The 36 At-Larges: 25 Teams Jostling For Final 13 At-Large Bids

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SelectionSunday

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MARCH MADNESS, U.S.A. -- Only 6 days shy of Selection Sunday, I have 23 of the 36 at-large bids locked up. For those 13 available at-large bids, I have 25 teams still under consideration. As for the B1G, for now I'm keeping Nebraska and Penn State on the at-large board, but I have a hard time seeing any scenario where either team gets selected. If you twisted my arm and asked me which one had a better chance, I'd go with Penn State (but don't hold your breath).

There are 10 new teams in the Field of 68, including 2 at-larges, Texas and UCLA. K-State remains my "last team in", while Marquette moves into the "first team out" spot.

Not surprisingly, the ACC, Big East, Big XII, Pac 12, and SEC tournaments will go a long way in deciding who gets the last of those 13 at-large spots. By my estimation there are 21 teams in those five tournaments yet to secure NCAA bids but are right there in the Bubblicious mix: Alabama, Arizona State, Baylor, Butler, Creighton, Florida State, K-State, Louisville, Marquette, Mississippi State, Notre Dame, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Oregon, Providence, Syracuse, Texas, UCLA, USC, Utah, and Washington. The others still under consideration (in addition to Nebraska & Penn State) are Boise State and Saint Mary's.

Current RPI rank is noted prior to team. The record in parentheses is the team's record vs. teams currently projected into the Field of 68.

THE 36 AT-LARGES
American: (2): #12 Wichita State (5-3), #19 Houston (4-2)

ACC (7): #4 Duke (8-4), #6 North Carolina (8-8), #11 Clemson (7-6), #25 Miami (6-5), #44 Florida State (5-5), #50 Virginia Tech (6-6), #55 NC State (5-6)

Atlantic 10 (1): #21 Saint Bonaventure (3-2)

Big East (5): #2 Villanova (9-3), #27 Seton Hall (7-6), #35 Creighton (5-7), #43 Providence (4-8), #45 Butler (4-9)

B1G (3): #9 Purdue (5-4), #15 Michigan State (2-4), #23 Ohio State (4-5)

Big XII (6): #20 TCU (5-9), #22 Texas Tech (9-5), #31 West Virginia (9-7), #37 Oklahoma (7-9), #48 Texas (8-10), #62 K-State (4-9)

Mountain West (1): #42 Boise State (1-2)

Pac 12 (3): #34 USC (2-6), #38 UCLA (4-4), #58 Arizona State (5-2)

SEC (7): #10 Tennessee (7-6), #17 Kentucky (8-9), #24 Texas A&M (8-8), #30 Arkansas (7-7), #33 Missouri (6-6), #39 Florida (9-6), #59 Alabama (7-8)

WCC (1): #36 Saint Mary's (3-1)
_____________________________

Last 4 In
#34 USC
#42 Boise State
#45 Butler
#62 K-State (last team in)

First 4 Out
#40 Syracuse (5-8)
#57 Marquette (6-9) (first team out)
#63 Washington (6-4)
#88 Oklahoma State (7-11)

Others Still Under Consideration (8)
#46 Louisville (3-11)
#47 Utah (3-7)
#61 Baylor (6-12)
#64 Nebraska (1-6) -- season complete
#66 Notre Dame (4-9)
#67 Oregon (4-6)
#69 Mississippi State (4-7)
#76 Penn State (4-6) -- season complete

Non-Power 6 At-Larges (5)
#12 Wichita State
#19 Houston
#21 Saint Bonaventure
#36 Saint Mary's
#42 Boise State

Movin' On In (10): Hampton, Harvard, Iona, Lipscomb, Radford, Southeastern Louisiana, Texas, UC-Davis, UCLA, Wright State

Movin' On Out (10): Bethune-Cookman, Florida Gulf Coast, Nicholls State, NC-Asheville, Northern Kentucky, Penn, Rider, Temple, UC-Irvine, Washington

