Minnesota @ Iowa 2025 - Floyd of Rosedale - Media Predictions

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IceBoxGopher

IceBoxGopher

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Predictions are rolling out for Hate Week.

Brad Powers of Covers sides with Minnesota
They have one of the Top 10 running backs in the country in Darius Taylor. He hadn't been healthy for a few games, but they got him back last week and he made a difference. They pulled the outright upset at home against Nebraska, and he gives that Minnesota offense some balance.

I'm kind of fading on an Iowa team that everybody loves. Keep in mind they just beat a team playing with an interim coach and then beat a Wisconsin team that's going to have an interim coach in a couple weeks. I haven't been overly impressed with Iowa.

Picks and Parlays is predicting a 26-10 Iowa win
This game shapes up as a low-scoring contest where turnovers and special teams will likely determine the outcome. Iowa’s ability to win at home, coupled with its consistent defensive pressure, makes it tough for opponents to sustain drives in Kinnick.

Minnesota has improved offensively, but Iowa’s physical play and recent confidence give the advantage here to the Hawkeyes, especially playing at home. Expect the Hawkeyes to rely on defense and clock control to close it out late.

Sports Book Wire (USA Today) backs Iowa, 28-16
The Hawkeyes enter this matchup following a 25-24 win over the Penn State Nittany Lions in their most recent game. The Golden Gophers' last game was a 24-6 win over the Nebraska Cornhuskers.

The Hawkeyes are solid favorites (-8.5) in their matchup against the Golden Gophers, with the over/under at 39 points.

Gophers on SI is picking Iowa, 17-13
Gophers fans are well aware that this game will likely come down to just a few plays. Latest betting odds surprisingly view Iowa as more than seven-point favorites, but I am expecting a closely contested matchup for 60 minutes.

It's no surprise that this game will be won within the trenches. Minnesota made substantial improvements last week against Nebraska, and it might need to make another jump in order to knock off the Hawkeyes. Iowa's rushing attack ranks 43rd-best in FBS with 184.0 yards per game.

If the Gophers are able to force Gronowski to throw the football and maybe intercept one of his passes, they'll have a chance to win this game. Ultimately, Iowa has a better offensive and defensive line in this matchup, which makes it hard to predict that Minnesota goes on the road and wins Floyd of Rosedale.

Hawkeyes on SI has Iowa winning 24-20
With a week to prepare for their next opponent, there's no doubt the Iowa Hawkeyes are riding the high of defeating Penn State. Even though the Nittany Lions were without star QB Drew Allar, Iowa's 25-24 win was huge for more than one reason.

First of all, it makes them one win away from being bowl eligible. Seeing as No. 6 Oregon is the only other ranked team on their schedule, Iowa should have no issues defeating either Minnesota, USC, Michigan State, or Nebraska.

For what it's worth, USC and Nebraska have both been ranked this season.

OddShark has Iowa winning 30-27
Iowa will win, Minnesota will cover and the total will go over.

Sports Betting Dime goes with Iowa, 22-19

DRatings picks Iowa, 23-14
 

Will be interesting to see how the media picks come in. I won't be surprised if we see a lot of the Iowa wins but Minnesota covers variety because anyone paying attention will see that our games at Kinnick have been close and Iowa is extremely one dimensional on offense which will make it really tough for them to pull away from teams.
 


Schnauzer said:
very few had the Gophers winning at home last week, I expect it to be about the same for the Gophers on the road at Iowa.

It may just be me being a homer but it seems as though the Gophers consistently get underrated.
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Zero media (posted in the thread below) predicted a Gopher victory.

Minnesota Vs. Nebraska 2025 - Chair Week - Media Predictions

First predictions are out for Friday's game. Pick Dawgz is picking Nebraska to pull off a hard fought win I’ll stay with Nebraska, but this should be a pretty interesting game regardless. The Cornhuskers had some trouble putting Maryland away last weekend, but everything worked out in a very...
gopherhole.com gopherhole.com
 




IceBoxGopher said:
Predictions are rolling out for Hate Week.

Brad Powers of Covers sides with Minnesota
They have one of the Top 10 running backs in the country in Darius Taylor. He hadn't been healthy for a few games, but they got him back last week and he made a difference. They pulled the outright upset at home against Nebraska, and he gives that Minnesota offense some balance.

I'm kind of fading on an Iowa team that everybody loves. Keep in mind they just beat a team playing with an interim coach and then beat a Wisconsin team that's going to have an interim coach in a couple weeks. I haven't been overly impressed with Iowa.

Picks and Parlays is predicting a 26-10 Iowa win
This game shapes up as a low-scoring contest where turnovers and special teams will likely determine the outcome. Iowa’s ability to win at home, coupled with its consistent defensive pressure, makes it tough for opponents to sustain drives in Kinnick.

