SelectionSunday
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Coming in Monday's College Hoops Summit?
My midseason MVP & 1st team All-Summit League selections. There are at least 12 guys worthy of consideration, but I'll narrow it down to six. Selections will be based on league play/stats only.
(all rankings NET, all times Central)
ST. THOMAS (17-6 overall, 6-2 Summit League, 9-11 ATS)
NET: Tommies drop 1 spot to #128
Torvik (T-Rank): Tommies move up 1 spot to #126
Friday Summit League Results/Highlights
None
Saturday Summit League Slate
#328 Oral Roberts @ #188 South Dakota State, 2 (SLN)
#257 Omaha @ #263 Denver, 3 (SLN)
#116 North Dakota State @ #284 South Dakota, 5 (Midco Sports)
Saturday Reach the Summit Selections (25-9, 73.5%, 1 exacta)
South Dakota State over Oral Roberts by 12
Omaha over Denver by 2
North Dakota State over South Dakota by 8
Current Top 5 (NDSU/UND/UST/USD/Ohama) Head-to-Head
Keeping tabs on how the (current) top five teams are faring head-to-head. The league's regular season champion(s) likely finishes with the best record in this group.
Head-to-Head
1. North Dakota State (3-0)
2. St. Thomas (3-2)
3. North Dakota (2-2)
4. Omaha (1-2)
5. South Dakota (1-4)
Summit League Leader (North Dakota State) Resume Snapshot
NET: #116
Torvik (T-Rank): #115
Record vs. DI Opponents: 15-5, 8-0 Summit
True Road Record: 7-4
Projected NCAA Tournament Seed: #14
Strength of Record: #101
Wins Above Bubble: #103
Overall SOS: #356
Non-Conference SOS: #344
Record/Winning% vs. Quad 1: 0-0
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1 & 2 Combined: 0-0
Record/Winning % vs. Quads 1-3 Combined: 4-4 (50%)
Quad 4 (Awful) Losses: 1 (@ #291 UTEP)
Record vs. Projected NCAA Qualifiers: 0-0
Dribbles & Scribbles
-- Get ready for even more Power 5 at-large bids on Selection Sunday. With each passing season it's becoming harder and harder for non-Power 5 conference teams to build an at-large worthy resume because of the Power 5's refusal to schedule them. There are only a select few non-P5 teams the P5 will schedule regularly (Gonzaga, Memphis, and Dayton immediately come to mind). At this writing, I have only seven non-P5 teams (excluding Gonzaga) legitimately in the conversation for an at-large bid if they fail to win their conference tournament: undefeated Miami (OH), New Mexico, Saint Louis, Saint Mary's, San Diego State, Santa Clara, and Utah State. There were only four last season, and it's far from a certainty we'll hit that number March 15 (Selection Sunday).
-- Make no mistake, Duke, UConn and Gonzaga are national title contenders. But when it comes down to determining the #1 and #2 seeds, the fact is the very top of their conferences just don't match up with the Big XII, Big Ten, and SEC. There are more legitimate candidates for #1 seeds this season than I can ever remember (Duke, UConn, Arizona, Houston, Iowa State, Illinois, Michigan, Nebraska, Gonzaga). That should be considered when doling out those precious #1 and #2 seeds. With all due respect, Virginia, Louisville, North Carolina, Saint John's, Villanova, Seton Hall, Saint Mary's, and Santa Clara as the "meat" of your conference slate just doesn't compare to the top-end heavyweights in the Big XII and Big Ten. There are no "gauntlet" parts of the schedule to deal with in the ACC, Big East, and WCC.
-- Hey bubbler Virginia Tech. Do you want to play in the NCAA Tournament? Here's your chance. Duke. On your home court. Sure to be a raucous crowd cheering you on. Stand up.
-- Something to ponder. If Miami (OH) goes undefeated (not likely, I know) or let's say even 33-1 with a loss in the MAC Tournament, where do you seed them for the NCAA Tournament? Perhaps "not at all" is your answer?
What would I do despite the RedHawks having (at best) only one Quad 1 win and a few Quad 2s sprinkled in on their resume? I'd reward them for a spotless or near-spotless season with a #7 or #10 seed. ... the "reward" being NOT getting a #8 or #9 seed so that if they won their first-round game they'd avoid a #1 seed.
