SelectionSunday
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In response to yesterday's announcement that it's bascially a done deal (like we didn't know that already).
Though against expansion to 96, I'm trying to be open-minded. It's like Doug Gottlieb said last night: "I'm against expansion to 96 teams because it devalues the regular season, but it's going to happen so we might as well accept it and move on."
Assuming the NCAA brackets the tournament exactly as it should be bracketed for each region:
#1 vs. #16-17 winner
#8 vs. #9-24 winner
#4 vs. #13-20 winner
#5 vs. #12-21 winner
#2 vs. #15-18 winner
#7 vs. #10-23 winner
#3 vs. #14-19 winner
#6 vs. #11-22 winner
Potential Pros
1. The Round of 64 and forward in all likelihood will mean a more competitive tournament. The 1s, 2s and 3s, etc., are going to have much more difficult first games. That's a good thing. A #16 will beat a #1, and it will happen sooner rather than never. It won't carry the same cache as it would in the current format, but it would still be a #16 over a #1.
2. (this all depends on how you look at it) The Gophers will be in the tournament about every year.
3. More games. For the diehards (I count myself in this group), I'm sure once next March rolls around my curiosity with the new format will increase. Like anything else, we need to give it a chance. Maybe these extra teams/games in the tourney won't be as detrimental as some of us think.
4. I do like Coach K's idea of giving automatic bids to every conference's regular season and tournament champion because it would assure the regular season and conference tournaments remain meaningful. That would mean a maximum of 62 automatics with a minimum of 34 at-larges. However, I don't think the NCAA will go for this idea. They'll want the tournament to have a "set number" of at-larges every year, not a "floating" number.
Potential Cons
1. The regular season for programs like Minnesota has basically been rendered meaningless. Unless we really, really suck, the Gophers are going to be in the NCAA Tournament every season. To put it in perspective, I'll put it to ya' this way. ... under the new format Dan Monson's Gopher teams likely would have made the tournament 5 out of his 8 years, every season except for 1999-2000, 2003-04 and 2006-07. Is that what we really want, medicore and/or under-achieving seasons rewarded with a NCAA bid?
2. I think tournament attendance will be negatively impacted big-time, especially for the Rounds of 96, 64 and (especially) Round of 32 games. Gotta' believe there's not too many people who'll be willing to travel to neutral sites to watch teams 33 to 96 square off. And how many neutral fans will be willing to commit to those mid-week games (Tuesday & Wednesday) of the 2nd week? I'll predict half empty arenas for those games. Even fans of the participating schools might "wait" to see if their team makes it to the Sweet 16 later in the week.
3. There will be less Cinderella opportunities, not more. Why, you ask? Because now once we hit the Round 64, it's more likely there will be less smaller-conference schools still around. The Cinderella stories are what make this tournament so special. I'm not convinced more teams means more Cinderella stories.
4. Bad news for Gopher season-ticket holders. My money says the Gophers' nonconference home schedules will at best remain the same and more likely get even softer. With expansion to 96, there's no incentive for a big school like Minnesota to test itself in November and December more than they already do. Play in an exempt tournament where you'll face 2-3 quality foes, maybe play one other quality game (re: ACC Challenge), schedule nothing but cupcakes at home. Go 10-2 in nonconference games, 6-12 in the Big Ten and presto you're 16-14 overall and probably safely in the tournament. Yeeeehawww!
5. The Big Ten Tournament will be worthless. Fans will be asked to fork out big bucks basically to watch most of the teams play for NCAA seeding purposes only.
6. The problem with Coach K's idea? I know for the most part all of us believe in the integrity of the game, but do you really think there would be much incentive for a regular-season champion from a traditional 1-bid league (i.e. America East, Big South, Patriot) to win its conference tournament? Those conferences will want multiple bids (and a bigger piece of the pie), so perhaps the regular-season champion decides to significantly "rest its players" during the conference tournament, opening up a greater possibility that its conference will receive a second bid?
Fire away. I know I haven't touched on everything, but these are some of my preliminary thoughts on 96. I'm warming to the idea a little bit, but I just can't get past the damage that will be done to the regular season.
