Feb. 20: College Hoops Summit: Sounds Likely NCAA Field Will Expand to 76 Next Season

SelectionSunday

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(all rankings NET, all times Central)
ST. THOMAS (21-7 overall, 10-3 Summit League, 12-13 ATS)
NET:
Tommies move up 1 spot to #109
Torvik (T-Rank): Tommies move up 1 spot to #117

Thursday Summit League Results/Highlights
#227 Denver 90, #283 South Dakota 70
-- Carson Johnson scored a game-high 32 points and was 5-of-7 from three-point range as the Pioneers (14-15, 7-7 Summit) moved into fifth place in the league standings. Logan Kinsey added 16 points and five rebounds. Cameron Fens led the Yotes (14-14, 6-7 Summit) with 22 points and 10 rebounds. Vince Buzelis added 19.

#275 North Dakota 85, #355 Kansas City 70 -- The Fighting Sioux (16-14, 10-4 Summit) guaranteed themselves no worse than the #4 seed for the Summit League Tournament behind 23 points, five rebounds, and seven assists from Greyson Uelmen. Zach Kraft added an efficient 12 points (and 7 rebounds) on 4-of-8 three-point shooting. Trey Booker-Lowery led the Roos with 21 points and eight boards.

Friday Summit League Slate
No games

Friday Reach the Summit Selections (43-17, 71.7%, 3 exactas)
None

Versus the Top 5 (NDSU/UST/UND/Omaha/Denver) Head-to-Head
Keeping tabs on how the (current) top five teams are faring head-to-head. The league's regular season champion(s) likely finishes with the best record in this group.

Head-to-Head
1. North Dakota State (5-1)
2. Omaha (4-3)
3. North Dakota (3-4)
4. St. Thomas (2-3)
5. Denver (2-5)

PROJECTED Final Summit League Standings/Seeding (updated through Feb. 19)
1 North Dakota State (14-2)
2 St. Thomas (12-4)
3 North Dakota (10-6)
4 Omaha (9-7) -- win tiebreaker with sweep of Denver
5 Denver (9-7)
6 South Dakota State (8-8)
7 South Dakota (7-9)
8 Oral Roberts (2-14)
9 Kansas City (1-15)

Summit League Best NET (St. Thomas) Resume Snapshot
NET: #109
Torvik (T-Rank): #117
Record vs. DI Opponents: 18-7, 10-3 Summit
True Road Record: 8-5
Projected NCAA Tournament Seed: n/a
Strength of Record: #115
Wins Above Bubble: #105
Overall SOS: #320
Non-Conference SOS: #290
Record/Winning% vs. Quad 1: 0-1 (0%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1 & 2 Combined: 0-3 (0%)
Record/Winning % vs. Quads 1-3 Combined: 5-5 (50%)
Quad 4 (Awful) Losses: 2 (@ #244 Omaha, #275 North Dakota)
Record vs. Projected NCAA Qualifiers: 0-2

Thursday Bubblicious Board Results (updated bubble status)
#53 South Florida 87, Memphis 66 (Bulls remain American auto bid placeholder)

Friday Bubblicious Board Slate
#45 VCU @ Saint Louis, 6 (ESPN2)
#32 Indiana @ Purdue, 7 (FOX)
Bowling Green @ #48 Miami U, 7:30 (CBSSN)

Friday Game of the Day
VCU @ Saint Louis

Bubblicious Snapshots (#41/#50/#52/#68)
A daily look at the bubble and watching it evolve & shrink leading up to Selection Sunday:

#41 (UCLA) NCAA Tournament Resume (best NET left out of '25 field)
NET: #41
Torvik (T-Rank): #42
Record vs. DI Opponents: 17-9, 9-6 Big Ten
True Road Record: 3-5
Strength of Record: #45
Wins Above Bubble: #45
Overall SOS: #46
Non-Conference SOS: #135
Record/Winning% vs. Quad 1: 2-7 (22.2%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1 & 2 Combined: 6-9 (40%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1-3 Combined: 10-9 (52.6%)
Quad 4 (Awful) Losses: 0
Record vs. Projected NCAA Qualifiers: 1-7 (win #8 Purdue)

#50 (Washington) NCAA Tournament Resume (mythical bubble cutline)
NET: #50
Torvik (T-Rank): #46
Record vs. DI Opponents: 13-13, 5-10 Big Ten
True Road Record: 3-7
Strength of Record: #78
Wins Above Bubble: #74
Overall SOS: #21
Non-Conference SOS: #238
Record/Winning% vs. Quad 1: 1-9 (10%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1 & 2 Combined: 5-12 (29.4%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1-3 Combined: 8-13 (38.1%)
Quad 4 (Awful) Losses: 0
Record vs. Projected NCAA Qualifiers: 1-9 (win @ #52 USC)

#52 (USC) NCAA Tournament Resume (worst at-large NET to make '25 field)
NET: #52
Torvik (T-Rank): #50
Record vs. DI Opponents: 17-8, 7-8 Big Ten
True Road Record: 5-4
Strength of Record: #39
Wins Above Bubble: #37
Overall SOS: #38
Non-Conference SOS: #240
Record/Winning% vs. Quad 1: 1-6 (14.3%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1 & 2 Combined: 9-7 (56.3%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1-3 Combined: 14-8 (63.6%)
Quad 4 (Awful) Losses: 0
Record vs. Projected NCAA Qualifiers: 2-5 (wins #32 Indiana, @ #36 Wisconsin)

#68 (Grand Canyon) NCAA Tournament Resume (if field was best NET 68)
NET: #68
Torvik (T-Rank): #48
Record vs. DI Opponents: 17-9, 10-5 Mountain West
True Road Record: 5-4
Strength of Record: #77
Wins Above Bubble: #65
Overall SOS: #84
Non-Conference SOS: #201
Record/Winning% vs. Quad 1: 3-4 (42.9%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1 & 2 Combined: 6-7 (46.2%)
Record/Winning% vs. Quads 1-3 Combined: 8-8 (50%)
Quad 4 (Awful) Losses: 1 (#203 Youngstown State)
Record vs. Projected NCAA Qualifiers: 3-2 (wins #22 Utah State, @ #44 San Diego State, #44 San Diego State)

Friday Pick to Click (59-46, 56.2%, W-1 streak) (post-Super Bowl 5-6, 45.5%)
@ Miami U -8.5 over Bowling Green

Friday Outright +7.5 or More ‘Dog (22-83, 21%, L-1 streak)
VCU (+7.5) outright @ Saint Louis

Deep Thoughts, by Buzz Studley
It's sounding like the NCAA Tournament field will expand to 76 teams next season. Sigh.

As the bubble sits today, here's my estimation of the eight additional at-large teams that would make the field if there were 76 invitees this season: Cal (18-8), San Diego State (18-7), Seton Hall (18-9), Stanford (16-10), TCU (16-10), UCLA (17-9), VCU (21-6), and Virginia Tech (17-10).

Be honest, would we really need those teams in the tournament? The only one in this group I'd want to see in the field is VCU.
 
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