Big Ten regular season over/under win totals via @CIrcaSports

FireDaveLee

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Brett McMurphy
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Big Ten regular season over/under win totals via @CIrcaSports
Ohio State 10½
Oregon 10½
Penn State 10
Indiana 8½
Michigan 8½
Washington 7½
Illinois 7½
Iowa 7½
Nebraska 7½
USC 7½
Minnesota 6½
Michigan State 5½
Rutgers 5½
UCLA 5½
Wisconsin 5½
Maryland 4½
Northwestern 4
Purdue 3
 

I like the over, but if we lose to Cal, it will be close. Obviously with the big ? at QB, really hard to judge. So the O/U seems about right.
 

I like the over, but if we lose to Cal, it will be close. Obviously with the big ? at QB, really hard to judge. So the O/U seems about right.
If Drake is ready and plays well, we should go over that 6 1/2 fairly easily. But yeah, with the unknown at the QB position it isn't a bet I would be willing to put a ton of money on because if the QB situation is a mess like it was under Athan in 2023 then 6 /12 wouldn't be a sure thing at all.
 







I'd be curious what the over/under has been since Fleck came to MN. Seems like the Gophers are always around 5-6. But they've averaged 6.7 regular season wins (full seasons) since Fleck took over.
Ok so I was off. Here is what I found from CBS Sports.

2017: o/u 7.5, actual 5
2018: o/u 6, actual 6
2019: o/u 6.5, actual 10
2021: o/u 7, actual 8
2022: o/u 7.5, actual 8
2023: o/u 7, actual 5
2024: o/u 4.5, actual 7

So finished under 2 times, over 4 times and push 1 time.
 



Ok so I was off. Here is what I found from CBS Sports.

2017: o/u 7.5, actual 5
2018: o/u 6, actual 6
2019: o/u 6.5, actual 10
2021: o/u 7, actual 8
2022: o/u 7.5, actual 8
2023: o/u 7, actual 5
2024: o/u 4.5, actual 7

So finished under 2 times, over 4 times and push 1 time.
Nice research!
 

Ok so I was off. Here is what I found from CBS Sports.

2017: o/u 7.5, actual 5
2018: o/u 6, actual 6
2019: o/u 6.5, actual 10
2021: o/u 7, actual 8
2022: o/u 7.5, actual 8
2023: o/u 7, actual 5
2024: o/u 4.5, actual 7

So finished under 2 times, over 4 times and push 1 time.

You can't count Year Zero :ROFLMAO:
 

Ok so I was off. Here is what I found from CBS Sports.

2017: o/u 7.5, actual 5
2018: o/u 6, actual 6
2019: o/u 6.5, actual 10
2021: o/u 7, actual 8
2022: o/u 7.5, actual 8
2023: o/u 7, actual 5
2024: o/u 4.5, actual 7

So finished under 2 times, over 4 times and push 1 time.
The 4.5 last year was so insulting. Just sucks that BetUS limited my wager amount to $100...
 

“I don’t see a loss on the schedule . . . “😂

With a young, inexperienced QB, I believe the beta is high. You can probably talk yourself into a wide range of outcomes. Being a lifelong fan/alum, my heart is optimistic; being a person rooted in only trusting facts/science/math, and spending my career in the finance business - my head is connected to foot pumping the brakes. Like any economist/analyst, get back to me on my full, 12-game, prediction after 6 games. 😊
 






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