Minnesota has improved offensively, but Iowa’s physical play and recent confidence give the advantage here to the Hawkeyes, especially playing at home. Expect the Hawkeyes to rely on defense and clock control to close it out late.

Sports Book Wire (USA Today) backs Iowa, 28-16
The Hawkeyes enter this matchup following a 25-24 win over the Penn State Nittany Lions in their most recent game. The Golden Gophers' last game was a 24-6 win over the Nebraska Cornhuskers.

The Hawkeyes are solid favorites (-8.5) in their matchup against the Golden Gophers, with the over/under at 39 points.

Gophers on SI is picking Iowa, 17-13
Gophers fans are well aware that this game will likely come down to just a few plays. Latest betting odds surprisingly view Iowa as more than seven-point favorites, but I am expecting a closely contested matchup for 60 minutes.

It's no surprise that this game will be won within the trenches. Minnesota made substantial improvements last week against Nebraska, and it might need to make another jump in order to knock off the Hawkeyes. Iowa's rushing attack ranks 43rd-best in FBS with 184.0 yards per game.

If the Gophers are able to force Gronowski to throw the football and maybe intercept one of his passes, they'll have a chance to win this game. Ultimately, Iowa has a better offensive and defensive line in this matchup, which makes it hard to predict that Minnesota goes on the road and wins Floyd of Rosedale.

Hawkeyes on SI has Iowa winning 24-20
With a week to prepare for their next opponent, there's no doubt the Iowa Hawkeyes are riding the high of defeating Penn State. Even though the Nittany Lions were without star QB Drew Allar, Iowa's 25-24 win was huge for more than one reason.

First of all, it makes them one win away from being bowl eligible. Seeing as No. 6 Oregon is the only other ranked team on their schedule, Iowa should have no issues defeating either Minnesota, USC, Michigan State, or Nebraska.

For what it's worth, USC and Nebraska have both been ranked this season.

OddShark has Iowa winning 30-27
Iowa will win, Minnesota will cover and the total will go over.

Sports Betting Dime goes with Iowa, 22-19

DRatings picks Iowa, 23-14
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Rivalry week is becoming Dink week! Like last week, let's prove them wrong!
 





Minnesota at Iowa. Old school smash mouth B1G football. I love it.

I also love that fact that the Gophers are pretty heavy underdogs; that fact will only make it that much sweeter if the lads can pull an upset and bring Floyd home.
 

The Daily Gopher (SB Nation) is picking Iowa, 24-20
I want to pick Minnesota. I really do. But I have no idea which version of the Gophers will take the field at Kinnick Stadium on Saturday. I’d love to think that Friday’s dominant win over Nebraska will be a springboard for the rest of the season, but this team is prone to wild swings from week to week.

What I do know is that Minnesota is 0-2 on the road this season and has struggled historically in Iowa City. Kinnick Stadium has always been a tough environment, and the Hawkeyes are 3-1 at home this season, with their only loss coming against the now No. 2-ranked Indiana Hoosiers.

Cappers Picks goes with Iowa, 21-17
Iowa’s doing what Iowa does — winning ugly and making life miserable for opponents. The Hawkeyes are 3-1 at home and just edged Penn State 25-24 in a gritty comeback.

With back-to-back wins over Wisconsin and the Nittany Lions, they’ve built real momentum entering this rivalry clash.
 

IceBoxGopher said:
Cappers Picks goes with Iowa, 21-17
Iowa’s doing what Iowa does — winning ugly and making life miserable for opponents. The Hawkeyes are 3-1 at home and just edged Penn State 25-24 in a gritty comeback.

With back-to-back wins over Wisconsin and the Nittany Lions, they’ve built real momentum entering this rivalry clash.
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Have they though? Beating Wisconsin and Penn State in back to back weeks sounds impressive but neither of those teams is what they have been traditionally.

Wisconsin is down to their #3 QB and is a complete mess this year. Penn State is playing their backup QB, has an interim head coach and like Wisconsin is winless in the Big Ten this year.

I fully expect a tight, low scoring battle with Iowa because that is just what we do when we play there lately. Iowa's defense seems legit which is nothing new for Iowa. Still not really sure what to make of their offense though.

Iowa doesn't have a win over a team with a winning record yet. Their Big Ten opponents they have beaten are a combined 0-12 in Big Ten Play and their 2 non conf wins were against teams that have gone a combined 1-13 on the season. On the flip side they do have two one score losses against quality teams in Iowa State and Indiana. Our resume to this point isn't all that impressive either but at the very least we have wins over a couple teams with winning records to this point in Nebraska and Buffalo
 

Classic Big Ten West match up. I expect garbage offense on both sides due to quality defensive play and a low score. Our qb is better than theirs, if the oline brings the same juice they did last week we eke this one out.

