Snapshot look at the College Football Playoff resumes

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SelectionSunday

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A look at opponents' winning percentage of various and sundry teams directly in the College Football playoff conversation, or on the periphery. I've also included "best win" and all losses.

Highlighted teams = current automatic qualifier

Unbeaten Teams
1. Oregon (51-41, .554) -- Best Win: Ohio State (8-1)
2. BYU (39-45, .464) -- Best Win: @ SMU (8-1)
3. Indiana (40-53, .430) -- Best Win: Nebraska (5-4)
4. Army (30-52, .366) -- Best Win: @ North Texas (5-4)

1-Loss Teams
1. Ohio State (47-36, .566) -- Best Win: @ Penn State (8-1), Loss: @ Oregon (10-0)
2. Boise State (45-40, .529) -- Best Win: Washington State (8-1), Loss: @ Oregon (10-0)
3. Texas (44-41, .518) -- Best Win: @ Vanderbilt (6-4), Loss: Georgia (7-2)
4. SMU (45-42, .517) -- Best Win: Pitt (7-2), Loss: BYU (9-0)
5. Penn State (42-40, .512) -- Best Win: Illinois (6-3), Loss: Ohio State (8-1)
6. Miami (46-48, .489) -- Best Win: @ Louisville (6-3), Loss: @ Georgia Tech (6-4)
7. Notre Dame (40-43, .482) -- Best Win: @ Texas A&M (7-2), Loss: Northern Illinois (5-4)
8. Tennessee (37-48, .435) -- Best Win: Alabama (7-2), Loss: @ Arkansas (5-4)

2-Loss Teams
1 Alabama (56-26, .683) -- Best Win: Georgia (7-2), Losses: @ Tennessee (8-1), @ Vanderbilt (6-4)
2 Colorado (50-34, .595) -- Best Win: North Dakota State (9-1), Losses: Kansas State (7-2), @ Nebraska (5-4)
3 Kansas State (49-35, .583) -- Best Win: @ Colorado (7-2), Losses: @ BYU (9-0), @ Houston (4-5)
4 Texas A&M (48-35, .578) -- Best Win: Missouri (7-2), Losses: Notre Dame (8-1), @ South Carolina (6-3)
5 Georgia (47-37, .560) -- Best Win: @ Texas (8-1), Losses: @ Ole Miss (8-2), @ Alabama (7-2)
6 Ole Miss (47-45, .511) -- Best Win: Georgia (7-2), Losses: @ LSU (6-3), Kentucky (3-6),
7 Pitt (42-41, .506) -- Best Win: Syracuse (6-3), Losses: @ SMU (8-1), Virginia (5-4)
8 Iowa State (43-42, .506) -- Best Win: @ Iowa (6-4), Losses: Texas Tech (6-4), @ Kansas (3-6)
9 Clemson (39-45, 7 .464) -- Best Win: Virginia (5-4), Losses: vs. Georgia (7-2), Louisville (6-3)
 

SelectionSunday said:
A look at opponents' winning percentage of various and sundry teams directly in the College Football playoff conversation, or on the periphery. I've also included "best win" and all losses.

Highlighted teams = current automatic qualifier

Unbeaten Teams
1. Oregon (51-41, .554) -- Best Win: Ohio State (8-1)
2. BYU (39-45, .464) -- Best Win: @ SMU (8-1)
3. Indiana (40-53, .430) -- Best Win: Nebraska (5-4)
4. Army (30-52, .366) -- Best Win: @ North Texas (5-4)

1-Loss Teams
1. Ohio State (47-36, .566) -- Best Win: @ Penn State (8-1), Loss: @ Oregon (10-0)
2. Boise State (45-40, .529) -- Best Win: Washington State (8-1), Loss: @ Oregon (10-0)
3. Texas (44-41, .518) -- Best Win: @ Vanderbilt (6-4), Loss: Georgia (7-2)
4. SMU (45-42, .517) -- Best Win: Pitt (7-2), Loss: BYU (9-0)
5. Penn State (42-40, .512) -- Best Win: Illinois (6-3), Loss: Ohio State (8-1)
6. Miami (46-48, .489) -- Best Win: @ Louisville (6-3), Loss: @ Georgia Tech (6-4)
7. Notre Dame (40-43, .482) -- Best Win: @ Texas A&M (7-2), Loss: Northern Illinois (5-4)
8. Tennessee (37-48, .435) -- Best Win: Alabama (7-2), Loss: @ Arkansas (5-4)

