Transfer Data




In basketball it feels like there is a much higher percentage of star players transferring. In football there is a ton of movement at the QB position but in terms of other spots it feels like it is either a case of a player who can't crack the depth chart at the bigger schools or a late bloomer that blows up from the smaller schools.

Transfer portal in football is much less chaotic than it is in basketball. Still messy but not nearly in the same way due to the size of the rosters for football vs. basketball.
 

In basketball it feels like there is a much higher percentage of star players transferring. In football there is a ton of movement at the QB position but in terms of other spots it feels like it is either a case of a player who can't crack the depth chart at the bigger schools or a late bloomer that blows up from the smaller schools.

Transfer portal in football is much less chaotic than it is in basketball. Still messy but not nearly in the same way due to the size of the rosters for football vs. basketball.
Agreed.

This data is sort of a self fulfilling prophecy. I am sure if you look at the data of players who go to universities outside of the P5 out of HS and compare the ones who portal up with the ones who do not, the players who portal up are more likely to play in the NFL.
 



100% of the people who confuse correlation with causation will die. Coincidence?
I'm curious to see how the data plays out over time. The portal isn't exactly a stable system yet and has morphed considerably each of the past three years. There isn't enough solid data to even see a trend at this point, beyond some hypotheses that are likely to be true (e.g., I did well at a low level and so now have options in D1/Power 4 that I did not have before that signficantly enhance my opportunity to get noticed - ala Max Brosmer).

I'm curious to see how this continues to unfold, and I'm hopeful that some sanity will emerge in the current situation. Too much money involved to count on that, but the players have had the upper hand, once coaches and schools get a handle on things and understand the ramifications more,I hope we can find a healthy equilibrium...
 




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