It's been a really competitive series, 7 of the last 10 have been one possession games.
 



mngg11 said:
Classic Big Ten West match up. I expect garbage offense on both sides due to quality defensive play and a low score. Our qb is better than theirs, if the oline brings the same juice they did last week we eke this one out.

It's been a really competitive series, 7 of the last 10 have been one possession games.
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Yeah, lot of posters focus in just on the W/L record for Fleck against Iowa and ignore how many of those games were extremely competitive where one or two breaks went against us and gave Iowa the W.
 

MNVCGUY said:
Yeah, lot of posters focus in just on the W/L record for Fleck against Iowa and ignore how many of those games were extremely competitive where one or two breaks went against us and gave Iowa the W.
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This game reminds a bit of playing Nebraska when Adrian Martinez was their QB. Martinez could kill you on QB designed runs, options, rollouts and ad libs. Contain Martinez and the whole offense degraded. And Martinez was a better passer than Gronowski (and had better receivers). Gronowski appears to be a more powerful runner than Martinez, though--he runs through arm tackles. I would like to see Kingsbury spy Gronowski, if our defensive scheme permitted. Could be a few bell ringers.
Of course, those Nebraska teams never had Iowa's defense. We really need an effective balanced attack on offense to keep the Iowa defense guessing at least a bit. Even the best defenses can sometimes be confused. I trust Drake, Darius and LeMeke et al. to get the job done if our OL can keep making strides. Big if ... but the OL did made strides against Nebraska.

Go Gophers!
 
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Gophergrandpa said:
This game reminds a bit of playing Nebraska when Alex Martinez was their QB. Martinez could kill you on QB designed runs, options, rollouts and ad libs. Contain Martinez and the whole offense degraded. And Martinez was a better passer than Gronowski (and had better receivers). Gronowski appears to be a more powerful runner than Martinez, though--he runs through arm tackles. I would like to see Kingsbury spy Gronowski, if our defensive scheme permitted. Could be a few bell ringers.
Of course, those Nebraska teams never had Iowa's defense. We really need an effective balanced attack on offense to keep the Iowa defense guessing at least a bit. Even the best defenses can sometimes be confused. I trust Drake, Darius and LeMeke et al. to get the job done if our OL can keep making strides. Big if ... but the OL did made strides against Nebraska.

Go Giphers!
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Drake has done a really good job protecting the football this year.....he needs to keep that up against an Iowa team that thrives on teams making mistakes. Play clean and you have a good shot of beating them, make mistakes and they will kill you nearly every time.
 

I may be wrong, but I don’t feel like Fleck teams show a lot of Jekyll and Hyde week to week. They usually slog along for a while, or struggle a while, or they hit their stride and play pretty good ball. So after the Nebraska showing, I’m hoping we play a pretty solid game.
 

Gophergrandpa said:
This game reminds a bit of playing Nebraska when Alex Martinez was their QB. Martinez could kill you on QB designed runs, options, rollouts and ad libs. Contain Martinez and the whole offense degraded. And Martinez was a better passer than Gronowski (and had better receivers). Gronowski appears to be a more powerful runner than Martinez, though--he runs through arm tackles. I would like to see Kingsbury spy Gronowski, if our defensive scheme permitted. Could be a few bell ringers.
Of course, those Nebraska teams never had Iowa's defense. We really need an effective balanced attack on offense to keep the Iowa defense guessing at least a bit. Even the best defenses can sometimes be confused. I trust Drake, Darius and LeMeke et al. to get the job done if our OL can keep making strides. Big if ... but the OL did made strides against Nebraska.

Go Giphers!
Click to expand...
Do you mean Adrian Martinez? I'll add that other than one season, Martinez was pretty meh as a passer. He had a pretty strange throwing motion as well.
 


btowngopher said:
I may be wrong, but I don’t feel like Fleck teams show a lot of Jekyll and Hyde week to week. They usually slog along for a while, or struggle a while, or they hit their stride and play pretty good ball. So after the Nebraska showing, I’m hoping we play a pretty solid game.
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I was hoping/thinking this very same thing.

Past experience suggests the Gophers may go on a run of good performances now.
 

College Football News has Iowa winning, 23-16
The Hawkeyes have won nine of the last ten in the series, and it would’ve been ten in a row if not for a flag on a Cooper DeJean punt return. It’s about the field position battle, and they’re both great on special teams. It’ll come down to the big mistakes, and neither team makes mistakes.

It’ll be a close, low-scoring blast of a game, with both teams hanging
around right up until Iowa comes up with one big play to survive.

Dimers has Iowa getting the victory, 25-17
Our predictive model gives Iowa a 75% chance of defeating Minnesota.
 

