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Yikes. The one thing Washington does well is rebound, especially on the offensive glass. It is, um, sub-optimal to lose your top defensive rebounder.

Generally? Yes. Not a guarantee at all. I think it was Nebraska a few years ago that didn't get in with a winning league record, but the resume based on quads was poor. Right now, MN is 1-4 in Q2 and 0-2 in Q3. Kills the chances.

Without a win at Michigan, I’d take that bet.

The committee doesn't look at conference record. One of the stats they do look at is "wins above bubble", and that one doesn't look good for the Gophs, who currently sit at -3.7. The way this stat works, for example, is if the Gophs won at Michigan, they'd pick up 0.95 WAB; if they lose, they...

There is always variation in performance from game to game. I was going write a dissertation here, but suffice to say that that MN had an 87% chance of winning before the MD game, but there's always that 1 in 8 shot that does happen for the opponent (or poor performance for the favorite) In this...

Mick Cronin is in the same vein, and also a shorty

The Gophs are #357 in pace out of 365. That is a conscious choice to try and preserve the energy of a short rotation (btw, CSU was in the high 200s under Niko, so he already coaches deliberate pace, but not this deliberate). The upside of that is that it tends to keep you in ballgames against...

on Torvik, it goes like this: MD - favored by 11.9, 87% chance to win @Wash - underdogs by 5, 30% chance to win - people may not understand that the Huskies are not the analytics cellar-dweller of last year - they're ranked ahead of the Gophs despite the identical conference record @Ore -...

I decided to watch the clip, and it wasn't what I thought it'd be. He was trying to make an argument that the Summit League representative will deserve better than a 16 seed (especially if the regular-season champ loses in their conference tourney, i.e. if GB happens to win). One of his more...

Au contraire, mon frere. See below for an excerpt from the official link NCAA selection criteria Men’s Tournament Key Metrics Used: NET Rankings (NCAA Evaluation Tool). Quadrant Wins and Losses (more details below). Results-based metrics (Wins Above Bubble, KPI and Strength of Record): These...

My Finn friend who grew up in the Keewenaw Peninsula of the UP always just said it means persistence - which seems a bit more concise, if less colorful.

Yep. Torvik has a stat called F.U.N. (fortune unexplained by numbers) and the Gophs rank #346. MSU's real not-so-secret ingredient is rebounding. They are #6 at offensive rebounding, which atones for their pedestrian shooting numbers. They are also #1 at defensive rebounding. They also have...

I just wanted to compliment you on the buckets that you put all the teams into at the beginning of the year with not that much to go on. I'd only question one or two of them, and they're borderline (e.g. moving UCLA at the barn into the 50/50 bucket, and/or swapping the home and away Indiana...

Can you honestly say it was the wrong decision? Plus, there were a lot of people on this site - well, maybe it was one poster who liked to post the same thing over and over and over again - who felt he wasn't going to be much because he didn't think Trevor was much either. Even after his...

Janicki's ok?

Counting Michigan as an only-water state is a bit misleading - short bridges over rivers in at least 3 spots that I know of (Detroit, Port Huron, and Sault Ste. Marie) - can't do that in either OH or PA. And there are border waters in at least NY and MN, if not more. Another trivia question you...

That's an interesting question. They have talent, experience, and a proven coach, so you would think the answer is no. However, they went 0-5 against non-cupcakes (all top 50-ish, though only one of those was at home) and still have a "neutral" in Portland against Gonzaga this weekend. Their top...

You should watch the video before talking smack like this. You'll see what I mean,

That wasn’t *just* an airballed FT - I’ve never seen that before, and it makes me wonder if it was for the gamblers…

I don't think it's a horrible idea from a basketball standpoint - desperate times and all that. If he can play at this level, it's probably as a scout teamer and end of the rotation 10-minute guy. That's not nothing, but it won't meaningfully change the team's fortunes at this point.