Comparing the Big Ten's 4 Bubble Teams

[SelectionSunday]

My hybrid at-large rankings (for NCAA Tournament selection) produce the following pecking order for the Big Ten's 4 bubble teams. Yes, I'm very aware these criteria don't precisely match what the Selection Committee uses.

1 Minnesota (22)
2 Iowa (23.5)
3 Indiana (26.5)
4 Ohio State (28)

NET/KPI Average Ranking
1 Iowa (#43)
2 Minnesota (#49)
3 Indiana (#51.5)
4 Ohio State (#52.5)

Quad 1 Wins/Record (ordered first by number of wins, then winning %)
1 Indiana (6-9)
2 Iowa & Ohio State (4-9)
4 Minnesota (3-9)

Quad 1/2 Combined Wins/Record (ordered first by number of wins, then winning %)
1 Iowa (11-9)
2 Minnesota (10-12)
3 Ohio State (8-12)
4 Indiana (8-14)

Quad 3/4 Winning Percentage
1 Indiana & Minnesota (9-0)
3 Iowa & Ohio State (10-1)

Best 3 Wins Total by NET Ranking
1 Indiana (31) -- @ Michigan State (8), Michigan State (8), Wisconsin (15)
2 Minnesota (64) -- Purdue (11), @ Wisconsin (15), vs. Washington (38)
3 Iowa (82) -- Michigan (10), Iowa State (23), @ Penn State (49)
4 Ohio State (130) -- @ Cincinnati (27), @ Indiana (51), @ Nebraska (52)

True Road Record (ordered first by number of wins, then winning %)
1 Ohio State (5-7)
2 Iowa (4-6)
3 Indiana (3-9)
4 Minnesota (2-9)

Road/Neutral Record (by winning %)
1 Iowa (7-6)
2 Ohio State (6-7)
3 Minnesota (6-9)
4 Indiana (4-9)

Average NET Win
1 Minnesota (117)
2 Indiana (128)
3 Ohio State (133)
4 Iowa (135)

Overall & Non-Conference SOS Average
1 Minnesota (101)
2 Ohio State (112.5)
3 Indiana (130.5)
4 Iowa (201)

Record vs. Teams Under Consideration for the Field of 68 (by winning %)
1 Iowa & Minnesota (5-8)
3 Ohio State (5-10)
4 Indiana (5-11)

 

[dex8425]

Wow, they're all a lot closer than I would have thought. Indiana has the best wins. Iowa has the most wins but easiest schedule. Another reason Big ten conference record doesn't mean much.

 

[Bigeddysprings]

I think all four are deserving to be in. Indiana is trending up. Iowa is trending down. TOSU is trending down, Minnesota is even. Iowa and TOSU need badly to get off the schneid.

 

[SelectionSunday]

Wow, they're all a lot closer than I would have thought. Indiana has the best wins. Iowa has the most wins but easiest schedule. Another reason Big ten conference record doesn't mean much.

Yep, and the committee will be very aware of the nuances of the schedules. I was slightly and pleasantly surprised when the Gophers came out ahead of Iowa. Obviously, with these teams so close, how they do in the Big Ten Tournament could drastically flip things.

 

[SelectionSunday]

I think all four are deserving to be in. Indiana is trending up. Iowa is trending down. TOSU is trending down, Minnesota is even. Iowa and TOSU need badly to get off the schneid.

I couldn't justify putting Ohio State in unless they win 2 games in Chicago. They'll be really fortunate to get in even if they just beat Indiana.