Gopher07
Captain of Awesome
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Back after our latest game, the predictions are pretty stable. Illinois looks more within the realm of winnable (the models all favor us slightly), while the other three games look very, very difficult. That Nebraska loss continues to haunt the season, especially seeing how they've played before and since in conference.
One ray of hope is our home performances against TCU and Michigan. Both teams are top-15 opponents, and we played both to within one score (the formulas say we should lose those games by about 17 points if played today).
If a similar trend happens for the season finale against Wisconsin, it might be enough to get the W, given that it's looking like we'll be two-touchdown underdogs. Tall task, and it's a stretch to say it's anything but a distant possibility, but it's at least within the realm of possibility given the results we've seen at TCF Bank Stadium against highly-ranked opponents so far this fall.
I'm using three lines this year - the GOLDEN_MEAN spreads, the PREDICTOR spreads, and the RECENT spreads, found here.
Last week's post can be found here.
vs #4 TCU L
@ #102 Colorado State W
vs #151 Kent State W
vs #107 Ohio W
@ #41 Northwestern L
@ #88 Purdue W
vs #54 Nebraska L
vs #13 Michigan L
@ #6 Ohio State (+25, +24.5, +26.5)
@ #15 Iowa (+20, +19.5, +21.5)
vs #67 Illinois (-3.5, PICK, -4)
vs #19 Wisconsin (+12, +14, +13)
Predicted Record [based on an average of the three models] 5-7 (2-6)
Likely wins (>6 point difference [average] in favor of Minnesota): [none]
Likely toss-ups (within 6 points [average]): vs Illinois
Likely losses (>6 point difference [average] in favor of opponent): @ Ohio State, @ Iowa, vs Wisconsin
One ray of hope is our home performances against TCU and Michigan. Both teams are top-15 opponents, and we played both to within one score (the formulas say we should lose those games by about 17 points if played today).
If a similar trend happens for the season finale against Wisconsin, it might be enough to get the W, given that it's looking like we'll be two-touchdown underdogs. Tall task, and it's a stretch to say it's anything but a distant possibility, but it's at least within the realm of possibility given the results we've seen at TCF Bank Stadium against highly-ranked opponents so far this fall.
I'm using three lines this year - the GOLDEN_MEAN spreads, the PREDICTOR spreads, and the RECENT spreads, found here.
Last week's post can be found here.
vs #4 TCU L
@ #102 Colorado State W
vs #151 Kent State W
vs #107 Ohio W
@ #41 Northwestern L
@ #88 Purdue W
vs #54 Nebraska L
vs #13 Michigan L
@ #6 Ohio State (+25, +24.5, +26.5)
@ #15 Iowa (+20, +19.5, +21.5)
vs #67 Illinois (-3.5, PICK, -4)
vs #19 Wisconsin (+12, +14, +13)
Predicted Record [based on an average of the three models] 5-7 (2-6)
Likely wins (>6 point difference [average] in favor of Minnesota): [none]
Likely toss-ups (within 6 points [average]): vs Illinois
Likely losses (>6 point difference [average] in favor of opponent): @ Ohio State, @ Iowa, vs Wisconsin