SelectionSunday
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What Big 10's Bubble Teams Need to Do
Of interest only for those who haven't given up on the season. If you've checked out for the season, no need to comment here and hijack the thread.
Courtesy of Jerry Palm at collegerpi.com, through games played Tuesday night.
2. Ohio State (26-2, 13-2)
7. Purdue (22-5, 11-3)
17. Wisconsin (20-6, 10-4)
36. Michigan State (15-11, 8-7)
39. Illinois (17-11, 7-8)
49. GOPHERS (17-10, 6-9)
58. Michigan (16-11, 7-8)
61. Penn State (14-12, 7-8)
80. Northwestern (16-10, 6-9)
172. Iowa (10-17, 3-12)
181. Indiana (12-15, 3-11)
In terms of the Big Ten's NCAA pecking order, I think last night's loss drops the Gophers to 7th behind Michigan, and just barely ahead of Penn State. The Wolverines might end up being the biggest beneficiary of the Gophers' collapse, especially if they beat the Badgers tonight and/or win in Williams Arena on Saturday. At this point the Big Ten is looking like a 5- or 6-bid league.
An educated guesstimate of what the Big Ten's potential bubble teams (in my current pecking order) need to do to feel like they're lock city for the NCAA:
1. Sparty: Win 2 of 3 vs. Purdue, Iowa and @ Michigan. Do that and they're a lock even with 0-1 mark at Big Ten Tournament.
2. Illinois: Win 2 of 3 vs. Iowa, @ Purdue and Indiana. Do that and they're a lock even with 0-1 mark at BTT.
3. Michigan: Win 2 of 3 vs. Wisconsin, @ Gophers and Michigan State and they're a lock even with 0-1 mark at BTT.
4. Gophers: Win 3 of 3 vs. Michigan, @ Northwestern and Penn State, then win 1 game at BTT.
5. Penn State: Win 3 of 3 @ Northwestern, Ohio State and @ Gophers, then win 1 game at BTT.
I think #2 will definitely happen, and then either #1 or #3. I'd expect the Sparty-Michigan season finale to be a de-facto play-in game, with the winner locking up a NCAA bid prior to Indianapolis.
Of interest only for those who haven't given up on the season. If you've checked out for the season, no need to comment here and hijack the thread.
Courtesy of Jerry Palm at collegerpi.com, through games played Tuesday night.
2. Ohio State (26-2, 13-2)
7. Purdue (22-5, 11-3)
17. Wisconsin (20-6, 10-4)
36. Michigan State (15-11, 8-7)
39. Illinois (17-11, 7-8)
49. GOPHERS (17-10, 6-9)
58. Michigan (16-11, 7-8)
61. Penn State (14-12, 7-8)
80. Northwestern (16-10, 6-9)
172. Iowa (10-17, 3-12)
181. Indiana (12-15, 3-11)
In terms of the Big Ten's NCAA pecking order, I think last night's loss drops the Gophers to 7th behind Michigan, and just barely ahead of Penn State. The Wolverines might end up being the biggest beneficiary of the Gophers' collapse, especially if they beat the Badgers tonight and/or win in Williams Arena on Saturday. At this point the Big Ten is looking like a 5- or 6-bid league.
An educated guesstimate of what the Big Ten's potential bubble teams (in my current pecking order) need to do to feel like they're lock city for the NCAA:
1. Sparty: Win 2 of 3 vs. Purdue, Iowa and @ Michigan. Do that and they're a lock even with 0-1 mark at Big Ten Tournament.
2. Illinois: Win 2 of 3 vs. Iowa, @ Purdue and Indiana. Do that and they're a lock even with 0-1 mark at BTT.
3. Michigan: Win 2 of 3 vs. Wisconsin, @ Gophers and Michigan State and they're a lock even with 0-1 mark at BTT.
4. Gophers: Win 3 of 3 vs. Michigan, @ Northwestern and Penn State, then win 1 game at BTT.
5. Penn State: Win 3 of 3 @ Northwestern, Ohio State and @ Gophers, then win 1 game at BTT.
I think #2 will definitely happen, and then either #1 or #3. I'd expect the Sparty-Michigan season finale to be a de-facto play-in game, with the winner locking up a NCAA bid prior to Indianapolis.