Gopher07
Captain of Awesome
- Joined
- Nov 20, 2008
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Very little change in the rankings as we won pretty much according to plan on Saturday. Illinois is an interesting case, the Predictor model seems to like them a lot more than the Golden Mean, but we're still better than a touchdown favorite on the road.
Yes, that Wisconsin line is still that large. The only potential explanation I can provide is that they've lost close games and had a few blowouts in their favor, while we've been blown out once and haven't really taken it to any teams this year, to the tune of 4+ TDs. Such is life when you're dealing with models that take into account margin of victory. It will start to get closer if we are as close to the Badgers as most of us think we are.
Week 7 can be found here.
As always, these are for entertainment purposes only.
I take the GOLDEN_MEAN score, found here, and add the home-field advantage to the home team to come up with predicted spreads/favorites. Same as last week, I've noted the PREDICTOR spreads as well, in blue, to see a comparison.
vs Purdue -14.5 (-13.5)
@ Illinois -12 (-8)
vs Iowa -1 (-3.5)
vs Ohio State +8.5 (+7)
@ Nebraska +9 (+12.5)
@ Wisconsin +10 (+10)
Predicted Record 8-4 (5-3)
Likely wins (>6 point difference in favor of Minnesota): vs Purdue, @ Illinois
Likely toss-ups (within 6 points): vs Iowa
Likely losses (>6 point difference in favor of opponent): vs Ohio State, @ Nebraska, @ Wisconsin
Yes, that Wisconsin line is still that large. The only potential explanation I can provide is that they've lost close games and had a few blowouts in their favor, while we've been blown out once and haven't really taken it to any teams this year, to the tune of 4+ TDs. Such is life when you're dealing with models that take into account margin of victory. It will start to get closer if we are as close to the Badgers as most of us think we are.
Week 7 can be found here.
As always, these are for entertainment purposes only.
I take the GOLDEN_MEAN score, found here, and add the home-field advantage to the home team to come up with predicted spreads/favorites. Same as last week, I've noted the PREDICTOR spreads as well, in blue, to see a comparison.
vs Purdue -14.5 (-13.5)
@ Illinois -12 (-8)
vs Iowa -1 (-3.5)
vs Ohio State +8.5 (+7)
@ Nebraska +9 (+12.5)
@ Wisconsin +10 (+10)
Predicted Record 8-4 (5-3)
Likely wins (>6 point difference in favor of Minnesota): vs Purdue, @ Illinois
Likely toss-ups (within 6 points): vs Iowa
Likely losses (>6 point difference in favor of opponent): vs Ohio State, @ Nebraska, @ Wisconsin