Automatic Bid/Top Remaining Seed In Conference Tournament (32)
America East: Vermont (56)
American: Cincinnati (7)
ACC: Virginia (1)
Atlantic Sun: LIPSCOMB (103) -- season complete
Atlantic 10: Rhode Island (16)
Big East: Xavier (3)
Big Sky: Montana (96)
Big South: RADFORD (127) -- season complete
B1G: MICHIGAN (13) -- season complete
Big XII: Kansas (5)
Big West: UC-Davis (95)
Colonial: College of Charleston (73)
Conference USA: Middle Tennessee (28)
Horizon: Wright State (104)
Ivy: Harvard (119)
MAAC: Iona (112)
MAC: Buffalo (32)
MEAC: Hampton (245)
Missouri Valley: LOYOLA-CHICAGO (26) -- season complete
Mountain West: Nevada (14)
NEC: Wagner (98)
OVC: MURRAY STATE (49) -- season complete
Pac 12: Arizona (18)
Patriot: Bucknell (85)
SEC: Auburn (8)
Southern: NC-Greensboro (74)
Southland: Southeastern Louisiana (159)
SWAC: Arkanas-Pine Bluff (311)
Summit: South Dakota State (53)
Sun Belt: Louisiana (60)
WCC: Gonzaga (29)
WAC: New Mexico State (41)

NIT Automatics Bids (#1 seeds in conference tourney failed to win conference tournament)
1 Florida Gulf Coast
2 NC-Asheville
3 Northern Kentucky
4 Rider

If you're so inclined, follow me on Twitter @Fieldof68Freak.
 

SelectionSunday said:
MARCH MADNESS, U.S.A. -- Only 6 days shy of Selection Sunday, I have 23 of the 36 at-large bids locked up. For those 13 available at-large bids, I have 25 teams still under consideration. As for the B1G, for now I'm keeping Nebraska and Penn State on the at-large board, but I have a hard time seeing any scenario where either team gets selected. If you twisted my arm and asked me which one had a better chance, I'd go with Penn State (but don't hold your breath).

There are 10 new teams in the Field of 68, including 2 at-larges, Texas and UCLA. K-State remains my "last team in", while Marquette moves into the "first team out" spot.

Not surprisingly, the ACC, Big East, Big XII, Pac 12, and SEC tournaments will go a long way in deciding who gets the last of those 13 at-large spots. By my estimation there are 21 teams in those five tournaments yet to secure NCAA bids but are right there in the Bubblicious mix: Alabama, Arizona State, Baylor, Butler, Creighton, Florida State, K-State, Louisville, Marquette, Mississippi State, Notre Dame, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Oregon, Providence, Syracuse, Texas, UCLA, USC, Utah, and Washington. The others still under consideration (in addition to Nebraska & Penn State) are Boise State and Saint Mary's.

Current RPI rank is noted prior to team. The record in parentheses is the team's record vs. teams currently projected into the Field of 68.

THE 36 AT-LARGES
American: (2): #12 Wichita State (5-3), #19 Houston (4-2)

ACC (7): #4 Duke (8-4), #6 North Carolina (8-8), #11 Clemson (7-6), #25 Miami (6-5), #44 Florida State (5-5), #50 Virginia Tech (6-6), #55 NC State (5-6)

Atlantic 10 (1): #21 Saint Bonaventure (3-2)

Big East (5): #2 Villanova (9-3), #27 Seton Hall (7-6), #35 Creighton (5-7), #43 Providence (4-8), #45 Butler (4-9)

B1G (3): #9 Purdue (5-4), #15 Michigan State (2-4), #23 Ohio State (4-5)

Big XII (6): #20 TCU (5-9), #22 Texas Tech (9-5), #31 West Virginia (9-7), #37 Oklahoma (7-9), #48 Texas (8-10), #62 K-State (4-9)

Mountain West (1): #42 Boise State (1-2)

Pac 12 (3): #34 USC (2-6), #38 UCLA (4-4), #58 Arizona State (5-2)

SEC (7): #10 Tennessee (7-6), #17 Kentucky (8-9), #24 Texas A&M (8-8), #30 Arkansas (7-7), #33 Missouri (6-6), #39 Florida (9-6), #59 Alabama (7-8)

WCC (1): #36 Saint Mary's (3-1)
_____________________________

Last 4 In
#34 USC
#42 Boise State
#45 Butler
#62 K-State (last team in)

First 4 Out
#40 Syracuse (5-8)
#57 Marquette (6-9) (first team out)
#63 Washington (6-4)
#88 Oklahoma State (7-11)

