USA Today Article: College Football Countdown. Minnesota only 67th best?


The article was surprisingly thorough and, IMO, very good. I'd like to think the Gophers are better than 67th, but the author gave his reasons for the relatively low ranking - that being that he doesn't think the Gophers can overcome some of the scheduling difficulties to obtain a top-half B1G finish or a strong overall record. So, the way I read it was not that he was necessarily saying that Minnesota is the 67th best football team heading into 2014, rather that it would more or less end up with the 67th-best position in the standings coming out of it.
 

It was accurate except for the fact that we didn't play ohio state last year
 


From the article:

SEASON BREAKDOWN & PREDICTION:

In a nutshell: I do think Minnesota notches another bowl appearance, the program's third in a row, but I don't think the Gophers have enough in the tank to take another step forward in the win column – going from three wins to six wins to eight wins to nine-plus, which would be one heck of a trend. One reason is the schedule: Minnesota's set to take on the cream of the Big Ten's crop, outside of Michigan State, and might have the most intimidating November schedule – Iowa, Ohio State, Nebraska, Wisconsin – of any team in college football. The schedule alone is reason to think the Gophers top out at six or seven wins.

But there are other issues. One is quarterback play, and the passing game in particular. While the Gophers made hay last fall riding the ground attack, it's simply not tenable to expect continues success without a sense of offensive balance; Minnesota needs more through the air from Leidner, and I'm not sure if he's ready to deliver – at this point, at least. And even if Leidner is ahead of schedule, does Minnesota have the weapons at receiver to pressure opposing defensive backs? The offense won't be terrible, but it does need to add a stronger passing game to keep defense's honest. When it comes to Minnesota's own defense, it'll be nearly impossible to duplicate last year's play along the front seven, though there are two positives to consider: one, the potential at linebacker, and two, the depth and talent in the secondary.

Minnesota simply looks like a slightly above-average team, one without the talent or balance needed to threaten for eight or more wins in the Big Ten. But what the Gophers do have is coaching – yes, the Gophers certainly have coaching. As such, I waffled a bit on tossing Minnesota just outside the top half of the Big Ten; Kill has done it before and will do it again, so there's always the chance he leads this team beyond any preseason expectations. Good coaching has already taken Minnesota a long way.

Go Gophers!!
 



He thought (along with most experts) we'd be lucky to get to 6 wins last year.

What evidence is there that Neb, Mich, Wisc will be significantly better than last year? All have question marks just like us. Maybe their new starters will be great, maybe not. We are a team on the rise and have exceeded expectations consistently. I like the over.
 

I would say that our schedule up until the last three weeks of the season is actually extremely easy. I would not be surprised to start the season 8-1. In fact, if we are to take a step forward, we would have to start 8-1. Because we are only gonna win one of the last 3 at best IMO.
 

Still 67th "position in the standings" is too low. I know we play some tough teams but were better then that.
 



I would say that our schedule up until the last three weeks of the season is actually extremely easy. I would not be surprised to start the season 8-1. In fact, if we are to take a step forward, we would have to start 8-1. Because we are only gonna win one of the last 3 at best IMO.

Hey this works for me. As long as the win in the last 3 games is Wisconsin. Let's get the axe back this year!
 

Still 67th "position in the standings" is too low. I know we play some tough teams but were better then that.

I agree. If his argument is that our schedule is tough enough that we might not finish in the top half of the B1G, then 67th is way too low. We don't have to be in the top half of the B1G to be comfortably in the top half of all FBS teams.
 

I would say that our schedule up until the last three weeks of the season is actually extremely easy. I would not be surprised to start the season 8-1. In fact, if we are to take a step forward, we would have to start 8-1. Because we are only gonna win one of the last 3 at best IMO.

Wow, an 8-1 start? I thought I was optimistic this year. I would absolutely LOVE that!
 





Respect is earned. If the Gophers have another strong year - say 8 wins, and win a bowl game - then next year, they will be ranked a lot higher to start the season.

In general, when making predictions about anything, the safest bet is to assume that whatever happened before is going to happen again - unless or until there is strong evidence to suggest that a different outcome is likely.

The national pundits will need more evidence to convince them that the Gophers are a different team than what they've been accustomed to watching.
 

As the ornery Norwegian points out, these are more about reputation than actual predictive ability.

Being 67th (absurd) hurts usin perception and possibly in the eyes of recruits. Nobody wants to go to a below average program, where this hack has put us.
 

Respect is earned. If the Gophers have another strong year - say 8 wins, and win a bowl game - then next year, they will be ranked a lot higher to start the season.

In general, when making predictions about anything, the safest bet is to assume that whatever happened before is going to happen again - unless or until there is strong evidence to suggest that a different outcome is likely.

The national pundits will need more evidence to convince them that the Gophers are a different team than what they've been accustomed to watching.

Spot on. It will take at least one more year equal to or better than last season to start to shift some perceptions nationally. Right now we are just a fringe program showing a few signs of life but not one that the National guys are going to throw a lot of trust behind.
 

Respect is earned. If the Gophers have another strong year - say 8 wins, and win a bowl game - then next year, they will be ranked a lot higher to start the season.

In general, when making predictions about anything, the safest bet is to assume that whatever happened before is going to happen again - unless or until there is strong evidence to suggest that a different outcome is likely.

The national pundits will need more evidence to convince them that the Gophers are a different team than what they've been accustomed to watching.
I've hammered this into the ground, but I keep wondering what the perception would be had that pass not slipped through Wolitarsky's arms. As it sits, I actually think it's better for the team if the "experts" expect them to be mediocre at best. I think Kill and staff shine in taking players who aren't expected to be anything but average and making them special.
 

It never hurts to be overlooked by Michigan, Wisconsin, Nebraska...
 





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