Sagarin Predictions: Week 2

[Gopher07]

The results are still heavily weighted toward last year's results as all teams aren't well connected yet (that happens around week 5). However, things are shifting - of particular surprise right now is that the formula says we're in a toss-up against Michigan, and that Illinois improved following their shellacking against #3 Arizona State. We also finally have a "good chance to win" in our corner - next week against Western Michigan. But, still says we shouldn't be favored in any B1G games unfortunately.

Week one can be found here: http://www.forums.gopherhole.com/bo...-the-Sagarin-Ratings-Week-1&highlight=sagarin

Sagarin's ratings can be found here: http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt12.htm

I take [home team rating + 3.08 (home field advantage)] - [away team rating] to show spreads.

Minnesota, #59, 71.48 PREDICTOR rating. Results/predicted lines in parentheses.

@ UNLV (W, 30-27)
vs UNH (W, 44-7)
vs Western Michigan (-10.5)
vs Syracuse (-3)
@ Iowa (+7.5)
vs Northwestern (+1.5)
@ Wisconsin (+9)
vs Purdue (+3.5)
vs Michigan (+1)
@ Illinois (+7.5)
@ Nebraska (+14.5)
vs Michigan State (+11.5)

Final record: 4-8 (0-8).

Good chance to win (>6 spread favoring Gophers): Western Michigan
Close wins (0-6 spread favoring Gophers): Syracuse
Close losses (0-6 spread favoring opponent): Northwestern, Purdue, Michigan
Good chance to lose (>6 spread favoring opponent): Iowa, Wisconsin, Illinois, Nebraska, Michigan State

 

[magpie]

7 Ohio St
9 Michigan St
19 Nebraska
30 Wisconsin

33 N'western
35 Iowa
40 Purdue
41 Illinois

42 Michigan
59 Minnesota
60 Penn St
69 Syracuse

90 Indiana
92 W Michigan
126 UNLV
139 New Hampshire

 

[6 Nov 1999]

If they were stocks, I would be selling Iowa and Wisconsin short. I am not predicting we will defeat them, just that their stock is over valued.

 

[mplsbadger]

Gophers have now won 4 of 7 dating back to last year. Feels a lot better than 3 of 12.