Sagarin Predictions: Week 7

[Gopher07]

Really no change in the formula following our loss on Saturday. We lost by more than the formula predicted, but so did Illinois and Purdue. Those two are still our best chances to win per the computer.

Week six can be found here: http://www.forums.gopherhole.com/boards/showthread.php?40659-Sagarin-Predictions-Week-6

Sagarin's ratings can be found here: http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt12.htm

I take [home team rating + 2.79 (home field advantage)] - [away team rating] to show spreads.

Minnesota, #71, 68.73 PREDICTOR rating. Results/predicted lines in parentheses.

@ UNLV (W, 30-27)
vs UNH (W, 44-7)
vs Western Michigan (W, 28-23)
vs Syracuse (W, 17-10)
@ Iowa (L, 31-13)
vs Northwestern (L, 21-13)
@ Wisconsin (+14)
vs Purdue (-1)
vs Michigan (+14)
@ Illinois (-3)
@ Nebraska (+16)
vs Michigan State (+5.5)

Final record: 6-6 (2-6).

Good chance to win (>6 spread favoring Gophers):
Close wins (0-6 spread favoring Gophers): Purdue, @Illinois
Toss up (Pick 'em):
Close losses (0-6 spread favoring opponent): Michigan State
Good chance to lose (>6 spread favoring opponent): @Wisconsin, Michigan, @Nebraska