70% chance based on the emails I have from somebody I know is close to the situation on both the UK and the Memphis end
Henry to Kansas
Wall and Cousins to UK. Cousins might wait to see who the new coach is. If it ends up being Mike Anderson the family will reconsider Memphis and a better shot of keeping him
Two possible transfer in Sallie and Witherspoon to UK but depends on the new coach and the scholly situation. Part of the hold up was Calipari believes only 1 player currently verballed to UK past next year's class is UK caliber (D-Ferguson) and it will be made clear some need to explore other options.
The scholly situation at UK was going to be solved regardless. We only had 1 slot for 4 guys. The last commitment was felt as a slap to UK by Gillispie on the way out the door.
Look for Mike Porter to give up basketball (he has a wife and a baby on the way) and possibly become a GA, Jared Carter Graduates, Josh Harrellson transfers, Donald Williams scholarship will not be renewed (didn't have one next year anyway. No one has any idea why Gillispie gave him one for 1 year to begin with), the Viliarno commitment and the Konner commitment will be "discussed" with their families. No player will be told to hit the bricks but that PT will be hard to get. Ramon Harris might give up basketball and be given an academic scholarship for heatlh reasons.
Also, some players apparently have something written into their LOI's that say if Calipari leaves they're granted an unconditional release to transfer to any school they wish.