Understand your point regarding Wallner, but I’m guessing the beat writer’s premise is based on the following-
The Twins likely won’t trade or sign for a corner OFer this offseason.
Jenkins isn’t ready yet, he’s only had 102 ABs at Triple A.
Outman is a slightly better version of Keirsey.
Martin gets exposed if he’s more than a spot starter.
That leaves Larnach vs. Wallner for one spot, assuming Rodon is the LFer.
Age: Wallner (26)/Larnach (27)
Salary: Wallner 745K vs. Larnach 2.1M
Defense (Baseball Savant): Wallner average range with great arm vs. Larnach poor range with average arm.
WAR: Wallner has a higher one this season and in his career.
HR/AB ratio (2025): Wallner 1/15.27 vs. Larnach 1/35. Wallner’s career number is 16.2. If he had Larnach’s 592 ABs, he have 33 HRs.
Career numbers for hitters with 15.27 - 16.2, include: Big Hurt, Hank Greenberg, Stretch MCCovey, Big Papi and Albert Puljois and better than Hank Aaron.
Career AB/HR Leaders:1.Mark McGwire/10.61/7660, 2.<strong>Aaron Judge</strong>/11.14/4998, 3.Babe Ruth+/11.76/10628, 4.Barry Bonds/12.92/12606, 5.<strong>Shohei Ohtani</strong>/13.35/4324, 6.<strong>Kyle Schwarber</strong>/13.36/5380, 7.Jim Thome+/13.76/10313, 8.Joey Gallo/13.79/3
www.baseball-reference.com
Either 15.27 - 16.2 place him firmly in the Top 50 All Time of HR/AB ratio.
He no doubt needs to barrel the ball more consistently, but his combination of raw power and a ridiculous cannon makes his upside way too high not to be the staring RF next season.
He’s young and inexpensive, Let Him Cook