Nobody has any idea what he can do on a college football field and that’s the problem for QBs in his position. Stay at your current school and hope that your number is called when you’re an upperclassman OR go out to a lower level and put something on film. No one is taking an upperclassman that’s never played a snap in the portal.
Maybe he never makes it back but at least he’s in the fight. Can’t win the fight if you never step in the ring.
Just because you can name a few exceptions doesn’t mean they demonstrate the rule. QB recruiting has changed for the exact reason that you mentioned. There are only so many QB spots available to risk sitting around without film and giving your current school the opportunity to recruit over you when “your time” comes.
Also, I wouldn’t say there’s any “hand wringing” going on. The discussion is nowhere near that level.
I don’t expect him to be the starter anywhere next year unless he drops to FCS. He’ll have a chance.
As far as QBs transferring without tape as an upperclassmen
Kenny Minchey is a rs so. He’s thrown 26 passes in mop up duty. He committed to nebby and now is going to Kentucky for more money. Philo has sat for 2 years playing sparingly in mop up or in setting of injury and is going to Florida. Keinholz (from SD who gophers were in on) had backed up at OSU and now will be at Louisville.
There are a ton of P4 to P4 backups transferring after sitting for several years. These guys have so much tape that gets around from their hs tape, recruiting dev, qb camps, etc. This isn’t the era where coaches are going we have no idea who this guy is anymore because everything is online and so many people know each other
It’s the Same reason we all freak out and get excited when we get a commit from a former sec player because we just assume they’re good even though there’s no tape.
I get what you’re saying on not playing in games, but I chalk a lot of that up at qb in that these guys have all always been “the guy” and sitting has been coached (and at times helicopter parented) out of them.
For kollack or anyone one class behind or anywhere ahead of Drake, I get transferring as there’s going to be finite time and he’s not going anywhere and this is not a place that’s put QBs consistently in the nfl. At Oregon or bama you may be more patient as their guys get drafted year after year.
At the mid tier and lower fbs level, I imagine just as many if not more of these guys hurt themselves than help themselves and I think the portal data support that based on where they end up snd how many end up not starting/playing, while also hindering their learning in a system year over year, which may also play a factor in the general feeling from many analysts (Brady is the most outspoken on this) that QBs are getting worse at reading defenses and needing more dumbed down systems