If you take the last 4 in, 1st Four out, and next 3 out according Lunardi they are as follows in order of best shape
San Diego State
Illinois
Washington
Ole Miss
Arizona State
Memphis
Rhode Island
Seton Hall
Dayton
Mississippi St
GOPHERS
Only 4 of those teams are making it. Illinois is safely in now. So I would say there's 3 spots left. ASU, Memphis, Seton Hall, all are done and can't improve so eliminate them. That leaves 8 teams for 3 spots.
Hope for Ole Miss to lose, they are right now, they would move down. Hope for Dayton to lose to Xavier. They would conceivably be eliminated. Hope for Florida to beat Miss St that would eliminate them. New Mexico to win would damage SDSU's chances.
So what Im trying to say is that a win over Michigan State and we are in good shape.
San Diego State
Illinois
Washington
Ole Miss
Arizona State
Memphis
Rhode Island
Seton Hall
Dayton
Mississippi St
GOPHERS
Only 4 of those teams are making it. Illinois is safely in now. So I would say there's 3 spots left. ASU, Memphis, Seton Hall, all are done and can't improve so eliminate them. That leaves 8 teams for 3 spots.
Hope for Ole Miss to lose, they are right now, they would move down. Hope for Dayton to lose to Xavier. They would conceivably be eliminated. Hope for Florida to beat Miss St that would eliminate them. New Mexico to win would damage SDSU's chances.
So what Im trying to say is that a win over Michigan State and we are in good shape.