2-Loss Teams
1 Alabama (56-26, .683) -- Best Win: Georgia (7-2), Losses: @ Tennessee (8-1), @ Vanderbilt (6-4)
2 Colorado (50-34, .595) -- Best Win: North Dakota State (9-1), Losses: Kansas State (7-2), @ Nebraska (5-4)
3 Kansas State (49-35, .583) -- Best Win: @ Colorado (7-2), Losses: @ BYU (9-0), @ Houston (4-5)
4 Texas A&M (48-35, .578) -- Best Win: Missouri (7-2), Losses: Notre Dame (8-1), @ South Carolina (6-3)
5 Georgia (47-37, .560) -- Best Win: @ Texas (8-1), Losses: @ Ole Miss (8-2), @ Alabama (7-2)
6 Ole Miss (47-45, .511) -- Best Win: Georgia (7-2), Losses: @ LSU (6-3), Kentucky (3-6),
7 Pitt (42-41, .506) -- Best Win: Syracuse (6-3), Losses: @ SMU (8-1), Virginia (5-4)
8 Iowa State (43-42, .506) -- Best Win: @ Iowa (6-4), Losses: Texas Tech (6-4), @ Kansas (3-6)
9 Clemson (39-45, 7 .464) -- Best Win: Virginia (5-4), Losses: vs. Georgia (7-2), Louisville (6-3)
Click to expand...

For Colorado, NDSU still qualifies as their "Best Win" even though they are FCS?
 


Ope3 said:
For Colorado, NDSU still qualifies as their "Best Win" even though they are FCS?
Click to expand...
Buffs were the only team I really had trouble deciding which win to go with.

Bison?
@ 6-4 Texas Tech
5-4 Baylor?
5-4 Cincinnati?

Texas Tech probably would've been the safer choice.
 



SelectionSunday said:
A look at opponents' winning percentage of various and sundry teams directly in the College Football playoff conversation, or on the periphery. I've also included "best win" and all losses.

Highlighted teams = current automatic qualifier

Unbeaten Teams
1. Oregon (51-41, .554) -- Best Win: Ohio State (8-1)
2. BYU (39-45, .464) -- Best Win: @ SMU (8-1)
3. Indiana (40-53, .430) -- Best Win: Nebraska (5-4)
4. Army (30-52, .366) -- Best Win: @ North Texas (5-4)

1-Loss Teams
1. Ohio State (47-36, .566) -- Best Win: @ Penn State (8-1), Loss: @ Oregon (10-0)
2. Boise State (45-40, .529) -- Best Win: Washington State (8-1), Loss: @ Oregon (10-0)
3. Texas (44-41, .518) -- Best Win: @ Vanderbilt (6-4), Loss: Georgia (7-2)
4. SMU (45-42, .517) -- Best Win: Pitt (7-2), Loss: BYU (9-0)
5. Penn State (42-40, .512) -- Best Win: Illinois (6-3), Loss: Ohio State (8-1)
6. Miami (46-48, .489) -- Best Win: @ Louisville (6-3), Loss: @ Georgia Tech (6-4)
7. Notre Dame (40-43, .482) -- Best Win: @ Texas A&M (7-2), Loss: Northern Illinois (5-4)
8. Tennessee (37-48, .435) -- Best Win: Alabama (7-2), Loss: @ Arkansas (5-4)

2-Loss Teams
1 Alabama (56-26, .683) -- Best Win: Georgia (7-2), Losses: @ Tennessee (8-1), @ Vanderbilt (6-4)
2 Colorado (50-34, .595) -- Best Win: North Dakota State (9-1), Losses: Kansas State (7-2), @ Nebraska (5-4)
3 Kansas State (49-35, .583) -- Best Win: @ Colorado (7-2), Losses: @ BYU (9-0), @ Houston (4-5)
4 Texas A&M (48-35, .578) -- Best Win: Missouri (7-2), Losses: Notre Dame (8-1), @ South Carolina (6-3)
5 Georgia (47-37, .560) -- Best Win: @ Texas (8-1), Losses: @ Ole Miss (8-2), @ Alabama (7-2)
6 Ole Miss (47-45, .511) -- Best Win: Georgia (7-2), Losses: @ LSU (6-3), Kentucky (3-6),
7 Pitt (42-41, .506) -- Best Win: Syracuse (6-3), Losses: @ SMU (8-1), Virginia (5-4)
8 Iowa State (43-42, .506) -- Best Win: @ Iowa (6-4), Losses: Texas Tech (6-4), @ Kansas (3-6)
9 Clemson (39-45, 7 .464) -- Best Win: Virginia (5-4), Losses: vs. Georgia (7-2), Louisville (6-3)
Click to expand...
Tulane: 7-2 after starting 0-2. They'll most likely play Army in the AAC championship game.
 

