Gophers going 9-3 - tell me I am wrong

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North Carolina - their offense is medium this year. Close W
Rhode Island - awful. w big
Nevada - awful. w big
Iowa - fair catch guy not waking through that door, close W
@ Michigan - they’re more like a 8-9 win team than 10-11…but loss close
USC - first one to 49 wins. No one can stop anyone. Gophers win TOP and the game. Close.
@ UCLA - worst team in big ten. But gophers sleepy and reading head lines. Close low scoring W

Bye - 6-1 headed to bye

Maryland - high scoring game. 50/50. Call it a W
@ Illinois - close win and Beilema gets fired after game
@ Rutgers - potential college gameday game as their have a trash schedule and an inflated record. Win big. They suck.

Bye

9-1 headed into Penn state

Where have we had a game like this? Darius Taylor rushes for 200. Lose. Close.

@ Wisconsin - just to piss me off. Wisconsin by 21 after OL injuries early in the game.


9-3
 



People do get dealt three aces sometimes.

The cards would have to fall in Gophers favor. A few wins by 1 to 3 and not losses.
 

Nice to dream big. I can get on board with Beilema firing (I might rejoice in that more than the win) but likely wishful thinking.
 


It just such a toss up for both the Gophs and Vikes and it all stems on the qb play. We get consistent qb play, there's enough playmakers on both sides of the ball to make some noise.
 


9 wins would shock the sports world. Fantasy.
 




I see 6, 7 or 8 wins. just don't ask me which games. too many toss-ups along the way.

best bets for wins - Rhode Island and Nevada
most likely losses - Michigan and Penn State

the other 8 games determine what kind of season it will be.
Gophs go 4-4 - they make a bowl game
5-3 gets you a slightly better bowl game
6-2 and everyone (at least almost everyone) can be happy.

in order for the Gophers to finish better than 8-4, damn near everything will have to break their way.
 

Pretty simple IMO. If the Goph's core players stay healthy like they did in 2019, the record will be good. If they have multiple key injuries like last year, the record will look like last year. They have the horses to be good, but will they be on the field?
 

short ornery norwegian said:
I see 6, 7 or 8 wins. just don't ask me which games. too many toss-ups along the way.

best bets for wins - Rhode Island and Nevada
most likely losses - Michigan and Penn State

the other 8 games determine what kind of season it will be.
Gophs go 4-4 - they make a bowl game
5-3 gets you a slightly better bowl game
6-2 and everyone (at least almost everyone) can be happy.

in order for the Gophers to finish better than 8-4, damn near everything will have to break their way.
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Winning the North Carolina game will make the rest of the schedule seem more doable and give us a great shot at 8 wins.
 

if we start 9-1 and then bomb out to finish 9-3 and miss out on a chance at sneaking into the CFP, would imagine it would hurt worse than the dropping the IA and WI games to miss out on a west title in 2019. 10-2 this year with then at least wins against 3 of IA, PSU, USC, Mich, and WI gets in. 10-2 will be interesting this year b/c probably not good enough to play for the B10 title but probably gets you ranked inside the top 12.
 



upnorthkid said:
if we start 9-1 and then bomb out to finish 9-3 and miss out on a chance at sneaking into the CFP, would imagine it would hurt worse than the dropping the IA and WI games to miss out on a west title in 2019. 10-2 this year with then at least wins against 3 of IA, PSU, USC, Mich, and WI gets in. 10-2 will be interesting this year b/c probably not good enough to play for the B10 title but probably gets you ranked inside the top 12.
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Really depends.

10-2 against that schedule

The two clear favorites are Ohio state and Oregon.
They play each other. Does the loser pick up a second loss.

And what are the tiebreakers?
 

Let’s start 1-0 and go from there! Hopefully my voice is extra hoarse come that Friday morning from so much cheering.
 

Some guy said:
Really depends.

10-2 against that schedule

The two clear favorites are Ohio state and Oregon.
They play each other. Does the loser pick up a second loss.

And what are the tiebreakers?
Click to expand...
of course. was more playing the logic angle rather than running the schedule for every single team (and there are way too many permutations to figure out all the other angles). I'd be very surprised if one of Oregon and OSU don't finish with 0 or 1 loss (if not both). And if we end up tied with either of them, we're not getting moved ahead (I can't find anywhere how they're going to break ties between tied teams who did not play each other, probably because they want to prevent this exact scenario of the Gophers getting in ahead of teams like Oregon, OSU, Mich, etc. unless they lost a direct H2H).

Though tbh, I'd rather go 10-2 and not make the title game as we probably slip into the CFP rather than draw OSU or Oregon and lose, thus missing out on the dance and playing an upper-middle tier bowl game. Both of the B10 and SEC are going to be in weird places with how this gets handled from a CFP standpoint. If you have 3 10-2 teams , 2 make your title game and one has to pick up another loss (the same applies for if you have 1 undefeated and 2 others tied at 10-2). How does the committee handle that team? Do they get a pass and get to stay ahead of the 3rd place team so we're just playing title games for fun (ie for money for the conference)? We could also conceivably get 1 loss OSU (to Oregon), 1 loss PSU (to OSU), 1 loss Oregon (to Michigan), and 1 loss Michigan (to OSU) this year.

Maybe it won't matter and this won't happen, but with this many teams who don't play each other, it will eventually. And given the reluctance to release a tiebreaker criteria (it may be simply that there are too many permutations), I'd envision it's to protect the ability to select the teams they want and justify it after the fact whenever it does occur.
 

8-9 W’s depends on top players staying on the field and the development of the DB’s, LB’s,WR’s and improved QB play. That’s asking a lot and, if not, we could see a repeat of last year. Then the PJ doubters will
really howl. And rightly so.
Panthadad2 said:
Pretty simple IMO. If the Goph's core players stay healthy like they did in 2019, the record will be good. If they have multiple key injuries like last year, the record will look like last year. They have the horses to be good, but will they be on the fie
Click to expand...
 
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I don't think you're wrong I just think we have too big of question marks at very important position groups - QB, secondary/back 7, WR. The UNC game will be very interesting to see how we look physically, athletically, if we can move the ball in the air against a talented ACC team.
 

Would need a lot to go right: Brosmer is very good, stay healthy, defense improves a lot.

As others have said, I think we'll know a lot more after the North Carolina game.
 



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