I really do appreciate your optimism because I continue to foresee and even expect a postseason NCAA Tournament berth, but many of your points are just misguided and, frankly, wrong. I've responded accordingly.
I can't believe all the negativity with the Gophers. The expectations going into this year was a 4th or 5th place finish in the Big Ten. Right now we are 6th with the easiest part of our Big Ten schedule coming up.
I think most people picked this team to finish behind Michigan State and Purdue, but ahead of Ohio State and Wisconsin. I expected them to sit around #15 in the Top 25 all season and legitimately compete for a Big Ten title. Injuries, arrests and ineligibility aside, this has been a terribly disappointing season overall and completely understand the negativity. Yes, the easy part of the schedule is coming up, but has the team really inspired any confidence that they can take care of the games they need to win in order to secure an NCAA berth? I'm as optimistic as anyone, but I still ground myself in reality.
We have competed in every game other than the OSU one. The way we lost was bad, but a road game in the big ten against a superior opponent isn't a bad loss whether we lose by 30 or 1.
Yes, we've competed, but we've lost and even gave up very close games. With the exception of today's Penn State buzzer-beater, the team has yet to prove that it can finish a game in crunch time. Too often this season have we seen them melt down in the final six minutes (read: Portland, Miami, Texas A&M, Michigan State) Playing anybody on the road in the Big Ten is difficult, but the Ohio State loss was just embarrassing. They aren't superior, as we saw when we beat them earlier in the season. Everyone competes, but the truly good teams can actually finish things off once in awhile.
We are 11-1 at home, with our only loss coming in a great game against MSU with our starting PG out of the game.
Indeed, the Gophers play very well at home. They should be 12-0, though, after giving up at 13-point lead in the final seven minutes, and well on their way to a tourney bid. Meltdowns like the MSU game undermine my confidence that they can take a game at home against either Wisconsin or Purdue, which are instrumental to their tournament chances.
We have only had two bad losses to Portland and Indiana all year. If you discount those games, our losses have come against teams with a combined 88-26 record.
If you discount the games? That's ridiculous. You cannot just forget about losses, especially to sub-par teams like Portland and Indiana. Those losses exposed weaknesses that still haven't been figured out. Namely, who do we go to in crunch time? How do we avoid becoming scared with a five-point lead with three minutes to go?
Luckily the tourney committee doesn't look at who you have lost to, but who you have beat. Well we have beat #10 Butler, and now #13 Ohio State. And we still have opportunities to beat #7 Purdue and #16 Wisconsin at home.
Actually, the committee looks very closely at who you lost to. The Indiana loss may very well be the nail in the coffin of the Gopher tournament hopes when all is said and done as their RPI is a disgustingly-high 225. Wins over Butler and Ohio State look very good, though, and I agree that the Purdue/Wisconsin opportunities present resume-building wins.
Most importantly we have beat another Big Ten bubble team in NW, and have an opportunity to sweep other Bubble teams in Michigan, and Illinois.
Again, I agree. Wins on the road against Northwestern or Michigan would go a long ways toward the Gopher tourney hopes, especially considering how well we'd expect them to play at Williams Arena. However, going on the road to Evanston, Ann Arbor and Champaign are difficult tasks, and while Minnesota may be the superior team on paper, road games in the Big Ten are a tall, tall task
So far the Gophers have had a decent season, but are still very much in contention.
Yes, their season has been decent at best. Decent to the point that they sit squarely on the NCAA Tournament bubble. In order to make it into the field of 65 they need to take care of inferior teams at home and beat either Wisconsin or Purdue in order to feel comfortable on Selection Sunday. None of that sounds easy with the squad we've fielded all season.
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