Gophers playoff chances - FPI at 4.3%

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Based upon these rankings we are 9th in the B1G and above Iowa and WI, but below NE, WA and USC. Accounting for talent, history and schedule I think this is the most accurate assessment of "chance" that I have seen given to the U of Minn.
 

gophernut1 said:
Based upon these rankings we are 9th in the B1G and above Iowa and WI, but below NE, WA and USC. Accounting for talent, history and schedule I think this is the most accurate assessment of "chance" that I have seen given to the U of Minn.
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NE lol of course.

I know poking holes in other teams position groups is throwing stones in a glass house but WA/USC both have serious question marks. All that being said I think 4% is fair.
 

I’m pretty sure their chances of making the playoffs are 50% - either they will or they won’t.

At least I’m pretty sure that’s what I was taught in my probability class. It was a long time ago.
 


gophernut1 said:
Based upon these rankings we are 9th in the B1G and above Iowa and WI, but below NE, WA and USC. Accounting for talent, history and schedule I think this is the most accurate assessment of "chance" that I have seen given to the U of Minn.
Click to expand...
Riddle me this, Batman. How on earth does VaTech have a 12.5% chance? I don't follow them, but they couldn't even put together a decent 2nd String with what they put on the field in the Duke's Mayo Bowl. They're recruiting was one spot behind the Gophers for 2025 overall at 44th.

Perhaps we should consider moving to the ACC? It would triple our chances.

I'm JOKING.....
 

caliGopher said:
Riddle me this, Batman. How on earth does VaTech have a 12.5% chance? I don't follow them, but they couldn't even put together a decent 2nd String with what they put on the field in the Duke's Mayo Bowl. They're recruiting was one spot behind the Gophers for 2025 overall at 44th.

Perhaps we should consider moving to the ACC? It would triple our chances.

I'm JOKING.....
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I think moving to the ACC would more than triple our chances.
 






11-1 is a lock
10-2 is probably about a 90% chance
9-3 is probably zero chance due to the middle of the schedule being easier than many other power 2 teams


If Nebraska Iowa and Michigan state all end up with 9 wins 9-3 might end up enough but I don’t but

A rare 9-3 team has a shot. A 10-2 SEC or Big Ten team is almost always going


If someone said there was as a 5% chance of 10-2 I would buy it
 

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