Field of 65 Projection (1/26/09)

[SelectionSunday]

RPI's through games played Sunday, January 25.

America East (1): Vermont (123)

ACC (8): Duke (1), North Carolina (7), Clemson (10), Wake Forest (12), Florida State (18), Virginia Tech (32), Miami-Florida (38), Boston College (56)

Atlantic Sun (1): Jacksonville (141)

Atlantic 10 (2): Xavier (4), Dayton (42)

Big East (8): Pitt (2), UConn (6), Louisville (9), Georgetown (13), Syracuse (16), West Virginia (17), Marquette (21), Villanova (27)

Big Sky (1): Portland State (115)

Big South (1): VMI (118)

Big 10 (6): Michigan State (5), Illinois (14), Ohio State (31), GOPHERS (36), Purdue (39), Michigan (47)

Big 12 (6): Oklahoma (3), Oklahoma State (22), Baylor (24), Texas (26), Mizzou (30), Kansas (35)

Big West (1): Long Beach State (143)

Colonial (1): VCU (55)

Conference USA (1): Memphis (11)

Horizon (1): Butler (8)

Ivy (1): Cornell (98)

Metro Atlantic (1): Siena (15)

MAC (1): Buffalo (67)

MEAC (1): Morgan State (165)

Missouri Valley (1): Northern Iowa (75)

Mountain West (3): Utah (25), BYU (34), UNLV (43)

Northeast (1): Robert Morris (138)

Ohio Valley (1): Austin Peay (106)

Pac 10 (4): Arizona State (19), Washington (28), Cal (33), UCLA (40)

Patriot (1): Holy Cross (185)

SEC (4): Tennessee (20), Florida (29), Kentucky (50), South Carolina (62)

Southern (1): Davidson (37)

Southland (1): Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (128)

SWAC (1): Alabama State (204)

Summit (1): North Dakota State (117)

Sun Belt (1): Western Kentucky (78)

West Coast (2): Gonzaga (51), St. Mary's (52)

WAC (1): Utah State (44)


Non-BCS At-Larges (4): Utah (25), BYU (34), Dayton (42), St. Mary's (52)

Last 4 In: Utah (25), BYU (34), Boston College (56), South Carolina (62)

First 4 Out: Wisconsin (23), USC (54), Penn State (72), Notre Dame (73)

10 to Watch: Northwestern (41), UAB (45), Texas A&M (48), Temple (49), San Diego State (57), Illinois State (58), Stanford (64), Providence (65), Saint Joseph's (66), Mississippi State (81)

 

[GoGoGophers]

It's about time, SS, it's almost February for christ's sake.

Any thoughts on the A-10 possibly being a 1 bid conference? Another slot for the B10?

 

[GoGoGophers]

Double post.

 

[Anderson8284]

Dayton's got a pretty good record so far

Hard to exclude them....

 

[SelectionSunday]

A-10

Could be a 1-bid league, but Dayton (18-2) continues to quietly rack up wins. Dayton's neutral-court win over Marquette looks awfully big, but Flyers aren't out of the woods. They need to keep avoiding bad losses (they already have one). Miami-Ohio is their only other top-50 win.

If you twisted my arm I'd say the A-10 is going to get 2, either Dayton or Temple (but not both) joining Xavier.

 

[GoGoGophers]

One more bad loss and UD will need to win the A10 tourney, IMO.

The scenario that will probably play out will be X getting bounced in the tourney and an auto-bid being the 2nd team in.

 

[SelectionSunday]

Dayton's chances

Because the A-10 is a little down this season, Dayton really needs to perform well in their remaining games vs. decent opponents. The Flyers simply don't have the opportunities for signature wins like teams in the bigger conferences have.

Certainly a split or better with Xavier would help their cause. Beating both Temple (#49) and Saint Joseph's (#66) at home also should be expected. Winning 3 of those 4 games, would put Dayton in pretty good shape for an at-large bid IMO, provided they don't lose more than 2-3 games the rest of the way. They have a lot of games left where they'll simply be trying to avoid the dreaded "bad loss".