I believe Selection Sunday is usually 68 for 68 FYI
I appreciate the support sec105, though I was off by one last year! Have only been perfect 2 times since I started doing this 1991-92. I usually post this twice a season. I'll post it now, then I always post it with my final "Field of 68" projection in the wee hours (late Saturday/early Sunday) of Selection Sunday. I stick to predicting the at-larges, and leave the projecting of seeds to knowledgeable folks like Lunardi, Palm, and Face the Facts. Predicting seeds is too much work for me!
Here are the numbers since I started projecting the at-larges in the 1991-92 season. Started tracking how I stack up vs. Lunardi and Palm over the last 4 seasons, as well as since the field expanded to 68. I still contend that identifying the at-larges (this year there will be 36) for the most part is a piece of cake; it's only the last 4 to half dozen that get a little tricky.
SelectionSunday Projecting At-Larges (1991-92 through 2012-13)
1991-92: 33/34
1992-93: 31/34
1993-94: 30/34
1994-95: 30/34
1995-96: 33/34
1996-97: 31/34
1997-98: 30/34
1998-99: 31/34
1999-00: 32/34
2000-01: 34/34 -- perfect --
2001-02: 33/34
2002-03: 33/34
2003-04: 31/34
2004-05: 32/34
2005-06: 31/34
2006-07: 32/34
2007-08: 33/34
2008-09: 34/34 -- perfect --
2009-10: 33/34
2010-11: 35/37
2011-12: 36/37
2012-13: 36/37
Totals: 714/757 (94.3%)
Last 5 Years: 174/179 (97.2%)
SelectionSunday At-Large Projections
2009-10: 33/34 (Illinois; Florida in instead)
2010-11: 35/37 (Colorado/Virginia Tech; Georgia/UAB in instead)
2011-12: 36/37 (Seton Hall; Iona in instead)
2012-13: 36/37 (Kentucky; LaSalle instead)
Last 4 Years: 140/145 (96.6%)
Since Field of 68: 107/111 (96.4%)
Joe Lunardi (ESPN.com) At-Large Projections
2009-10: 33/34 (Illinois; Florida in instead)
2010-11: 34/37 (Colorado/St. Mary’s/Virginia Tech; Georgia/UAB/VCU in instead)
2011-12: 36/37 (Seton Hall; Iona in instead)
2012-13: 37/37 – perfect --
Last 4 Years: 140/145 (96.6%)
Since Field of 68: 107/111 (96.4%)
Jerry Palm (CBSSports.com) At-Large Projections
2009-10: 34/34 -- perfect --
2010-11: 35/37 (St. Mary’s/Virginia Tech; UAB/USC in instead)
2011-12: 35/37 (Northwestern/Seton Hall; Iona/NC State instead)
2012-13: 36/37 (Tennessee; Middle Tennessee instead)
Last 4 Years: 140/145 (96.6%)
Since Field of 68: 106/111 (95.5%)