Sagarin Predictions: Week 6

[Gopher07]

Took last week off with the bye, but we're back. Things actually improved over the past week for the Gophers in the outlook; we're now favorites by the formula for the Illinois game, even vs. Purdue, and remain within striking distance of NW at home. Those three games will be keys to the Gophers making a bowl game this year.

Week four can be found here: http://www.forums.gopherhole.com/boards/showthread.php?40361-Sagarin-Predictions-Week-3

Sagarin's ratings can be found here: http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt12.htm

I take [home team rating + 2.51 (home field advantage)] - [away team rating] to show spreads.

Minnesota, #66, 69.74 PREDICTOR rating. Results/predicted lines in parentheses.

@ UNLV (W, 30-27)
vs UNH (W, 44-7)
vs Western Michigan (W, 28-23)
vs Syracuse (W, 17-10)
@ Iowa (L, 31-13)
vs Northwestern (+2)
@ Wisconsin (+10.5)
vs Purdue (Pick)
vs Michigan (+9)
@ Illinois (-2)
@ Nebraska (+14.5)
vs Michigan State (+5.5)

Final record: 5-7 (1-7)/6-6 (2-6).

Good chance to win (>6 spread favoring Gophers):
Close wins (0-6 spread favoring Gophers): @Illinois
Toss up (Pick 'em): Purdue
Close losses (0-6 spread favoring opponent): Northwestern, Michigan State
Good chance to lose (>6 spread favoring opponent): @Wisconsin, Michigan, @Nebraska