It may be an NCAA tourney team, but it is still doubtful. They just lost their all-time leading scorer and their leading rebounder from last season, and this was a team that struggled mightily in terms of rebounding. You don't just replace 20 ppg with one guy if you're Northwestern. They will need multiple guys to step up just to maintain the 20-win pace they've had going the past few years - Swopshire certainly could be one of those guys, but I don't believe in Cerina stepping up and being very good. Starter at TCU is pretty irrelevant - TCU was awful when he was there and he didn't put up big numbers, either. Cerina is a bit player on an NCAA tourney team - if he starts for NW, they're not making the tournament most likely. Swopshire gives them some reason for optimism again, but them making the tournament is something I have to see to believe in.