A few columns
http://www.cbssports.com/collegebas...ith-expansion?tag=headlines;collegebasketball
http://sports.espn.go.com/ncb/tournament/2010/columns/story?columnist=oneil_dana&id=5048513
http://www.cbssports.com/collegebas...ney-expansion?tag=headlines;collegebasketball
Though against expansion to 96, I'm trying to be open-minded. It's like Doug Gottlieb said last night: "I'm against expansion to 96 teams because it devalues the regular season, but it's going to happen so we might as well accept it and move on."
Assuming the NCAA brackets the tournament exactly as it should be bracketed for each region:
#1 vs. #16-17 winner
#8 vs. #9-24 winner
#4 vs. #13-20 winner
#5 vs. #12-21 winner
#2 vs. #15-18 winner
#7 vs. #10-23 winner
#3 vs. #14-19 winner
#6 vs. #11-22 winner
Potential Pros
1. The Round of 64 and forward in all likelihood will mean a more competitive tournament. The 1s, 2s and 3s, etc., are going to have much more difficult first games. That's a good thing. A #16 will beat a #1, and it will happen sooner rather than never. It won't carry the same cache as it would in the current format, but it would still be a #16 over a #1.
2. (this all depends on how you look at it) The Gophers will be in the tournament about every year.
3. More games. For the diehards (I count myself in this group), I'm sure once next March rolls around my curiosity with the new format will increase. Like anything else, we need to give it a chance. Maybe these extra teams/games in the tourney won't be as detrimental as some of us think.
4. I do like Coach K's idea of giving automatic bids to every conference's regular season and tournament champion because it would assure the regular season and conference tournaments remain meaningful. That would mean a maximum of 62 automatics with a minimum of 34 at-larges. However, I don't think the NCAA will go for this idea. They'll want the tournament to have a "set number" of at-larges every year, not a "floating" number.
Potential Cons
1. The regular season for programs like Minnesota has basically been rendered meaningless. Unless we really, really suck, the Gophers are going to be in the NCAA Tournament every season. To put it in perspective, I'll put it to ya' this way. ... under the new format Dan Monson's Gopher teams likely would have made the tournament 5 out of his 8 years, every season except for 1999-2000, 2003-04 and 2006-07. Is that what we really want, medicore and/or under-achieving seasons rewarded with a NCAA bid?
2. I think tournament attendance will be negatively impacted big-time, especially for the Rounds of 96, 64 and (especially) Round of 32 games. Gotta' believe there's not too many people who'll be willing to travel to neutral sites to watch teams 33 to 96 square off. And how many neutral fans will be willing to commit to those mid-week games (Tuesday & Wednesday) of the 2nd week? I'll predict half empty arenas for those games. Even fans of the participating schools might "wait" to see if their team makes it to the Sweet 16 later in the week.
3. There will be less Cinderella opportunities, not more. Why, you ask? Because now once we hit the Round 64, it's more likely there will be less smaller-conference schools still around. The Cinderella stories are what make this tournament so special. I'm not convinced more teams means more Cinderella stories.
4. Bad news for Gopher season-ticket holders. My money says the Gophers' nonconference home schedules will at best remain the same and more likely get even softer. With expansion to 96, there's no incentive for a big school like Minnesota to test itself in November and December more than they already do. Play in an exempt tournament where you'll face 2-3 quality foes, maybe play one other quality game (re: ACC Challenge), schedule nothing but cupcakes at home. Go 10-2 in nonconference games, 6-12 in the Big Ten and presto you're 16-14 overall and probably safely in the tournament. Yeeeehawww!
5. The Big Ten Tournament will be worthless. Fans will be asked to fork out big bucks basically to watch most of the teams play for NCAA seeding purposes only.
6. The problem with Coach K's idea? I know for the most part all of us believe in the integrity of the game, but do you really think there would be much incentive for a regular-season champion from a traditional 1-bid league (i.e. America East, Big South, Patriot) to win its conference tournament? Those conferences will want multiple bids (and a bigger piece of the pie), so perhaps the regular-season champion decides to significantly "rest its players" during the conference tournament, opening up a greater possibility that its conference will receive a second bid?
Fire away. I know I haven't touched on everything, but these are some of my preliminary thoughts on 96. I'm warming to the idea a little bit, but I just can't get past the damage that will be done to the regular season.
A few columns
http://www.cbssports.com/collegebas...ith-expansion?tag=headlines;collegebasketball
http://sports.espn.go.com/ncb/tournament/2010/columns/story?columnist=oneil_dana&id=5048513
http://www.cbssports.com/collegebas...ney-expansion?tag=headlines;collegebasketball