Sagarin Predictions: Week 11

[Gopher07]

Both lines creeped down from last week's projection - if we can keep it close against Nebraska and MSU loses to Northwestern, it could essentially be a pick 'em in the final week.

Week ten can be found here: http://www.forums.gopherhole.com/boards/showthread.php?41385-Sagarin-Predictions-Week-10

Sagarin's ratings can be found here: http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt12.htm

I take [home team rating + 2.94 (home field advantage)] - [away team rating] to show spreads.

Minnesota, #66, 69.36 PREDICTOR rating. Results/predicted lines in parentheses.

@ UNLV (W, 30-27)
vs UNH (W, 44-7)
vs Western Michigan (W, 28-23)
vs Syracuse (W, 17-10)
@ Iowa (L, 31-13)
vs Northwestern (L, 21-13)
@ Wisconsin (L, 38-13)
vs Purdue (W, 44-28)
vs Michigan (L, 35-13)
@ Illinois (W, 17-3)
@ Nebraska (+16)
vs Michigan State (+4)

Final record: 6-6 (2-6).

Good chance to win (>6 spread favoring Gophers):
Close wins (0-6 spread favoring Gophers):
Toss up (Pick 'em):
Close losses (0-6 spread favoring opponent): Michigan State
Good chance to lose (>6 spread favoring opponent): @Nebraska