Friday Bubblicious Results (bubble teams underlined)
@ #50 Akron 69, Kent State 52
@ #52 VCU 89, Loyola-Chicago 75
Saturday Bubblicious Tracker
Marquette @ #49 Seton Hall, 11 (NBCSN/Peacock)
Duke @ #54 Virginia Tech, 11 (ESPN)
Georgetown @ #58 Butler, 11 (TNT)
#37 Ohio State @ Wisconsin, 1 (FOX)
#41 Texas @ Oklahoma, 1 (ESPN2)
#56 Cal @ Miami-Florida, 3 (ACCN)
#32 Indiana @ #40 UCLA, 4 (NBCSN/Peacock)
#74 Oklahoma State @ Utah, 5 (ESPN2)
Rutgers @ #48 USC, 6 (NBCSN/Peacock)
#44 Santa Clara @ Loyola Marymount, 8 (ESPN+)
#38 New Mexico @ San Jose State, 9 (CBSSN)
Other Games to Watch
Texas Tech @ UCF, 11 (ESPN2)
San Diego State @ Utah State, noon (CBS)
Texas A&M @ Georgia, noon (SECN)
SMU @ Louisville, 1 (ESPN)
East Tennessee State @ Wofford, 1 (CBSSN)
Northern Illinois @ Miami-Ohio, 2:30 (ESPN+)
BYU @ Kansas, 3:30 (ESPN)
Montana State @ Portland State, 4 (ESPN+)
Kentucky @ Arkansas, 5:30 (ESPN)
Harvard @ Yale, 6 (ESPN+)
Murray State @ Belmont, 7 (CBSSN)
Saint Mary's @ Gonzaga, 9:30 (ESPN)
Bubblicious Snapshots (#41, #50, #52, #68)
A daily look at the bubble and watching it evolve & shrink leading up to Selection Sunday:
#41 (Texas) NCAA Tournament Resume (best NET# left out of '25 field)
NET: #41
Torvik (T-Rank): #38
Record vs. DI Opponents: 11-9, 3-5 SEC
True Road Record: 1-4
Strength of Record: #60
Wins Above Bubble: #56
Overall SOS: #3
Non-Conference SOS: #62
Record/Winning% vs. Quad 1: 3-6 (33.3%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1 & 2 Combined: 4-8 (33.3%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1-3 Combined: 4-9 (30.8%)
Quad 4 (Awful) Losses: 0
Record vs. Projected NCAA Qualifiers: 5-7 (wins #13 Vanderbilt, @ #20 Alabama, vs. #27 NC State, #34 Georgia, #322 UMES)
#50 (Akron) NCAA Tournament Resume (worst at-large NET# to make '25 field)
NET: #52
Torvik (T-Rank): #53
Record vs. DI Opponents: 16-4, 9-1 MAC
True Road Record: 4-2
Strength of Record: #66
Wins Above Bubble: #64
Overall SOS: #218
Non-Conference SOS: #209
Record/Winning% vs. Quad 1: 0-2 (0%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1 & 2 Combined: 1-4 (20%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1-3 Combined: 5-4 (55.6%)
Quad 4 (Awful) Losses: 0
Record vs. Projected NCAA Qualifiers: 0-3
#52 (VCU) NCAA Tournament Resume (mythical Bubble cutline)
NET: #52
Torvik (T-Rank): #70
Record vs. DI Opponents: 16-6, 7-2 Atlantic 10
True Road Record: 3-2
Strength of Record: #59
Wins Above Bubble: #53
Overall SOS: #87
Non-Conference SOS: #74
Record/Winning% vs. Quad 1: 0-5 (0%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1 & 2 Combined: 4-6 (40%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1-3 Combined: 7-6 (53.8%)
Quad 4 (Awful) Losses: 0
Record vs. Projected NCAA Qualifiers: 0-5
#68 (Wake Forest) NCAA Tournament Resume (if field was best NET 68)
NET: #68
Torvik (T-Rank): #66
Record vs. DI Opponents: 11-10, 2-6 ACC
True Road Record: 1-4
Strength of Record: #77
Wins Above Bubble: #76
Overall SOS: #24
Non-Conference SOS: #92
Record/Winning% vs. Quad 1: 0-6 (0%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1 & 2 Combined: 3-10 (23.1%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1-3 Combined: 4-10 (28.6%)
Quad 4 (Awful) Losses: 0
Record vs. Projected NCAA Qualifiers: 0-8
Saturday Pick to Click (51-34, 60%, W-2 streak)
Texas Tech -4.5 @ UCF
Saturday Outright +7 or More ‘Dog (17-68, 20%, L-3)
SMU (+9.5) outright @ Louisville
Deep Thoughts, by Buzz Studley
Dusty May is a really good basketball coach and a perfect fit for Michigan. ... arrogant as all get-out.
