Sagarin Predictions: Week 11

[Gopher07]

Back and better than ever! Well, slightly better than last week at least.

By now, the computer formula has basically worked itself out and we probably won't see a ton of movement (barring a huge beatdown of one of our last two opponents).

I will be using RATING moving forward.

http://www.usatoday.com/sports/ncaaf/sagarin/2013/team/

vs Penn State -1.5
vs Wisconsin +13
@ Michigan State +16

Predicted Record 8-4 (4-4)

Likely toss-ups (within 6 points): vs Penn State
Likely losses (>6 point difference): vs Wisconsin, @ MSU

For kicks, I've gone back and "re-predicted" (that's not a word...) our season to date using this week's formulas:

vs UNLV: -15
@ NMSU: -26
vs WIU: -26
vs SJSU: -8
vs Iowa: -0.5 (week of prediction: -1.5)
@ Michigan: +9 (week of prediction: +11.5)
@ Northwestern: +4 (week of prediction: +10)
vs Nebraska: -0.5 (week of prediction: +4)
@ Indiana: +4 (week of prediction: +6)

Week 10 Prediction: http://www.forums.gopherhole.com/boards/showthread.php?49689-Sagarin-Predictions-Week-10&p=783896

 

[B1G]

Thanks for posting these, really enjoy looking at them. Nice touch going back and re-predicting the games we've already played with the new numbers.