2025 Bowl Projection Tracker


If I had to guess
I think you are correct.

The thing that throws it off is if Nashville or Vegas really prefers Nebraska in spite of head to head and standings

The way the teams should really be ranked for selection based on standings and head to head are:
1) Illinois
2) Minnesota
3) Nebraska
4) northwestern
5) Penn state

Amongst the 4….

Illinois 8-4 (5-4) and 1-0
Minnesota 7-5 (5-4) and 1-1
Nebraska 7-5 (4-5) and 1-2 (beat northwestern)
Northwestern 6-6 (4-5) and 2-2
Penn state 6-6 (3-6) and 1-1

Everyone beat each other…so you probably go by conference record (1) and where that is a tie you chose head to head to get the above order

Obviously it’s not a straight up draft
Agree that if Vegas gets wild and wants a Nebraska or a Penn State, it’s a problem because Rate and Stripe shouldn’t prefer us to repeat, which brings Above back into the chat! 😂😂😂
 

Agree that if Vegas gets wild and wants a Nebraska or a Penn State, it’s a problem because Rate and Stripe shouldn’t prefer us to repeat, which brings Above back into the chat! 😂😂😂
Yes. But it isn’t all bowl’s choice
Conference has a large say

The conference probably wouldn’t like a team with a winning conference record in the worst bowl
 

The one unknown is with the bowls all getting renegotiated this off-season, what is the Big Ten's preference for who they renew with? For instance, if the conference knows they're pretty much done with Pinstripe then they have no incentive to give that bowl a competitive game. But if they want to renew with Vegas then they have a lot of incentive to cater to that bowls wishes.
 

The one unknown is with the bowls all getting renegotiated this off-season, what is the Big Ten's preference for who they renew with? For instance, if the conference knows they're pretty much done with Pinstripe then they have no incentive to give that bowl a competitive game. But if they want to renew with Vegas then they have a lot of incentive to cater to that bowls wishes.

From one standpoint.....sure. From another......the Big Ten and the SEC are simply more attractive conferences to partner with......so I think the Big Ten holds plenty of cards here regardless.
 




Since these are the last projections with selection Sunday coming up, here's the tally for how many times each bowl was listed for Minnesota this season.
  • Rate Bowl: 32
  • Music City Bowl: 30
  • Pinstripe Bowl: 20
  • Sports Bowl: 18
  • Frisco Bowl: 3
  • Las Vegas Bowl: 3
  • Armed Forces Bowl: 1
  • Birmingham Bowl: 1
  • Citrus Bowl: 1
  • Gator Bowl: 1
 

The one unknown is with the bowls all getting renegotiated this off-season, what is the Big Ten's preference for who they renew with? For instance, if the conference knows they're pretty much done with Pinstripe then they have no incentive to give that bowl a competitive game. But if they want to renew with Vegas then they have a lot of incentive to cater to that bowls wishes.
B1G should just make their own bowl games….
 








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