Others Still Under Consideration (8)
#46 Louisville (3-11)
#47 Utah (3-7)
#61 Baylor (6-12)
#64 Nebraska (1-6) -- season complete
#66 Notre Dame (4-9)
#67 Oregon (4-6)
#69 Mississippi State (4-7)
#76 Penn State (4-6) -- season complete

Non-Power 6 At-Larges (5)
#12 Wichita State
#19 Houston
#21 Saint Bonaventure
#36 Saint Mary's
#42 Boise State

Movin' On In (10): Hampton, Harvard, Iona, Lipscomb, Radford, Southeastern Louisiana, Texas, UC-Davis, UCLA, Wright State

Movin' On Out (10): Bethune-Cookman, Florida Gulf Coast, Nicholls State, NC-Asheville, Northern Kentucky, Penn, Rider, Temple, UC-Irvine, Washington

Automatic Bid/Top Remaining Seed In Conference Tournament (32)
America East: Vermont (56)
American: Cincinnati (7)
ACC: Virginia (1)
Atlantic Sun: LIPSCOMB (103) -- season complete
Atlantic 10: Rhode Island (16)
Big East: Xavier (3)
Big Sky: Montana (96)
Big South: RADFORD (127) -- season complete
B1G: MICHIGAN (13) -- season complete
Big XII: Kansas (5)
Big West: UC-Davis (95)
Colonial: College of Charleston (73)
Conference USA: Middle Tennessee (28)
Horizon: Wright State (104)
Ivy: Harvard (119)
MAAC: Iona (112)
MAC: Buffalo (32)
MEAC: Hampton (245)
Missouri Valley: LOYOLA-CHICAGO (26) -- season complete
Mountain West: Nevada (14)
NEC: Wagner (98)
OVC: MURRAY STATE (49) -- season complete
Pac 12: Arizona (18)
Patriot: Bucknell (85)
SEC: Auburn (8)
Southern: NC-Greensboro (74)
Southland: Southeastern Louisiana (159)
SWAC: Arkanas-Pine Bluff (311)
Summit: South Dakota State (53)
Sun Belt: Louisiana (60)
WCC: Gonzaga (29)
WAC: New Mexico State (41)

NIT Automatics Bids (#1 seeds in conference tourney failed to win conference tournament)
1 Florida Gulf Coast
2 NC-Asheville
3 Northern Kentucky
4 Rider

If you're so inclined, follow me on Twitter @Fieldof68Freak.
Click to expand...

I haven't watched this year as closely as others.
What in the heck happened (in three sentences or less) to the Big Ten (a 14 team league) that they are only getting 4 bids.

Did the pre-season RPI ruin them?
Or is it a split of haves and have nots which caused this where very little mediocrity near the bubble??
 

Face The Facts said:
I haven't watched this year as closely as others.
What in the heck happened (in three sentences or less) to the Big Ten (a 14 team league) that they are only getting 4 bids.

Did the pre-season RPI ruin them?
Or is it a split of haves and have nots which caused this where very little mediocrity near the bubble??
Click to expand...

Both. For example we were a top 50 RPI team when Nebraska beat us the first time, but they will get no credit for it (they really should). Without it, they only have once top 50 win against Michigan and that's it. And not much to show for the other 12 B1G wins. They also had a poor non-conference.
 

Do either New Mexico State or SD State have any realistic shot if they lose their conference tournament finals?
 



Face The Facts said:
I haven't watched this year as closely as others.
What in the heck happened (in three sentences or less) to the Big Ten (a 14 team league) that they are only getting 4 bids.

Did the pre-season RPI ruin them?
Or is it a split of haves and have nots which caused this where very little mediocrity near the bubble??
Click to expand...

You pretty much nailed it.

By and large most teams had crappy non-conference schedules (including MSU, very un-Izzo like), and there were very few significant non-conference victories.

Middle to the bottom of B1G sucked, multiple RPI anchors. 7 teams with RPIs of 100+, which I'm pretty sure has never happened.
 

The 36 At-Larges Update (through March 5)

Automatic bids doled out Tuesday night will be the Colonial (#1 College of Charleston vs. #2 Northeastern), Horizon (#2 Wright State vs. #8 Cleveland State), NEC (#4 LIU @ #1 Wagner), Summit (#1 South Dakota State vs. #2 South Dakota), and WCC (#1 Gonzaga vs. #3 BYU).

