Don't know where the point spread will be, but at the midway point...
Iowa's punting game is rated #1 in the B1G, but Gophers are actually 4th. But Iowa has punted 47 times, the Gophers only 27 times. Iowa uses the punt as a field position dagger better than anyone ...
In kickoffs, Iowa ranks 1st, Gophers are 2nd. Tie. Dragan effect.
Both teams have good FG kickers.
In kickoff and punt returns, however, Iowa ranks 4th in the B1G with, among other things, a 70 yard punt return for a TD (to win a game). Minnesota, of course--because more games are lost than won--ranks a solid 14th in the B1G in kickoff and punt returns.
On defense, Iowa isn't quite as dominant as in the last few years, but it is still quite effective. It allows 325.6 yards per game versus the Gophers' 373.2 per game. Sacks and interceptions are actually about equal for Minnesota and Iowa's defenses. Here are the differences: Iowa is 7th in the B1G for completion percentage allowed; Gophers are 14th. Iowa is 2nd in B1G for yards allowed per completion (4.9 yards); Gophers are 14th (7.9 yards). But the capper is scoring: Iowa defense allows 14.9 points per game; Minnesota allows 26.7. Overall, Iowa's defense is rated 4th in the B1G (behind PSU, Mich and OSU) and Gophers defense is rated ... 14th.
On offense, the Iowa--Minny game is the "Toilet Bowl." Iowa has the 14th ranked offense in the B1G; Minnesota is ranked 13th. The Gophers score 21.7 points per game; Iowa scores 20.9. Both have anemic passing games: Iowa is 14th with 116.6 yards per game, and the Gophers are 13th with 132.8 yards. Our rushing game, however, has been considerably better than Iowa's (180.5 yards/game to 130.9 yards/game). Minnesota has allowed only 8 sacks; Iowa (with one more game played) has allowed 13. Minnesota has thrown 7 interceptions in 5 games; Iowa has thrown 5 interceptions in 6 games. One key stat: Iowa has fumbled 6 times on rushing attempts (includes QB sacks); Minnesota has only fumbled 2 times.
So, the game should be a very interesting chess match. Certainly a chance for the Gophers to win, probably with our running game featured, as the game should be low scoring. Iowa will try to score early and then squeeze the life out of us, using superior defense and special teams. The team that can get an explosive play or two might well win on that basis. Just like last year ... and the year before. Gophers are 0-2 on the road this year ...
Go Gophers!