NC State was up & down last year (5-11 in the ACC, so mostly down), doesn't lose much and adds a few pretty good recruits - sounds like a team that should be UR to start the season and have to earn their way into the rankings. CJ Leslie is an excellent athlete but not very skilled - I don't know if he "moves the meter" for me. Definitely should be better than last year, but last year was not good. Hard to say who's going to be #2 behind Duke in the ACC, but there is a lot of quality competition - FSU, VT, UNC all come to mind.
At this point, I would put Northwestern and Texas in the rankings. But the team that everyone seems to be rating very high that I have doubts about is Villanova. They lose an All-American and Wayns/Cheek are "just as talented"? Really? If they were just as good, then why didn't they play ahead of Reynolds last year? If they are so good, why (even with AA Reynolds and Redding) did they lose to St. Mary's and barely beat Robert Morris? Don't even bring up the "sex scandal" because that was a hoax and Deadspin even posted an article debunking it a day after their article that published it.
I think Washington (with Terrence Jones), Missouri and Florida are all very intriguing teams that may be underrated by some other folks but they deserve to be considered for the top-10, maybe Missouri is a little high at #9 - a glue guy is harder to replace than people expect.