SelectionSunday said:
Buffs were the only team I really had trouble deciding which win to go with.

Bison?
@ 6-4 Texas Tech
5-4 Baylor?
5-4 Cincinnati?

Texas Tech probably would've been the safer choice.
Click to expand...

In terms of Sagarin Ratings:

Baylor - 32
Texas Tech - 50
Cincinnati - 44

NDSU - 55 so not way out of line. Just not sure how that win counts towards the Playoffs (or even at all).

UCF is actually higher than any of them at 36.

 

I still think Penn State is ripe for an upset against the Gophers, and that they are overrated as a whole.

While they have a high quality loss, they don't have any significant wins and barely survived a couple like Bowling Green and USC in overtime.

Indiana has a similar set of teams they beat, but did so far more decisively.

I think the Big Ten will get 3 but not 4 teams in the playoff. Oregon's probably in. If IU beats Ohio State they are in, and it's either 2 loss OSU or 1 loss PSU. I could see both going because they are big name programs. I don't think Indiana will get the benefit of the doubt with a loss to Ohio State unless Penn State also takes a L.
 

fmlizard said:
I still think Penn State is ripe for an upset against the Gophers, and that they are overrated as a whole.

While they have a high quality loss, they don't have any significant wins and barely survived a couple like Bowling Green and USC in overtime.

Indiana has a similar set of teams they beat, but did so far more decisively.

I think the Big Ten will get 3 but not 4 teams in the playoff. Oregon's probably in. If IU beats Ohio State they are in, and it's either 2 loss OSU or 1 loss PSU. I could see both going because they are big name programs. I don't think Indiana will get the benefit of the doubt with a loss to Ohio State unless Penn State also takes a L.
Click to expand...
I think it's over for PSU if they lose to us. They won't go over a 2-3 loss SEC team in that case.

13-0 Oregon
11-2 tOSU
11-1 Indiana
11-1 Penn State

13-0 Oregon
12-1 Indiana
10-2 tOSU
11-1 PSU

Hard to not take all four.

I saw a scenario where 8 SEC teams could tie at 6-2. Texas would finish 8th in that scenario and LSU would be in the conference championship game.
 



fmlizard said:
I still think Penn State is ripe for an upset against the Gophers, and that they are overrated as a whole.

While they have a high quality loss, they don't have any significant wins and barely survived a couple like Bowling Green and USC in overtime.

Indiana has a similar set of teams they beat, but did so far more decisively.

I think the Big Ten will get 3 but not 4 teams in the playoff. Oregon's probably in. If IU beats Ohio State they are in, and it's either 2 loss OSU or 1 loss PSU. I could see both going because they are big name programs. I don't think Indiana will get the benefit of the doubt with a loss to Ohio State unless Penn State also takes a L.
Click to expand...
1 loss PSU is a lock.
2 loss PSU is probably close to a lock.


5 2 loss or fever teams in the big 12. A guaranteed 5 more losses between them based on schedule + CCG

4 2 or 1 loss teams left in ACC
2 losses guaranteed between them + Clemson vs South Carolina + Louisville vs Pitt

7 2 or 1 loss teams in SEC. Based on schedule, 3 guaranteed losses left based on those schedules + CCG


There just aren’t going to be many teams left at the end with 3 or fewer losses.
I
 

Some guy said:
1 loss PSU is a lock.
2 loss PSU is probably close to a lock.


5 2 loss or fever teams in the big 12. A guaranteed 5 more losses between them based on schedule + CCG

4 2 or 1 loss teams left in ACC
2 losses guaranteed between them + Clemson vs South Carolina + Louisville vs Pitt

7 2 or 1 loss teams in SEC. Based on schedule, 3 guaranteed losses left based on those schedules + CCG


There just aren’t going to be many teams left at the end with 3 or fewer losses.
I
Click to expand...
This. Pretty much any SEC or B10 team with only 2 losses is in.

Also the new rankings are out. Army at 24 is complete BS. Haven’t looked at the rest in detail and of course they can move up if they beat ND, but what a kick in the nuts as an undefeated to see 3 teams with 3(!!!) losses ahead of you
 

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