Current RPI rank is noted prior to team. The record in parentheses is the team's record vs. teams currently projected into the Field of 68.

THE 36 AT-LARGES
American: (2): #12 Wichita State (5-3), #19 Houston (4-2)

ACC (7): #4 Duke (8-4), #6 North Carolina (8-8), #11 Clemson (7-6), #25 Miami (6-5), #44 Florida State (5-5), #51 Virginia Tech (6-6), #53 NC State (5-6)

Atlantic 10 (1): #21 Saint Bonaventure (3-2)

Big East (5): #2 Villanova (9-3), #27 Seton Hall (7-6), #35 Creighton (5-7), #42 Providence (4-8), #45 Butler (4-9)

B1G (3): #10 Purdue (5-4), #15 Michigan State (2-4), #23 Ohio State (4-5)

Big XII (6): #20 TCU (5-9), #22 Texas Tech (9-5), #31 West Virginia (9-7), #37 Oklahoma (7-9), #48 Texas (8-10), #62 K-State (4-9)

Mountain West (1): #41 Boise State (1-2)

Pac 12 (3): #34 USC (2-6), #36 UCLA (4-4), #59 Arizona State (5-2)

SEC (7): #9 Tennessee (7-6), #17 Kentucky (8-9), #24 Texas A&M (8-8), #30 Arkansas (7-7), #33 Missouri (6-6), #38 Florida (9-6), #58 Alabama (7-8)

WCC (1): #43 Saint Mary's (3-1)
_____________________________

Last 4 In
#34 USC
#41 Boise State
#45 Butler
#62 K-State (last team in)

First 4 Out
#39 Syracuse (5-8)
#57 Marquette (6-9) (first team out)
#63 Washington (6-4)
#88 Oklahoma State (7-11)

Others Still Under Consideration (8)
#46 Louisville (3-11)
#47 Utah (3-7)
#61 Baylor (6-12)
#64 Nebraska (1-6) -- season complete
#69 Notre Dame (4-9)
#70 Oregon (4-6)
#72 Mississippi State (4-7)
#77 Penn State (4-6) -- season complete

Non-Power 6 At-Larges (5)
#12 Wichita State
#19 Houston
#21 Saint Bonaventure
#41 Boise State
#43 Saint Mary's

Movin' On In (10): Hampton, Harvard, Iona, Lipscomb, Radford, Southeastern Louisiana, Texas, UC-Davis, UCLA, Wright State

Movin' On Out (10): Bethune-Cookman, Florida Gulf Coast, Nicholls State, NC-Asheville, Northern Kentucky, Penn, Rider, Temple, UC-Irvine, Washington

Automatic Bid/Top Remaining Seed In Conference Tournament (32)
America East: Vermont (56)
American: Cincinnati (7)
ACC: Virginia (1)
Atlantic Sun: LIPSCOMB (104)
Atlantic 10: Rhode Island (16)
Big East: Xavier (3)
Big Sky: Montana (96)
Big South: RADFORD (126)
B1G: MICHIGAN (13)
Big XII: Kansas (5)
Big West: UC-Davis (95)
Colonial: College of Charleston (66)
Conference USA: Middle Tennessee (28)
Horizon: Wright State (101)
Ivy: Harvard (119)
MAAC: IONA (106)
MAC: Buffalo (32)
MEAC: Hampton (245)
Missouri Valley: LOYOLA-CHICAGO (26)
Mountain West: Nevada (14)
NEC: Wagner (98)
OVC: MURRAY STATE (49)
Pac 12: Arizona (18)
Patriot: Bucknell (84)
SEC: Auburn (8)
Southern: NC-GREENSBORO (65)
Southland: Southeastern Louisiana (157)
SWAC: Arkanas-Pine Bluff (310)
Summit: South Dakota State (50)
Sun Belt: Louisiana (60)
WCC: Gonzaga (29)
WAC: New Mexico State (40)

NIT Automatics Bids (losing #1 seeds in conference tourneys not expected to receive NCAA at-large bid)
1 Rider (68)
2 Northern Kentucky (113)
3 NC-Asheville (127)
4 Florida Gulf Coast (170)

If you're so inclined, follow me on Twitter @Fieldof68Freak.
 

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