Rivals Top 100 from 2007: 20 are in NFL, 7 made Pro-Bowl, 4 are dead

BleedGopher

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per the Washington Post:

A decade ago, they were the best of the best, by all accounts, on the precipice of greatness. They’d been graded, assigned stars and sent off to college with the highest of expectations. So 10 years later, what became of the elite group of high school football players who were tabbed as the nation’s top 100 prospects?

Football offers no guarantees, even to the most promising high school seniors of 2007, as designated by the recruiting site Rivals. This Wednesday is National Signing Day, the first day recruits can commit formally to a college program. On that day every year, they’re all promising athletic stars, but a decade later, their paths have splintered in all directions. They’re celebrities, coaches, cops and convicts. They sell cars and houses, and many have had to reinvent themselves several times over.

Of the top 100 in 2007, 39 were eventually drafted into the NFL. Twenty are still in the league. Seven made the Pro Bowl. Four are dead.

Twenty-six transferred to other schools. And at least one-third obtained degrees from the school they committed to on signing day 10 years ago.

Some names are familiar, including No. 66 Aaron Hernandez (prison for murder), No. 2 Joe McKnight (killed last month in apparent road-rage incident), No. 28 Cam Newton (NFL MVP), No. 54 Dez Bryant, No. 3 Eric Berry and No. 59 Joe Haden (all Pro Bowl honorees).

71. LaMark Brown, WR/RB
Commitment: Kansas State
After three seasons at Kansas State, Brown transferred to Minnesota State-Mankato. He was undrafted but played in the CFL and Arena League.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/sf/sports/wp/2017/01/29/following-the-signs/

Go Gophers!!
 

It'd be interesting to compare that to the next 100 and the next 100 after that. I think that's where it really is an "aha" moment. No one ever said all 5 stars are guaranteed to be great (Hayo Carpenter), but it's the percentage of 5* that are all-conference or All-American or go pro. Lots of 3* make it to the NFL. But as a percentage, your chances are MUCH lower.

The other interesting thing to put in perspective - only 39 of the top 100 were drafted. I'm betting 100 of the top 100 would have expected to be drafted on signing day. That your chances as that elite of a player are still less than 50% just goes to show how tough it is to make it to the NFL. Let alone how many were drafted but never started or even played a down...
 

It'd be interesting to compare that to the next 100 and the next 100 after that. I think that's where it really is an "aha" moment. No one ever said all 5 stars are guaranteed to be great (Hayo Carpenter), but it's the percentage of 5* that are all-conference or All-American or go pro. Lots of 3* make it to the NFL. But as a percentage, your chances are MUCH lower.

The other interesting thing to put in perspective - only 39 of the top 100 were drafted. I'm betting 100 of the top 100 would have expected to be drafted on signing day. That your chances as that elite of a player are still less than 50% just goes to show how tough it is to make it to the NFL. Let alone how many were drafted but never started or even played a down...

How many of the 61 non-drafted players had to leave the game because of injury?
 

It'd be interesting to compare that to the next 100 and the next 100 after that. I think that's where it really is an "aha" moment. No one ever said all 5 stars are guaranteed to be great (Hayo Carpenter), but it's the percentage of 5* that are all-conference or All-American or go pro. Lots of 3* make it to the NFL. But as a percentage, your chances are MUCH lower.

The other interesting thing to put in perspective - only 39 of the top 100 were drafted. I'm betting 100 of the top 100 would have expected to be drafted on signing day. That your chances as that elite of a player are still less than 50% just goes to show how tough it is to make it to the NFL. Let alone how many were drafted but never started or even played a down...

When you consider the vast number of kids playing football across the country, the fact that 40 of the top 100 they identified got drafted 3-5 years later is actually really impressive. To the part in bold, I think that is a concept that gets lost on a lot of people. Yes there are 3*, 2*, 1* and even unranked kids that make it the NFL each year but the percentage of those guys that make it is so much lower than the top players when you take into account the size of the pool of players.
 

When you consider the vast number of kids playing football across the country, the fact that 40 of the top 100 they identified got drafted 3-5 years later is actually really impressive. To the part in bold, I think that is a concept that gets lost on a lot of people. Yes there are 3*, 2*, 1* and even unranked kids that make it the NFL each year but the percentage of those guys that make it is so much lower than the top players when you take into account the size of the pool of players.

It's also about impact at both the college and pro levels. Again, not to say that solid three-star and diamond in the rough types don't develop into something special, but the top dogs usually bark the loudest.
 





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