This was originally posted on our message board, with corresponding conversation here: https://gopherhole.com/boards/threads/post-week-13-field-of-12-projection-rough-weekend-for-sec-cfp-contenders-helps-indiana-remain-in-field-despite-38-15-loss-to-ohio-state.116865/#post-3041898
Indiana & Tennessee say thank you Alabama, Ole Miss, and Texas A&M for spitting the bit on the penultimate weekend of college football’s regular season. The SEC drops to 3 teams (for now), opening the door for a multiple-bid ACC. I begrudgingly added Miami to the field as my “last team in”, and hard charging Arizona State is the Big XII’s new automatic bid placeholder.
Looking for a team that could come out of nowhere and get into position for a surprising at-large bid if things fall right next weekend? Try the winner of Saturday’s South Carolina (8-3) @ Clemson (9-2) game.
FIELD Of 12 PROJECTION (through November 24) –– * denotes automatic qualifier
ACC (2): *SMU (10-1), Miami (10-1)
Big Ten (4): *Oregon (11-0,) Ohio State (10-1), Penn State (10-1), Indiana (10-1)
Big XII (1): *Arizona State (9-2)
Independent (1): Notre Dame (10-1)
Mountain West (1): *Boise State (10-1)
SEC (3): *Texas (10-1), Georgia (9-2), Tennessee (9-2)
Last 2 At-Large: #10 Indiana, #11 Miami
Still in the Hunt (10): Alabama (8-3), Army (9-1), BYU (9-2), Clemson (9-2), Colorado (8-3), Iowa State (9-2), Ole Miss (8-3), South Carolina (8-3), Texas A&M (8-3), Tulane (9-2)
Movin’ In (3): Arizona State, Miami, Tennessee
Movin’ Out (3): Alabama, BYU, Ole Miss
THE COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYOFF
First Round (Dec. 20 & 21)
#9 Tennessee @ #8 Notre Dame
#12 *Arizona State @ #5 Ohio State
#10 Indiana @ #7 Georgia
#11 Miami @ #6 Penn State
Quarterfinals
#1 *Oregon vs. #8 Notre Dame/#9 Tennessee winner (Rose Bowl/Jan. 1)
#4 *SMU vs. #5 Ohio State/#12 Arizona State winner (Peach Bowl/Jan. 1)
#2 *Texas vs. #7 Georgia/#10 Indiana winner (Sugar Bowl/Jan. 1)
#3 *Boise State vs. #6 Penn State/#11 Miami winner (Fiesta Bowl/Dec. 31)
Semifinals
Orange Bowl (Jan. 9)
Cotton Bowl (Jan. 10)
National Championship (Jan. 20) — Atlanta, GA
Power 5 Head to Head Standings (through Nov. 24) — Notre Dame (Independent), Oregon State (Pac 12), and Washington State (Pac 12) included
1. Notre Dame (7-0)
2. Washington State (2-1)
3. Oregon State (2-2)
4. SEC (10-6)
5. Big Ten (7-10)
6. ACC (9-14)
7. Big XII (7-11)
Week 14 Power 5 Head to Head
Notre Dame @ USC
Georgia Tech @ Georgia
South Carolina @ Clemson
Louisville @ Kentucky
Florida @ Florida State
CFP Impact Games
Memphis @ Tulane
Oregon State @ #3 Boise State
Oklahoma State @ Colorado
Mississippi State @ Ole Miss
Georgia Tech @ #7 Georgia
Washington @ #1 Oregon
Purdue @ #10 Indiana
#8 Notre Dame @ USC
Houston @ BYU
#12 Arizona State @ Arizona
Kansas State @ Iowa State
Michigan @ #5 Ohio State
#9 Tennessee @ Vanderbilt
South Carolina @ Clemson
Maryland @ #6 Penn State
Auburn @ Alabama
#11 Miami @ Syracuse
Cal @ #4 SMU
#2 Texas @ Texas A&M