Part 46: Big 10/BCS OOC Sked Ratings (Ohio State)

[SelectionSunday]

OHIO STATE BUCKEYES
Nov. 9 – ALCORN STATE (342) (Coaches vs. Cancer Classic)
Nov. 12 – JAMES MADISON (138) (Coaches vs. Cancer Classic)
Nov. 19 – vs. North Carolina (3) (Coaches vs. Cancer Classic)
Nov. 20 – vs. Cal or Syracuse (Coaches vs. Cancer Classic)
Nov. 24 -- LIPSCOMB (236)
Nov. 28 – ST. FRANCIS (PA.) (322)
Dec. 2 – FLORIDA STATE (15)
Dec. 5 – EASTERN MICHIGAN (318)
Dec. 12 -- at Butler (24)
Dec. 16 -- PRESBYTERIAN (215)
Dec. 19 – DELAWARE STATE (300)
Dec. 22 – CLEVELAND STATE (52)
Jan. 23 -- at West Virginia (21)

Average RPI of Opponents: 165.5
Average RPI of Home Opponents: 215.333
NCAA Qualifiers (5): Butler, Cleveland State, Florida State, North Carolina, West Virginia
Top 100 (5): North Carolina (3), Florida State (15), West Virginia (21), Butler (24), Cleveland State (52)
Projected Opponent: Syracuse (12) in Coaches vs. Cancer Classic

The Good?: The Bucks are assured of playing UNC, FSU, West Virginia, Butler and Cal/Syracuse. Those games alone assure a schedule with some serious sizzle.

The (not so) Bad?: Of the relative no-names on the home schedule, the Buckeyes perhaps should be most weary of James Madison, an up-and-coming squad in the Colonial Athletic Association.

The Ugly?: Even though this schedule offers the right amount of opportunities (roughly half) for resume-building wins, four 300+ opponents is too many.

Schedule Ratings (46 of 73)
Overall
1. West Virginia (117.8)
2. Kansas (121.333)
3. Arizona (121.6)
4. Kentucky (122.357)
5. Florida (130.214)
6. Wisconsin (146.3)
7. Penn State (148.6)
8. Arkansas (148.733)
9. Texas (148.857)
10. Cal (149.8)
11. North Carolina (152.5)
12. Illinois (152.583)
13. Michigan (153.6)
14. Iowa State (154.571)
15. Pitt (155.833)
16. Duke (156.833)
17. Michigan State (158)
18. Georgia (158.384)
19. Vanderbilt (158.5)
20. Stanford (162.727)
21. Florida State (164.416)
22. Ohio State (165.5)
23. UCLA (167.7)
24. St. John's (170.818)
25. Alabama (177.75)
26. Oklahoma State (178.384)
27. DePaul (178.6)
28. Ole Miss (178.916)
29. Clemson (179.666)
30. GOPHERS (182.7)
31. Kansas State (184.916)
32. Colorado (189.166)
33. Boston College (189.416)
34. Missouri (189.571)
35. Texas A&M (189.583)
36. Oregon (190.833)
37. Seton Hall (191.727)
38. LSU (192.09)
39. Nebraska (197.357)
40. Arizona State (198.1)
41. Indiana (198.1)
42. Auburn (199.466)
43. Georgia Tech (200.333)
44. South Florida (205)
45. Marquette (216.3)
46. Oregon State (235)

Home
1. West Virginia (120.8)
2. Kentucky (123.7)
3. Penn State (152.142)
4. Florida (157.888)
5. Pitt (157.888)
6. Kansas (161.3)
7. Arizona (161.714)
8. Wisconsin (166.25)
9. Vanderbilt (173.5)
10. Texas (175.777)
11. Clemson (178.75)
12. Arkansas (180.5)
13. Stanford (183.571)
14. Iowa State (183.8)
15. Florida State (186.5)
16. Alabama (186.555)
17. North Carolina (188.1)
18. Ole Miss (197.75)
19. Duke (198.375)
20. Seton Hall (201.5)
21. UCLA (202.428)
22. Michigan State (202.875)
23. Kansas State (205.25)
24. DePaul (209.833)
25. Cal (210.333)
26. Michigan (210.857)
27. South Florida (211.666)
28. Auburn (212.777)
29. Ohio State (215.333)
30. Oregon (216)
31. Arizona State (216.888)
32. GOPHERS (217.25)
33. Georgia (221.25)
34. LSU (222.666)
35. Illinois (223.714)
36. Georgia Tech (225.25)
37. Boston College (228)
38. Colorado (228.125)
39. Missouri (229.2)
40. St. John's (233.857)
41. Oklahoma State (235.25)
42. Indiana (237.125)
43. Texas A&M (237.5)
44. Nebraska (250.9)
45. Marquette (262.625)
46. Oregon State (296.166)

 

[OSUfan]

Your system is reasonably fair (although I think some weight should be added to differentiate between whether the games are at home, at neutral sites or true road games), but not necessarily the best because playing and winning games against top teams like UNC, WVU, Butler and Cal/Syracuse is more important than avoiding below-300 RPI teams because wins over the top teams help you come Selection Sunday (as you should know!) and just getting yourself a high RPI won't be enough if you don't have the marquee wins. Your system gives all games equal weight, and it's not like that in reality - the big games matter more.

A writer for Sports Illustrated rated OSU's nonconference schedule 4th toughest, and I believe UNC, Texas and MSU came in 1-3, but none of those teams will finish in the top-8 here.

 

[Friend Of Tubby]

I Think (Not Sure)

The RPI ratings are from LAST year's teams.

This analysis is flawed if that is true.

This year's RPI depends on this year's team.

Not last year's team.

 

[Rouser]

SS method is objective

RPI for this year does not exist until the teams start playing..and then, its only fairly accurate until about 10 games into the season.

This is a fair way to measure a schedule. Some teams will end up being better than last years RPI but others will be worse..

Guessing writers who rank schedules are doing it subjectively and only pick out a couple games here and there that jump off the page.

 

[Friend Of Tubby]

RPI for this year does not exist until the teams start playing..and then, its only fairly accurate until about 10 games into the season.

This is a fair way to measure a schedule. Some teams will end up being better than last years RPI but others will be worse..

Guessing writers who rank schedules are doing it subjectively and only pick out a couple games here and there that jump off the page.

It is completely inaccurate (flawed) to use last year's RPI as an indicator of team strength this year.

 

[SelectionSunday]

OSUfan, your points are valid. As I pointed out, I like the Buckeyes' schedule. I certainly understand that this is only a measuring tool. Yes, come Selection Sunday the most important thing is how you performed vs. the (opponents that end up being) quality opponents on your schedule. I certainly understand that.