My Big Ten Power Rankings

NoelarBear

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Where do things stand after Week Twelve?

Our own Noel Thompson gives us his Big Ten Power Rankings.


1. Oregon
Last Week: #1

2. Indiana
Last Week: #2

3. Ohio State
Last Week: #3

4. Penn State
Last Week: #4


5. Illinois
Last Week: #5

6. Iowa
Last Week: #6

7. Minnesota
Last Week: #7

8. Washington
Last Week: #9

9. Michigan
Last Week: #8

10. UCLA
Last Week: #8

11. Wisconsin
Last Week: #12

12. Rutgers
Last Week: #13

13. USC
Last Week: #15

14. Michigan State
Last Week: #11

15. Nebraska
Last Week: #14


16. Maryland
Last Week: #16

17. Northwestern
Last Week: #17

18. Purdue
Last Week: #18
 

This seems just like a ranking by record vs. who would win head-to-head. For instance, I love the Indiana story this year and I would love from them to win the B1G. However, they got extremely lucky in that their first game vs. a team that is actually good this year is this week – and, they are 12.5 point dogs. I don’t think you typically see a point spread like this for a match-up of Top 5 programs. For reference, the point spread we have for our game vs. PSU is 11.5 points. So, it implies the gap between us and PSU (#4 vs. unranked) is less than between #2 and #5.

Here is my modified rankings based on who I believe would win head-to-head if they played right now:

OSU
Oregon
PSU
Indiana
Illinois
Iowa
Michigan
Minnesota
Washington
USC
Rutgers
Wisconsin
UCLA
Nebraska
MSU
Maryland
Northwestern
Purdue
 

Well, Minnesota beat Illinois. Yes, we also lost to Michigan... kind of, but...

I'm not exactly unbiased, but I'd take Minnesota over both Illinois and Michigan if we were playing either of those teams this Saturday.
 




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