


Gopherchase said:
Unless we run the table it’ll be another shitty bowl win notch in PJ’s holster. Just look at where we rank by the different polls none think we are very good.
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Cool....going to a bowl still better then not going to a bowl. 15 extra practices, fun trip for the players, chance to see the team play an extra game for the fans.

Ideally we end up with a matchup against a Power 4 school...outside of that I could really give a crap which bowl we end up in as long we are in one of them. If it isn't one of the CFP games it is just an exhibition anyway and a chance to get a jump on the following season ahead of the teams staying home for the holidays.
 

Gopherchase said:
Unless we run the table it’ll be another shitty bowl win notch in PJ’s holster. Just look at where we rank by the different polls none think we are very good.
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Even if gophers go 3-0 they are probably not going to Florida for the two second tier bowl games unless Michigan makes the playoff.

To me, there is no difference between Nashville, Vegas, New York.
Hell, I am pretty sure the conference contracts make New York the best bowl after the two Florida games.
 

DarrenTheGreek said:
Rutgers defeated Maryland. They need to find 1 more win against Ohio State on the road or Penn State at home.

Maryland needs to find 2 wins at Illinois, Michigan or at Michigan State.

Will be tough for both
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Hadn’t looked ahead, but I totally agree with that. Both probably need to be looking at the 5 win rankings posted elsewhere on this board and hoping for a Detroit trip at this point.
 

Some guy said:
Even if gophers go 3-0 they are probably not going to Florida for the two second tier bowl games unless Michigan makes the playoff.

To me, there is no difference between Nashville, Vegas, New York.
Hell, I am pretty sure the conference contracts make New York the best bowl after the two Florida games.
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Having been to the Music City bowl (the 2002 victory of Arkansas), I can tell you it's better than the lower tier options in terms of the statium, atmosophere, and the party the Bowl Comiittee puts on (I've bene to the Guaranteed Rate Bowl twice, and nver been to the Pinstripe bowl, but read accounts here about the environment or lack thereof around the game).

I'm hoping we end up in Nashville this year.
 

caliGopher said:
Having been to the Music City bowl (the 2002 victory of Arkansas), I can tell you it's better than the lower tier options in terms of the statium, atmosophere, and the party the Bowl Comiittee puts on (I've bene to the Guaranteed Rate Bowl twice, and nver been to the Pinstripe bowl, but read accounts here about the environment or lack thereof around the game).

I'm hoping we end up in Nashville this year.
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I agree there are some that are more desirable

My point is more that the placements between Nashville, New York, and Phoenix doesn’t have much to do with anything on the field

If Michigan loses two more games they’re probably pinstripe because the big ten gives that bowl what they want for some reason.
Zero losses they’re playoff and one loss they’re Florida.

If Illinois doesn’t make Florida bowl, they’re likely pinstripe.

No big ten team has ever been in the pinstripe twice as a big ten team (only Rutgers has multiple and only one time they were big ten)
 

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