BleedGopher
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per the Boston Herald:
When Boston College announced it was joining the Atlantic Coast Conference back in 2003, the news was met with great enthusiasm. The school’s “revenue” teams—football and basketball—were strong, and theoretically would only get stronger. But things haven’t worked out that way, and after year 11 in the ACC, it’d be hard to say that anyone is really feeling that enthusiasm any longer. The time may have come for BC to consider switching conferences, because there is a mountain of data that suggests that they can’t compete with the big boys and girls.
Now, it’s pretty easy to paint that picture at the moment. Neither the men’s football or basketball teams won a conference game this year, and neither will have a postseason after finishing with winning percentages of .250 and .219, respectively. The men’s basketball team became just the sixth team in ACC history to go winless in conference play for an entire season. The women’s basketball program didn’t fare much better, as they only won two conference games, and finished 15-16 overall. It’s hard to see how a school in such a big conference could have a bleaker season from such key sports teams.
The reality, unfortunately, is that this has become a pattern for BC. The 2015-2016 seasons may be the nadir of said pattern, but it’s been a while since BC football or basketball was any good.
Let’s start with men’s basketball. Using Sports-Reference’s Play Index, we find that of the 65 schools in the five major conferences, only 15 have failed to score 60 points in men’s basketball contests with greater frequency than BC since 2010-2011 (six seasons). BC failed to score 60 points in 59 of their games in this span, which comes to more than 30 percent of their games. Even more damning, they failed to score 50 points – which is a pretty low bar—19 times. Only six of the 65 major conference schools – Texas Christian (TCU), Nebraska, Northwestern, Texas Tech, Utah and Clemson – failed to score 50 points in a game more frequently.
Simply put, BC is overmatched in this conference. In the 11 years before they joined the ACC, BC men’s basketball had an average strength of schedule score of 6.56, which is high – SOS is scaled so that zero is average. Compare that to Boston University, which had a -6.60 SOS this season, and have only had a positive SOS one time in their history (0.87, in 1959-1960). However, in the 11 years they’ve been in the ACC, BC’s SOS has gone up, to an average of 7.37. This season, BC’s SOS was 7.92, which ranked 47th in the country. Of the teams in the top 50, BC easily had the worst winning percentage. Last year, BC’s SOS ranked 34th, and only three of the 33 teams with a harder SOS tallied a worse winning percentage than BC’s .406 mark.
http://www.boston.com/sports/basket...ing-the-acc/8gNkvLLUJr9Gb7nhnBe6AI/story.html
Go Gophers!!
When Boston College announced it was joining the Atlantic Coast Conference back in 2003, the news was met with great enthusiasm. The school’s “revenue” teams—football and basketball—were strong, and theoretically would only get stronger. But things haven’t worked out that way, and after year 11 in the ACC, it’d be hard to say that anyone is really feeling that enthusiasm any longer. The time may have come for BC to consider switching conferences, because there is a mountain of data that suggests that they can’t compete with the big boys and girls.
Now, it’s pretty easy to paint that picture at the moment. Neither the men’s football or basketball teams won a conference game this year, and neither will have a postseason after finishing with winning percentages of .250 and .219, respectively. The men’s basketball team became just the sixth team in ACC history to go winless in conference play for an entire season. The women’s basketball program didn’t fare much better, as they only won two conference games, and finished 15-16 overall. It’s hard to see how a school in such a big conference could have a bleaker season from such key sports teams.
The reality, unfortunately, is that this has become a pattern for BC. The 2015-2016 seasons may be the nadir of said pattern, but it’s been a while since BC football or basketball was any good.
Let’s start with men’s basketball. Using Sports-Reference’s Play Index, we find that of the 65 schools in the five major conferences, only 15 have failed to score 60 points in men’s basketball contests with greater frequency than BC since 2010-2011 (six seasons). BC failed to score 60 points in 59 of their games in this span, which comes to more than 30 percent of their games. Even more damning, they failed to score 50 points – which is a pretty low bar—19 times. Only six of the 65 major conference schools – Texas Christian (TCU), Nebraska, Northwestern, Texas Tech, Utah and Clemson – failed to score 50 points in a game more frequently.
Simply put, BC is overmatched in this conference. In the 11 years before they joined the ACC, BC men’s basketball had an average strength of schedule score of 6.56, which is high – SOS is scaled so that zero is average. Compare that to Boston University, which had a -6.60 SOS this season, and have only had a positive SOS one time in their history (0.87, in 1959-1960). However, in the 11 years they’ve been in the ACC, BC’s SOS has gone up, to an average of 7.37. This season, BC’s SOS was 7.92, which ranked 47th in the country. Of the teams in the top 50, BC easily had the worst winning percentage. Last year, BC’s SOS ranked 34th, and only three of the 33 teams with a harder SOS tallied a worse winning percentage than BC’s .406 mark.
http://www.boston.com/sports/basket...ing-the-acc/8gNkvLLUJr9Gb7nhnBe6AI/story.html
Go Gophers!!