Gophers Favored 2.5 Points in Season Opener UPDATE NOW 1 PT UNDERDOGS

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from what little I've read, the big question on North Carolina - as least as far as the national media is concerned - is at QB.
They have a new DC who is supposed to improve the defense with a more aggressive approach. On offense, Hampton is a really good RB, but there is (quoting) "uncertainty at QB."

so the consensus seems to be that if NCar couldn't break through with Maye at QB, they're not going to do it with lesser QB play.

The Athletic's ACC preview has NCar projected to win 7 or 8 games.
 

A_Slab_of_Bacon said:
I'm a little surprised. I'm not usually the downer but man we always start slow ...
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I dunno, I don't think being up at halftime over tOSU was starting slow, nor was the beatdown we laid on Jerry's team two years ago. Heck, we even started out with a blocked punt and got up on Michigan in 2020.

So I'd say 3 of the past 4 seasons we did not start slow, and then I'm not even sure you could call last year's loss as starting slow - they just had a 1st rounder at QB.
 


GopherTheJugular said:
I dunno, I don't think being up at halftime over tOSU was starting slow, nor was the beatdown we laid on Jerry's team two years ago. Heck, we even started out with a blocked punt and got up on Michigan in 2020.

So I'd say 3 of the past 4 seasons we did not start slow, and then I'm not even sure you could call last year's loss as starting slow - they just had a 1st rounder at QB.
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I'm thinking more along the line of the first few games entirely.
 






If RB Darius Taylor plays, Gophers should be favored at home. Will Taylor play?

If Taylor is out, is RB Marcus Major as good as the coaches say? I think we'll see receptions from the running backs including Sieh Bangura. Taylor at one time was a wide receiver.

I will be there.

Gophers favored to win!
 

short ornery norwegian said:
from what little I've read, the big question on North Carolina - as least as far as the national media is concerned - is at QB.
They have a new DC who is supposed to improve the defense with a more aggressive approach. On offense, Hampton is a really good RB, but there is (quoting) "uncertainty at QB."

so the consensus seems to be that if NCar couldn't break through with Maye at QB, they're not going to do it with lesser QB play.

The Athletic's ACC preview has NCar projected to win 7 or 8 games.
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this same logic will come in to play when USC visits later this year

both were 7-8 win teams last year with top 3 NFL picks at QB, so what will they be now?
 

GopherMarroon said:
If RB Darius Taylor plays, Gophers should be favored at home. Will Taylor play?

If Taylor is out, is RB Marcus Major as good as the coaches say? I think we'll see receptions from the running backs including Sieh Bangura. Taylor at one time was a wide receiver.

I will be there.

Gophers favored to win!
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We have a lot of depth at RB. Not so concerned if Taylor is out for the game. More concerned if #1 WR is out. Depth there is shaky.
 





If it's flipping does that mean we got a couple of our "stars" out for sure now? If Jackson and Taylor are out...we should be underdogs. If they play well, we will win.
 

60's Guy said:
If it's flipping does that mean we got a couple of our "stars" out for sure now? If Jackson and Taylor are out...we should be underdogs. If they play well, we will win.
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I guess it's a possibility that Vegas has an insider who could provide injury intel to sway the line. However, it's more likely it's the volume of betting that's moving the line. The more lopsided the betting action is in one direction, the more sportsbooks stand to win or lose depending on the final result. For this reason, sportsbooks will often move lines in football in an attempt to lower risk and balance action.
 



99Gopher said:
I guess it's a possibility that Vegas has an insider who could provide injury intel to sway the line. However, it's more likely it's the volume of betting that's moving the line. The more lopsided the betting action is in one direction, the more sportsbooks stand to win or lose depending on the final result. For this reason, sportsbooks will often move lines in football in an attempt to lower risk and balance action.
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So, the betting world is saying the Gophers are most assuredly going to get beat. 3 or 4 point swing seems kinda big?... Or no? Days before the game? Not a betting guy... leaning inside injury info or some other handicap for the Gophers that has revealed itself.

PJ does seem to be going overboard how much he likes this team. But as I type that...I believe he's done that before too? And I'm saying that's a smokescreen or wishin' and hopin'. If you really are good you shutup and kick ass.
 

I checked it out online quickly, unless Vegas has intel that says something like Jackson is out and they know it's a fact, I would say based on the abrupt flip that there was a huge bet(s) placed late this afternoon that flipped the line and Vegas wants to flip more action back to Minn. You can see the abrupt flip at 4:42 PM below. There are online sources out there that show this and this is one:

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99Gopher said:
I guess it's a possibility that Vegas has an insider who could provide injury intel to sway the line. However, it's more likely it's the volume of betting that's moving the line. The more lopsided the betting action is in one direction, the more sportsbooks stand to win or lose depending on the final result. For this reason, sportsbooks will often move lines in football in an attempt to lower risk and balance action.
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Agree it’s the money.
 




Connelly bumped UNC up four points in SP+ during the offeseason and I have no idea why.

They are replacing their QB and 4/5 offensive linemen. I normally slavishly follow SP+, but not this week.
 

I never bet on college football the first couple weeks.
 

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