My midseason MVP & 1st team All-Summit League selections. There are at least 12 guys worthy of consideration, but I'll narrow it down to six. Selections will be based on league play/stats only.
(all rankings NET, all times Central)
ST. THOMAS (17-6 overall, 6-2 Summit League, 9-11 ATS)
NET: Tommies drop 1 spot to #128
Torvik (T-Rank): Tommies move up 1 spot to #126
Friday Summit League Results/Highlights
None
Saturday Summit League Slate
#328 Oral Roberts @ #188 South Dakota State, 2 (SLN)
#257 Omaha @ #263 Denver, 3 (SLN)
#116 North Dakota State @ #284 South Dakota, 5 (Midco Sports)
Saturday Reach the Summit Selections (25-9, 73.5%, 1 exacta)
South Dakota State over Oral Roberts by 12
Omaha over Denver by 2
North Dakota State over South Dakota by 8
Current Top 5 (NDSU/UND/UST/USD/Ohama) Head-to-Head
Keeping tabs on how the (current) top five teams are faring head-to-head. The league's regular season champion(s) likely finishes with the best record in this group.
Head-to-Head
1. North Dakota State (3-0)
2. St. Thomas (3-2)
3. North Dakota (2-2)
4. Omaha (1-2)
5. South Dakota (1-4)
Summit League Leader (North Dakota State) Resume Snapshot
NET: #116
Torvik (T-Rank): #115
Record vs. DI Opponents: 15-5, 8-0 Summit
True Road Record: 7-4
Projected NCAA Tournament Seed: #14
Strength of Record: #101
Wins Above Bubble: #103
Overall SOS: #356
Non-Conference SOS: #344
Record/Winning% vs. Quad 1: 0-0
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1 & 2 Combined: 0-0
Record/Winning % vs. Quads 1-3 Combined: 4-4 (50%)
Quad 4 (Awful) Losses: 1 (@ #291 UTEP)
Record vs. Projected NCAA Qualifiers: 0-0
Dribbles & Scribbles
-- Get ready for even more Power 5 at-large bids on Selection Sunday. With each passing season it's becoming harder and harder for non-Power 5 conference teams to build an at-large worthy resume because of the Power 5's refusal to schedule them. There are only a select few non-P5 teams the P5 will schedule regularly (Gonzaga, Memphis, and Dayton immediately come to mind). At this writing, I have only seven non-P5 teams (excluding Gonzaga) legitimately in the conversation for an at-large bid if they fail to win their conference tournament: undefeated Miami (OH), New Mexico, Saint Louis, Saint Mary's, San Diego State, Santa Clara, and Utah State. There were only four last season, and it's far from a certainty we'll hit that number March 15 (Selection Sunday).
-- Make no mistake, Duke, UConn and Gonzaga are national title contenders. But when it comes down to determining the #1 and #2 seeds, the fact is the very top of their conferences just don't match up with the Big XII, Big Ten, and SEC. There are more legitimate candidates for #1 seeds this season than I can ever remember (Duke, UConn, Arizona, Houston, Iowa State, Illinois, Michigan, Nebraska, Gonzaga). That should be considered when doling out those precious #1 and #2 seeds. With all due respect, Virginia, Louisville, North Carolina, Saint John's, Villanova, Seton Hall, Saint Mary's, and Santa Clara as the "meat" of your conference slate just doesn't compare to the top-end heavyweights in the Big XII and Big Ten. There are no "gauntlet" parts of the schedule to deal with in the ACC, Big East, and WCC.
-- Hey bubbler Virginia Tech. Do you want to play in the NCAA Tournament? Here's your chance. Duke. On your home court. Sure to be a raucous crowd cheering you on. Stand up.
-- Something to ponder. If Miami (OH) goes undefeated (not likely, I know) or let's say even 33-1 with a loss in the MAC Tournament, where do you seed them for the NCAA Tournament? Perhaps "not at all" is your answer?
What would I do despite the RedHawks having (at best) only one Quad 1 win and a few Quad 2s sprinkled in on their resume? I'd reward them for a spotless or near-spotless season with a #7 or #10 seed. ... the "reward" being NOT getting a #8 or #9 seed so that if they won their first-round game they'd avoid a #1 seed.
