hungan1
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The data that I have compiled indicates the Gophers are entrenched firmly in 5th place in B1G West behind Wisconsin, Iowa, Northwestern, and Nebraska in order of strength.
How they finish commensurate with their average recruiting composite score, national recruiting ranking, and total score. The anomaly is Nebraska (Illinois somewhat)in spite of having the highest level of recruiting. Nebraska could not overtake Wisconsin in both the conference & overall standings.
Iowa on the other hand seem to excel with a lot lower level talent than Nebraska and Wisconsin.
Starting with 2015, 247Sports have started sharing College Football Team Talent Composite which show the talent level of the entire roster for 2015, 2016, & 2017. I have compiled the data for the B1G East & West:
I have paired the data for the average composite scores and average total points for each B1G team against their average conference and overall standings for 2015-2017.
The results are compelling that roster talent level significantly influences how teams finish in the standings.
Maryland and Nebraska under performed while Wisconsin, Iowa, and Penn State over performed.
Look at Michigan's Roster Talent Level (click on "Ratings" to order highest to lowest Star/Composite) - https://247sports.com/Team/Michigan-71/Roster
Look at Northwestern's (click on "Ratings" to order highest to lowest Star/Composite) - https://247sports.com/Team/Northwestern-Wildcats-Football-77/Roster
Compare their Roster Talent Level against the Gophers' (click on "Ratings" to order highest to lowest Star/Composite) - https://247sports.com/Team/Minnesota-Golden-Gophers-Football-75/Roster
It is not too difficult to imagine how they can be shut out and outplayed at the end of the season.
Recruiting Ranking does matter to a great extend whether we want to admit it or not.
Interestingly, if you averaged all the recruiting rankings from 2011 to 2017 the Gophers come out in 6th place overall.
If you add the 2018 class, PJ Fleck's Year 1 the Gophers jumped to 4th place. The potential is very exciting if Fleck can sustain this level of recruiting.
PJ Fleck's 2018 1st full class already eclipses Jerry Kill's/Tray Claey's best recruiting class (2016) with an average composite score of 0.8609 versus 0.8427.
The Gopher's 30th Rank Recruiting Class is based primarily on the total points which is determined by the number of recruits and the average composites scores. The Gophers 206.02 total points is achieved with 26 signees and an average composite score of 0.8609 (or 86.09).
I throw caution into the wind. Nebraska (187.05 pts, 87.33 composite, 14 recruits), Wisconsin (191.71, 86.38), and Iowa (193.96, 86.28, 18) have higher composite averages and achieved their ratings with fewer recruits.
These are all comparative numbers that only would mean something if the recruits performed as rated.
It will take three or four years before we can see if PJ Fleck can achieved the heights of GOpher Football we have not seen in 50+ years. The one thing we have to keep in mind is that the competition are also improving.
How they finish commensurate with their average recruiting composite score, national recruiting ranking, and total score. The anomaly is Nebraska (Illinois somewhat)in spite of having the highest level of recruiting. Nebraska could not overtake Wisconsin in both the conference & overall standings.
Iowa on the other hand seem to excel with a lot lower level talent than Nebraska and Wisconsin.
Starting with 2015, 247Sports have started sharing College Football Team Talent Composite which show the talent level of the entire roster for 2015, 2016, & 2017. I have compiled the data for the B1G East & West:
I have paired the data for the average composite scores and average total points for each B1G team against their average conference and overall standings for 2015-2017.
The results are compelling that roster talent level significantly influences how teams finish in the standings.
Maryland and Nebraska under performed while Wisconsin, Iowa, and Penn State over performed.
Look at Michigan's Roster Talent Level (click on "Ratings" to order highest to lowest Star/Composite) - https://247sports.com/Team/Michigan-71/Roster
Look at Northwestern's (click on "Ratings" to order highest to lowest Star/Composite) - https://247sports.com/Team/Northwestern-Wildcats-Football-77/Roster
Compare their Roster Talent Level against the Gophers' (click on "Ratings" to order highest to lowest Star/Composite) - https://247sports.com/Team/Minnesota-Golden-Gophers-Football-75/Roster
It is not too difficult to imagine how they can be shut out and outplayed at the end of the season.
Recruiting Ranking does matter to a great extend whether we want to admit it or not.
Interestingly, if you averaged all the recruiting rankings from 2011 to 2017 the Gophers come out in 6th place overall.
If you add the 2018 class, PJ Fleck's Year 1 the Gophers jumped to 4th place. The potential is very exciting if Fleck can sustain this level of recruiting.
PJ Fleck's 2018 1st full class already eclipses Jerry Kill's/Tray Claey's best recruiting class (2016) with an average composite score of 0.8609 versus 0.8427.
The Gopher's 30th Rank Recruiting Class is based primarily on the total points which is determined by the number of recruits and the average composites scores. The Gophers 206.02 total points is achieved with 26 signees and an average composite score of 0.8609 (or 86.09).
I throw caution into the wind. Nebraska (187.05 pts, 87.33 composite, 14 recruits), Wisconsin (191.71, 86.38), and Iowa (193.96, 86.28, 18) have higher composite averages and achieved their ratings with fewer recruits.
These are all comparative numbers that only would mean something if the recruits performed as rated.
It will take three or four years before we can see if PJ Fleck can achieved the heights of GOpher Football we have not seen in 50+ years. The one thing we have to keep in mind is that the competition are also improving.