Connelly projections on Big Ten West 2022

swingman

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Connelly numbers project Minnesota, Wisconsin, NE, Purdue and Iowa as all pretty tight, with WI and MN the two best.

(WI #10 SP-plus in nation, MN #21).

"Wisconsin, Minnesota and Iowa are once again balancing potentially elite defenses and offenses with clear question marks. Purdue has balance and experience, but is missing maybe its two most important people from last season (receiver David Bell and defensive coordinator Brad Lambert). Nebraska is capable of almost literally anything. All five teams are projected within one win of the top of the standings. Buckle up."

(Projects WI at 5.8 W in Big, MN and NE at 5.4, PU at 4.9, IA at 4.8; WI at 8.7 total wins, MN at 8.3, NE at 7.6, PU at 7.3, IA at 7.3).

"Minnesota ranked seventh in offensive SP+ in 2019, Ciarrocca's last season as coordinator, but Ciarrocca left for Penn State and got dismissed after one season. His version of the Gopher offense was a platonic ideal of rushing and vertical shots on wrong-footed defenders. Tanner Morgan threw for 3,253 yards and 30 touchdowns that season, but has managed only 3,418 yards and 17 touchdowns in the 20 games since. Unlike Mertz, Morgan has an experienced receiving corps at his disposal, led by senior Chris Autman-Bell and big-play former blue-chipper Dylan Wright. He's also got running back Mohamed Ibrahim again after the senior missed almost all of last season with injury."

"These (WI and MN) are very similar teams -- physical, beefy and defense-oriented. Whichever coordinator fares better out of the gate might be the play-caller for the West champion."

 
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Honestly, one of the sadder things about the expansion of the conference is losing out on what is a really fun division in the West. All the teams have a chance to compete with each other and there are no dominant forces keeping the rest down the way there are in the East.

Here's hoping we go out and win the West outright in what is almost certainly its final year.
 

More love for Nebby. What are these people seeing to make them think Nebraska is going to be good?
 

From his list of ten favorite players in division:

WR Chris Autman-Bell, Minnesota. Returning Big Ten receivers who both ran at least 190 routes last season and averaged at least 2.6 receiving yards per route run: Ohio State's Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Michigan State's Jayden Reed and Autman-Bell. That's good company.

C John Michael Schmitz, Minnesota. The Minnesota line is getting a makeover, but the nearly error-free Schmitz is a good starting point. Per Sports Info Solutions, he attempted 801 blocks last season and blew just three of them -- one rushing and two passing.
 

How's wisconsin going to be top 10 going 8.7-3.3?

Some day, wisconsin and Iowa State should meet in a data center in Dubuque and have their computer selves play a game. Will be the finest football game ever played. Both teams lose.
 


How's wisconsin going to be top 10 going 8.7-3.3?

Some day, wisconsin and Iowa State should meet in a data center in Dubuque and have their computer selves play a game. Will be the finest football game ever played. Both teams lose.
They'll have 1.3 losses against the Gophs!
 


Connelly numbers project Minnesota, Wisconsin, NE, Purdue and Iowa as all pretty tight, with WI and MN the two best.

(WI #10 SP-plus in nation, MN #21).

"Wisconsin, Minnesota and Iowa are once again balancing potentially elite defenses and offenses with clear question marks. Purdue has balance and experience, but is missing maybe its two most important people from last season (receiver David Bell and defensive coordinator Brad Lambert). Nebraska is capable of almost literally anything. All five teams are projected within one win of the top of the standings. Buckle up."

(Projects WI at 5.8 W in Big, MN and NE at 5.4, PU at 4.9, IA at 4.8; WI at 8.7 total wins, MN at 8.3, NE at 7.6, PU at 7.3, IA at 7.3).

"Minnesota ranked seventh in offensive SP+ in 2019, Ciarrocca's last season as coordinator, but Ciarrocca left for Penn State and got dismissed after one season. His version of the Gopher offense was a platonic ideal of rushing and vertical shots on wrong-footed defenders. Tanner Morgan threw for 3,253 yards and 30 touchdowns that season, but has managed only 3,418 yards and 17 touchdowns in the 20 games since. Unlike Mertz, Morgan has an experienced receiving corps at his disposal, led by senior Chris Autman-Bell and big-play former blue-chipper Dylan Wright. He's also got running back Mohamed Ibrahim again after the senior missed almost all of last season with injury."

"These (WI and MN) are very similar teams -- physical, beefy and defense-oriented. Whichever coordinator fares better out of the gate might be the play-caller for the West champion."

Kirk Ciarrocca couldn't have timed it better to return. Let's see some RB & WR recruits from Cali in the coming years.
 




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