Predictions for the Michigan game and the upcoming B1G season for the Minnesota Golden Gophers. And beer!
Models
I suspect everything about this section is going to be a topic of conversation in the comments.
The M&B Top 25, with a new #1!
Rank Team Log5Prob Change
1 Baylor .911 1
2 Florida State .909 -1
3 Auburn .896 0
4 Oregon .890 0
5 LSU .875 0
6 Texas A&M .869 0
7 Oklahoma .861 2
8 Stanford .860 -1
9 USC .855 -1
10 Mississippi State .854 1
11 Mississippi .848 -1
12 Georgia .838 4
13 Notre Dame .837 0
14 UCLA .834 1
15 BYU .832 4
16 Michigan State .827 -2
17 Florida .827 -5
18 Wisconsin .826 -1
19 Oklahoma State .816 1
20 Louisville .811 4
21 Alabama .806 -3
22 Ohio State .802 1
23 Missouri .796 -1
24 Arizona .796 -3
25 TCU .787 0
37 Michigan .716 -10
44 Minnesota .694 -6
We're still dropping, though not as much from a Log5 perspective (pure performance) so many as other teams are surpassing us. Michigan, however, woof.
As for the Battle for the Little Brown Jug:
Gopher Win Probability 47.4%
Predicted Margin of Victory -1
Current Vegas Spread Gophers +12
Current Vegas Over/Under 43
Sportsbooks seem to like Michigan to trounce us, though that could be more about public money flowing into the Wolverines and an overreaction to the 1 pass game. That said, now is as good a time as any to go under the hood of M&B and unveil some of the secret sauce.
To see the secret sauce click on the link below.
http://www.thedailygopher.com/2014/...football-game-predictions-michigan-wolverines
Models
I suspect everything about this section is going to be a topic of conversation in the comments.
The M&B Top 25, with a new #1!
Rank Team Log5Prob Change
1 Baylor .911 1
2 Florida State .909 -1
3 Auburn .896 0
4 Oregon .890 0
5 LSU .875 0
6 Texas A&M .869 0
7 Oklahoma .861 2
8 Stanford .860 -1
9 USC .855 -1
10 Mississippi State .854 1
11 Mississippi .848 -1
12 Georgia .838 4
13 Notre Dame .837 0
14 UCLA .834 1
15 BYU .832 4
16 Michigan State .827 -2
17 Florida .827 -5
18 Wisconsin .826 -1
19 Oklahoma State .816 1
20 Louisville .811 4
21 Alabama .806 -3
22 Ohio State .802 1
23 Missouri .796 -1
24 Arizona .796 -3
25 TCU .787 0
37 Michigan .716 -10
44 Minnesota .694 -6
We're still dropping, though not as much from a Log5 perspective (pure performance) so many as other teams are surpassing us. Michigan, however, woof.
As for the Battle for the Little Brown Jug:
Gopher Win Probability 47.4%
Predicted Margin of Victory -1
Current Vegas Spread Gophers +12
Current Vegas Over/Under 43
Sportsbooks seem to like Michigan to trounce us, though that could be more about public money flowing into the Wolverines and an overreaction to the 1 pass game. That said, now is as good a time as any to go under the hood of M&B and unveil some of the secret sauce.
To see the secret sauce click on the link below.
http://www.thedailygopher.com/2014/...football-game-predictions-michigan-wolverines
