Blind Resume Part III (Pick 2 of 4)

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SelectionSunday

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Below are snapshot resumes of 4 bubble teams, with no names, conference affiliation, or RPIs provided. You are part of the Selection Committee, and there are only 2 at-large bids available. Which 2 teams would you select?

I'll reveal the teams and final results at 3:30 p.m. If you think you know who any of these teams are, I ask that you not post the name(s). Good luck, and there are no right or wrong answers.

Team A
Record: 21-8, 9-5
Overall Strength of Schedule: 49
Nonconference SOS: 62
Road/Neutral Record vs. RPI Top 100: 4-5
Record vs. RPI Top 50: 3-3
Record vs. RPI Top 100: 9-5
Best 3 Wins by RPI: vs. #15, #28, #44 (total = 87)
Bad Losses (RPI 101+): 3 (#105, #108, #215)

Team B
Record: 20-7, 10-4
Overall Strength of Schedule: 90
Nonconference SOS: 108
Road/Neutral Record vs. RPI Top 100: 1-5
Record vs. RPI Top 50: 2-2
Record vs. RPI Top 100: 5-6
Best 3 Wins by RPI: #29, @ #30, #55 (total = 114)
Bad Losses (RPI 101+): 1 (#194)

Team C
Record: 20-9, 11-5
Overall Strength of Schedule: 61
Nonconference SOS: 57
Road/Neutral Record vs. RPI Top 100: 3-7
Record vs. RPI Top 50: 1-4
Record vs. RPI Top 100: 6-9
Best 3 Wins by RPI: #32, #56, @ #57 (total = 145)
Bad Losses (RPI 101+): 0

Team D
Record: 17-11, 9-7
Overall Strength of Schedule: 41
Nonconference SOS: 41
Road/Neutral Record vs. RPI Top 100: 2-7
Record vs. RPI Top 50: 2-3
Record vs. RPI Top 100: 8-9
Best 3 Wins by RPI: #6, #37, #51 (total = 94)
Bad Losses (RPI 101+): 2 (@ #129, #129)
 

I have A for sure. Pretty strong schedule, and a strong record against top 100 teams.

B, C and D are toss ups for me, but I will go with D and credit them for a tougher schedule than the rest, and some quality wins.
 

A for sure and a toss up after that. Between C and D with D getting my vote.
 

A and C. A is a lock, and no bad losses sealed C for me.
 

A is easy. B is meh. I'll give the 2nd spot to D over C based on more games, more wins, and/or a better winning % against Top 50 and Top 100 squads.
 




A is easy for me. I'm waffling on C or D...I'll go D with the really nice win, couple more top 100 wins, and the bad losses are against the same team.
 





A and D are our winners

I also chose A & D.

The final tally (with RPI added):

A (#42 Temple) = 7
D (#56 Tennessee) = 7
C (#51 Kentucky) = 2
B (#44 LaSalle) = 0

As a group, we decided Temple was an obvious choice.

This particular comparison opened my eyes to one thing. In my most recent Field of 68 updates I have overestimated LaSalle's position relative to the bubble cutline. I've had LaSalle "safely" in the field, but these numbers suggest the Explorers don't have much margin for error. They certainly can't afford a slip-up tonight vs. George Washington, nor can they afford to get dumped early in the A-10 tournament.
 





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