Friday Bubblicious Results (bubble teams underlined)
@ #50 Akron 69, Kent State 52
@ #52 VCU 89, Loyola-Chicago 75
Saturday Bubblicious Tracker
Marquette @ #49 Seton Hall, 11 (NBCSN/Peacock)
Duke @ #54 Virginia Tech, 11 (ESPN)
Georgetown @ #58 Butler, 11 (TNT)
#37 Ohio State @ Wisconsin, 1 (FOX)
#41 Texas @ Oklahoma, 1 (ESPN2)
#56 Cal @ Miami-Florida, 3 (ACCN)
#32 Indiana @ #40 UCLA, 4 (NBCSN/Peacock)
#74 Oklahoma State @ Utah, 5 (ESPN2)
Rutgers @ #48 USC, 6 (NBCSN/Peacock)
#44 Santa Clara @ Loyola Marymount, 8 (ESPN+)
#38 New Mexico @ San Jose State, 9 (CBSSN)
Other Games to Watch
Texas Tech @ UCF, 11 (ESPN2)
San Diego State @ Utah State, noon (CBS)
Texas A&M @ Georgia, noon (SECN)
SMU @ Louisville, 1 (ESPN)
East Tennessee State @ Wofford, 1 (CBSSN)
Northern Illinois @ Miami-Ohio, 2:30 (ESPN+)
BYU @ Kansas, 3:30 (ESPN)
Montana State @ Portland State, 4 (ESPN+)
Kentucky @ Arkansas, 5:30 (ESPN)
Harvard @ Yale, 6 (ESPN+)
Murray State @ Belmont, 7 (CBSSN)
Saint Mary's @ Gonzaga, 9:30 (ESPN)
Bubblicious Snapshots (#41, #50, #52, #68)
A daily look at the bubble and watching it evolve & shrink leading up to Selection Sunday:
#41 (Texas) NCAA Tournament Resume (best NET# left out of '25 field)
NET: #41
Torvik (T-Rank): #38
Record vs. DI Opponents: 11-9, 3-5 SEC
True Road Record: 1-4
Strength of Record: #60
Wins Above Bubble: #56
Overall SOS: #3
Non-Conference SOS: #62
Record/Winning% vs. Quad 1: 3-6 (33.3%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1 & 2 Combined: 4-8 (33.3%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1-3 Combined: 4-9 (30.8%)
Quad 4 (Awful) Losses: 0
Record vs. Projected NCAA Qualifiers: 5-7 (wins #13 Vanderbilt, @ #20 Alabama, vs. #27 NC State, #34 Georgia, #322 UMES)
#50 (Akron) NCAA Tournament Resume (worst at-large NET# to make '25 field)
NET: #52
Torvik (T-Rank): #53
Record vs. DI Opponents: 16-4, 9-1 MAC
True Road Record: 4-2
Strength of Record: #66
Wins Above Bubble: #64
Overall SOS: #218
Non-Conference SOS: #209
Record/Winning% vs. Quad 1: 0-2 (0%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1 & 2 Combined: 1-4 (20%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1-3 Combined: 5-4 (55.6%)
Quad 4 (Awful) Losses: 0
Record vs. Projected NCAA Qualifiers: 0-3
#52 (VCU) NCAA Tournament Resume (mythical Bubble cutline)
NET: #52
Torvik (T-Rank): #70
Record vs. DI Opponents: 16-6, 7-2 Atlantic 10
True Road Record: 3-2
Strength of Record: #59
Wins Above Bubble: #53
Overall SOS: #87
Non-Conference SOS: #74
Record/Winning% vs. Quad 1: 0-5 (0%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1 & 2 Combined: 4-6 (40%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1-3 Combined: 7-6 (53.8%)
Quad 4 (Awful) Losses: 0
Record vs. Projected NCAA Qualifiers: 0-5
#68 (Wake Forest) NCAA Tournament Resume (if field was best NET 68)
NET: #68
Torvik (T-Rank): #66
Record vs. DI Opponents: 11-10, 2-6 ACC
True Road Record: 1-4
Strength of Record: #77
Wins Above Bubble: #76
Overall SOS: #24
Non-Conference SOS: #92
Record/Winning% vs. Quad 1: 0-6 (0%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1 & 2 Combined: 3-10 (23.1%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1-3 Combined: 4-10 (28.6%)
Quad 4 (Awful) Losses: 0
Record vs. Projected NCAA Qualifiers: 0-8
Saturday Pick to Click (51-34, 60%, W-2 streak)
Texas Tech -4.5 @ UCF
Saturday Outright +7 or More ‘Dog (17-68, 20%, L-3)
SMU (+9.5) outright @ Louisville
Deep Thoughts, by Buzz Studley
Dusty May is a really good basketball coach and a perfect fit for Michigan. ... arrogant as all get-out.
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