I think it's very questionable how he has Kansas a #1 seed. They "only" lost one of the top-2 players in college basketball last year, as well as their leader in the backcourt in Taylor. I guess he feels he needs to make someone West of the Mississippi a #1 seed, even if they don't deserve it.
Kentucky also is a questionable #1 seed. They're losing basically their entire team. They have talent on paper, but it often doesn't come together like it looks like it will on paper. Problems that don't show up well on paper (like poor 3-point shooting, mediocre team ballhandling, poor FT shooting) commonly become big issues for teams that are starting over like that. I think Noel is a far cry from Davis - not even close - that is a big drop-off in my opinion. If they got Shabazz Muhammad I wouldn't have such strong doubts, but the reality is they didn't get the one guy that is ready to step in and star.