Because of their tough non-conference schedule and poor record playing against it.....They are currently 13-9 overall.
if they continue their freefall, it will be very interesting to see what happens.
Their schedule:
@ Wisconsin Loss
Penn State ?
@ Ohio State Loss
Illinois ?
@ Minnesota ?
Purdue Loss
Iowa Win
@ Michigan ?
I have got them going 1-3 with 4 toss up games. If they go 1-3 in the four toss up games...they finish 15-15 and need a Big Ten tourney win to even be eligible for the NIT. If they go 4-0 in the 4 toss up games, they probably still make the dance.