Sagarin Predictions: Week 10

[Gopher07]

Small shifts this week as there weren't any major surprises for our remaining opponents. Sag still has us about touchdown favorites in Champaign, and about touchdown dogs in the final week against MSU.

Week nine can be found here: http://www.forums.gopherhole.com/boards/showthread.php?t=41196

Sagarin's ratings can be found here: http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt12.htm

I take [home team rating + 3.09 (home field advantage)] - [away team rating] to show spreads.

Minnesota, #72, 67.75 PREDICTOR rating. Results/predicted lines in parentheses.

@ UNLV (W, 30-27)
vs UNH (W, 44-7)
vs Western Michigan (W, 28-23)
vs Syracuse (W, 17-10)
@ Iowa (L, 31-13)
vs Northwestern (L, 21-13)
@ Wisconsin (L, 38-13)
vs Purdue (W, 44-28)
vs Michigan (L, 35-13)
@ Illinois (-6.5)
@ Nebraska (+17.5)
vs Michigan State (+6)

Final record: 6-6 (2-6).

Good chance to win (>6 spread favoring Gophers): @Illinois
Close wins (0-6 spread favoring Gophers):
Toss up (Pick 'em):
Close losses (0-6 spread favoring opponent): Michigan State
Good chance to lose (>6 spread favoring opponent): @Nebraska