Sagarin Predictions: Bowl Extravaganza

[Gopher07]

One more time this year with predictions for every bowl game. Games involving B1G teams are in orange.

Before getting to the detailed results, here are the biggest and smallest predicted spreads this year:

Biggest Predicted Blowouts:
Tulsa -15.5 over Central Michigan
Michigan -15 over Florida State
USF -15 over South Carolina
Temple -15 over Wake Forest
Mississippi State -14.5 over Miami (Ohio)

Closest Predicted Games:
Memphis vs. Western Kentucky PICK
Louisville -0.5 over LSU
Penn State -1 over USC
Oklahoma -1 over Auburn
Toledo -1.5 over Appalachian State

As far as conferences are concerned, if the formula holds, the B1G should be pretty happy. Teams from the B1G are favored in six matchups, including all four NY6/Playoff games plus the Outback Bowl. The SEC on the other hand is looking rough outside of Bama. The conference is predicted to go 4-8 in their 12 matchups.

Finally, the Gophers drew a tough matchup by the numbers. Washington State is a top-15 team according to Sagarin, and although the Gophers are top 40, they're looking at what I'd deem during the regular season a "likely loss." We were winless in our "likely loss" games during the regular season. Let's hope the trend reverses in December.

Enjoy "the most wonderful time of the year" - and go Gophers!

College Football Playoff
Peach Bowl Dec. 31 (2 p.m.) Alabama (-7.5) vs. Washington
Fiesta Bowl Dec. 31 (7:30 p.m.) Ohio State (-9) vs. Clemson

New Year's Six
Sugar Bowl Jan. 2 (7:30 p.m.) Oklahoma (-1) vs. Auburn
Rose Bowl Jan. 2 (4 p.m.) Penn State (-1) vs. USC
Cotton Bowl Jan. 2 (Noon) Wisconsin (-8) vs. Western Michigan
Orange Bowl Dec. 30 (7 p.m.) Michigan (-15) vs. Florida State

Other Bowls
New Mexico Bowl Dec. 17 (1 p.m.) New Mexico (-5) vs. UTSA
Las Vegas Bowl Dec. 17 (2:30 p.m.) Houston (-6) vs. San Diego State
Cure Bowl Dec. 17 (4:30 p.m.) UCF (-9.5) vs. Arkansas State
Camellia Bowl Dec. 17 (4:30 p.m.) Toledo (-1.5) vs. Appalachian State
New Orleans Bowl Dec. 17 (8 p.m.) Southern Miss (-2) vs. UL Lafayette
Miami Beach Bowl Dec. 19 (1:30 p.m.) Tulsa (-15.5) vs. Central Michigan
Boca Raton Bowl Dec. 20 (6 p.m.) Memphis (PICK) vs. Western Kentucky
Poinsettia Bowl (8 p.m.) BYU (-12.5) vs. Wyoming
Potato Bowl Dec. 22 (6 p.m.) Colorado State (-12) vs. Idaho
Bahamas Bowl Dec. 23 (Noon) Old Dominion (-5.5) vs. Eastern Michigan
Armed Forces Bowl Dec. 23 (3:30 p.m.) Navy (-6) vs. Louisiana Tech
Dollar General Bowl Dec. 23 (7 p.m.) Troy (-6) vs. Ohio
Hawai'i Bowl Dec. 24 (7 p.m.) Middle Tennessee (-7) vs. Hawaii
St. Pete Bowl Dec. 26 (10 a.m.) Mississippi State (-14.5) vs. Miami (Ohio)
Quick Lane Bowl Dec. 26 (1:30 p.m.) Maryland (-3) vs. Boston College
Independence Bowl Dec. 26 (4 p.m.) NC State (-4) vs. Vanderbilt
Heart of Dallas Bowl Dec. 27 (11 a.m.) Army (-13) vs. North Texas
Military Bowl Dec. 27 (2:30 p.m.) Temple (-15) vs. Wake Forest
Holiday Bowl Dec. 27 (6 p.m.) Washington State (-9) vs. Minnesota
Cactus Bowl Dec. 27 (9:15 p.m.) Boise State (-5.5) vs. Baylor
Pinstripe Bowl Dec. 28 (1 p.m.) Pittsburgh (-2) vs. Northwestern
Russell Athletic Bowl Dec. 28 (4:30 p.m.) Miami (Fla.) (-2) vs. West Virginia
Foster Farms Bowl Dec. 28 (7:30 p.m.) Utah (-9) vs. Indiana
Texas Bowl Dec. 28 (8 p.m.) Texas A&M (-2) vs. Kansas State
Birmingham Bowl Dec. 29 (1 p.m.) USF (-15) vs. South Carolina
Belk Bowl Dec. 29 (4:30 p.m.) Virginia Tech (-11) vs. Arkansas
Alamo Bowl Dec. 29 (8 p.m.) Colorado (-7.5) vs. Oklahoma State
Liberty Bowl Dec. 30 (11 a.m.) TCU (-5) vs. Georgia
Sun Bowl Dec. 30 (1 p.m.) Stanford (-2.5) vs. North Carolina
Music City Bowl Dec. 30 (2:30 p.m.) Tennessee (-2) vs. Nebraska
Arizona Bowl Dec. 30 (4:30 p.m.) Air Force (-12) vs. South Alabama
Citrus Bowl Dec. 31 (10 a.m.) Louisville (-0.5) vs. LSU
TaxSlayer Bowl Dec. 31 (10 a.m.) Georgia Tech (-6) vs. Kentucky
Outback Bowl Jan. 2 (Noon) Iowa (-3.5) vs. Florida

 

[Bad Gopher]

Thanks for posting. Based on past experience with this year's team, you'd expect them to give WSU a game and probably lead at some point but fall short in the end. The Gophers will not be outclassed by Washington State any more than they were outclassed by Penn State or Wisconsin on the road. Like you said, hopefully they can turn over a new leaf and pull out a win in one of these.

 

[Gophers7NatTitlesBadgers0]

I'll take Bama -7.5 all day everyday. This game has a 56-21 feel to it.

 

[westcoastgopher11]

ayyyy very cool - gopher07 thanks for these posts throughout the season too many they are dope and give a lot of good info i appreciate you

 

[Spoofin]

Thanks Gopher07. Really appreciate it.


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