Computer (Sagarin) isn't impressed

Sparlimb

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Yikes, has us #57 beind: Indiana (3-5), Northwestern (4-5), Washington St (4-5), Penn St (5-3), TCU (3-6), Nebraska (6-2)

Not that I care. I'm happy with 7 wins no matter what. And I like our chances to get to 8 next week...

Jeff Sagarin Computer Rankings
 

Good let's welcome PSU as 10 Pt dogs. For the 4th straight week! I like it, it fits us, cuz everyone knows what a crappy team we are. If we welcome Wisky at 8-2 we'll be 15 pt dogs & I like that, too.
 

It's the light non-con schedule and the lopsided loss to Iowa. What the model doesn't take into account is improvement and how you're playing at the moment.
 

Computer rankings barely matter.

The BCS is pretty much straight up voting. Computers "account for 33%" but it's split between 4-6 different ones. In the end, the computer rankings all average themselves out to be inconsequential, meaning all a voter has to do is tank a team one spot lower to move them significantly. A poll can have you 20 spots out of norm, and it's tossed out and doesn't matter.
 

I don't understand exactly how these work, but how are we behind an Indiana team that has a record several games worse and we beat head to head, as well as a Nebraska team with two losses who we beat and a Northwestern team who we beat?
 


I don't understand exactly how these work, but how are we behind an Indiana team that has a record several games worse and we beat head to head, as well as a Nebraska team with two losses who we beat and a Northwestern team who we beat?

Because it is a ****ty computer program that tries to rank teams full of fallible human beings that are more complicated than simple stats.
 

Computer rankings barely matter.

The BCS is pretty much straight up voting. Computers "account for 33%" but it's split between 4-6 different ones. In the end, the computer rankings all average themselves out to be inconsequential, meaning all a voter has to do is tank a team one spot lower to move them significantly. A poll can have you 20 spots out of norm, and it's tossed out and doesn't matter.
Even with that said, the Sagarin rankings that the BCS uses has us ranked at 37 because the BCS doesn't hurt margin of victory.

The one the OP listed is the one that Sagarin believes is more accurate because it takes margin of victory into account, and with that being the standard, getting beat by 16 to Iowa and 29 to Michigan is going to hurt quite a bit.
 




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