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The biggest issue is his resume for me. I just don't think it happens very often that a guy who wasn't able to hold his own at a P5 after transferring up is star material at a different P5. UNC wasn't *that* talented last year, despite their reputation. If he were just filling a supporting cast...

Fran’s teams were generally good to very good on offense, but bottom of the barrel on defense. He would routinely put the 5 best offensive players on the floor and ignore defensive liabilities altogether. This is objectively supported by his teams’ analytics over the years. McCollum’s teams...

The league does give you a bunch of Q1/Q2 games - that's true. But if you don't have a "scalp" from the noncon, your margin for error in the conference season dwindles. For example, if the Gophers win at Missouri, that goes a long way on a resume. Losing that game? Hardly any effect. There's a...

This #140 ranking is an over-rank in my opinion. No offense to SS - he laid out his criteria and followed it. But the Gophs benefit in this methodology significantly despite having only one Q1 opponent and then 3 neutral Q2s. Theoretically, a team with 4 Q1s would be ranked identically, even...

#73 is still the 16th team in the league. The first 15 teams are in the top 57, and 7 are in the top 25 (if you're wondering - Rutgers and PSU are behind). All of those fanbases think they'll do as well or better, too, because ... well, because. These preseason ranks are so much more of a...

For the record, I didn't have any disagreements towards you, nor was I arguing that there would no longer be players redshirting. But, a player who does redshirt (for non-health reasons) seems an unlikely future contributor. Again, a proven commodity from the portal > a maybe guy who might...

P5 playing rotations are now transfers and guys who played as freshmen. Programs are going to be less patient waiting on players to develop when they can just go fill a need from the portal. All that to say that guys like Shinholster (and probably Groves), assuming they want to play, should...

With Woodson's departure, along with Fran and Ben, all 18 teams have what I consider to be good coaches. Indiana could be counted on to be high-talent, but woefully coached. Not anymore. I guess we'll see - DeVries is certainly a step up, but he does need to prove it.

The rankings he was using were the NET rankings in parentheses, not what’s on the first page of this thread. Looks to me like the Gophers are 2nd worst, carrying on an un-proud tradition of the previous regime.

MN was 17th, right?

School That Thou Have to Only Mention on Another Site

Yes, fair point. They are also a P5 team, though, and a historical rival and just above the top 122 cut line. Not a cupcake like West Georgia….

I know it's no TRUE away games, but they are playing Cal in SF, and Gonzaga in Seattle. That type of thing is becoming more and more common rather than going on campuses. The Arizona game is in Inglewood, too. The collection of Az, Cal, Gonzaga, and ASU is not particularly "weak", and...

I believe MN's average opponent rank is currently 133rd out of 148.

This is the perfect analogous situation. Bellarmine is in the Atlantic Sun conference (pretty much the same level as the Summit), and has been reasonably competitive against some big dogs over the years. If Louisville loses a game to them one year, what exactly is the consequence? Good for David...

As always, thanks for the work you do. There are a lot of ways to sort this, of course. You've chosen to do this on % of games against top 122. You also give the combined rankings of the opponents, so that could probably be another easy sort. It occurs to me that the NCAA uses Quads. The...

In hoops, the coach and his staff do have way more to do with scheduling. The AD probably has reins on mandating a certain number of home games, when they can be played to not interfere with other sports, and a budget for how much can be spent on these buy games - possibly has some final...

What you haven't said is that the NC schedule would be ranked dead last - at least so far. Current last place (of only 31 teams) is at a NET average of 234.9. This seems familiar somehow...

Thought this was gonna be a thread on the first guys off the bench....

Mostly I agree, but... Guys who aren't in the rotation will leave - that's pretty much a given. Guys who see that you're shopping for a transfer who plays your role will leave. Guys who demonstrate some value will bolt for more money elsewhere. The realistic strategy is to try to keep a core 3...