IceBoxGopher said:
College Football News has Iowa winning, 23-16
The Hawkeyes have won nine of the last ten in the series, and it would’ve been ten in a row if not for a flag on a Cooper DeJean punt return. It’s about the field position battle, and they’re both great on special teams. It’ll come down to the big mistakes, and neither team makes mistakes.

It’ll be a close, low-scoring blast of a game, with both teams hanging
around right up until Iowa comes up with one big play to survive.

Dimers has Iowa getting the victory, 25-17
Our predictive model gives Iowa a 75% chance of defeating Minnesota.
Click to expand...
The "field position battle" is what Iowa usually wins, in frustrating, strangulating fashion; traditionally, Iowa has a punt game that can flip the field and Minnesota rarely does. The Gophers might need a couple of 90 yard drives to stay in this game (while Iowa might be starting with short fields much of the day). I know all this, and I know where the odds makers and predictive models are coming out, yet somehow I have a good feeling about this year's match up. If the Gophs could play another complete game on O, D and STs, the odds makers could be confounded yet again. I think we will need several explosive plays and a few turnovers to beat Iowa. But this team can do it. Go Gophers!
 


IceBoxGopher said:
College Football News has Iowa winning, 23-16
The Hawkeyes have won nine of the last ten in the series, and it would’ve been ten in a row if not for a flag on a Cooper DeJean punt return. It’s about the field position battle, and they’re both great on special teams. It’ll come down to the big mistakes, and neither team makes mistakes.

It’ll be a close, low-scoring blast of a game, with both teams hanging
around right up until Iowa comes up with one big play to survive.

Dimers has Iowa getting the victory, 25-17
Our predictive model gives Iowa a 75% chance of defeating Minnesota.
Click to expand...
It would be 10 Minnesota wins in a row if any/all actual or perspective ref calls favored MN. What a strange thing to say. It was the correct call. Those pesky rules have stood in the way of a lot of teams winning games.
 

mngg11 said:
Classic Big Ten West match up. I expect garbage offense on both sides due to quality defensive play and a low score. Our qb is better than theirs, if the oline brings the same juice they did last week we eke this one out.

It's been a really competitive series, 7 of the last 10 have been one possession games.
Click to expand...

I agree this should be a competitive game and Minnesota could win. I don't quite agree with the QB conclusion just yet simply because their QB is pretty mobile, can pick up yards on his own, and ours hasn't shown himself to be to this point. Their QB also is very mature. Ours seems to have a better arm and I think our receivers are a bit better. Gronowski doesn't get a lot of yards per attempt but he is completing 65% of his throws to date.

If we can get anything close to the defensive pressure we had against Nebraska, our chances improve. We also have to be able to run the ball for a second consecutive game. That's not going to be easy since Iowa has held 4 of their 7 opponents to under 3 yards per carry so far this season and the most yards per carry they've given up is 3.8 by Penn State. Indiana is averaging 5.5 yards per carry this season but had only 2.7 per carry against Iowa.
 

TwistingMyMelon said:
I agree this should be a competitive game and Minnesota could win. I don't quite agree with the QB conclusion just yet simply because their QB is pretty mobile, can pick up yards on his own, and ours hasn't shown himself to be to this point. Their QB also is very mature. Ours seems to have a better arm and I think our receivers are a bit better. Gronowski doesn't get a lot of yards per attempt but he is completing 65% of his throws to date.

If we can get anything close to the defensive pressure we had against Nebraska, our chances improve. We also have to be able to run the ball for a second consecutive game. That's not going to be easy since Iowa has held 4 of their 7 opponents to under 3 yards per carry so far this season and the most yards per carry they've given up is 3.8 by Penn State. Indiana is averaging 5.5 yards per carry this season but had only 2.7 per carry against Iowa.
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Agree. We need to be able to run (somewhat) and shut down their running game. Won't be easy.
 

Hawk Central (USA Today) has Iowa winning 24-16
Expect a long-possession, low-possession approach from both sides, where one turnover could be the key. Moulton tops 100 rushing yards for the first time this season, and Gronowski does indeed throw for one touchdown and run for another as the Hawkeyes improve to 6-2.

Scores and Stats is siding with Iowa, 27-17
Minnesota’s defensive front can challenge Iowa early, but the Hawkeyes’ disciplined run game and home-field advantage give them the edge. Expect a physical, defensive battle decided by turnovers and field position.
 


For me it comes down to our defense against their offense. Some historically bad Iowa offenses always seem to find ways to gash Gopher defenses with timely big plays. I'm hopeful that changes tomorrow.
 

So two Univ. of Iowa alumni co-workers said to me yesterday that there was "no way" that Minnesota would beat Iowa. So hopefully we will see Gophers again this week confounding the "experts". Ski-u-mah!
 

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