Big Ten 2023 Projected Standings

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by LucasRoss Sports, April 4, 2023.

Big Ten Projected Standings

Big Ten West:
1. Iowa 8-4, 6-3
2. Purdue 8-4, 5-4
3. Minnesota 7-5, 5-4
4. Wisconsin 7-5, 5-4
5. Illinois 6-6, 4-5
6. Nebraska 6-6, 4-5
7. Northwestern 2-10, 0-9

Is Purdue really that strong?

 

by LucasRoss Sports, April 4, 2023.

Big Ten Projected Standings

Big Ten West:
1. Iowa 8-4, 6-3
2. Purdue 8-4, 5-4
3. Minnesota 7-5, 5-4
4. Wisconsin 7-5, 5-4
5. Illinois 6-6, 4-5
6. Nebraska 6-6, 4-5
7. Northwestern 2-10, 0-9

Is Purdue really that strong?

No. Purdues schedule is RIDICULOUS too. I actually think they could have an awful year even if they are decent. The easiest two games in the first 10 are @ Virginia Tech and @ Nebraska

First 10 games for them:

Fresno (won 10 last year after starting 1-4, losses to USC and Oregon state)

@ Va Tech - awful last year but I wouldn’t say ever easy going to Blacksburg…2-3 at home…2 of the 3 losses were by 6 or less

Syracuse - beat them last year

Wisconsin
Illinois
@iowa
Ohio state
@ Nebraska
@ Michigan
Minnesota


They could be 3-7 even if they are a decent team. If they’re below average or start slow, they could be 1-9 or 0-10

People think this guy is going to have Purdue playing Illinois level defense. But not sure they have 4 nfl guys on the back end. And Hudson Card got benched.

They are the hardest team to predict IMO, but I don’t think they’re winning 8 against that schedule.
 

by LucasRoss Sports, April 4, 2023.

Big Ten Projected Standings

Big Ten West:
1. Iowa 8-4, 6-3
2. Purdue 8-4, 5-4
3. Minnesota 7-5, 5-4
4. Wisconsin 7-5, 5-4
5. Illinois 6-6, 4-5
6. Nebraska 6-6, 4-5
7. Northwestern 2-10, 0-9

Is Purdue really that strong?

Mine:
West
Iowa 10-2, 7-2
Minnesota 9-3, 6-3
Illinois 8-4, 6-3
Wisconsin 7-5, 4-5
Nebraska 6-6, 3-6
Purdue 4-8, 2-7
Northwestern 2-10, 0-9

East
Ohio state 12-0, 9-0
Michigan 11-1, 8-1
Penn State 10-2, 7-2
Maryland 8-4, 5-4
Rutgers 6-6, 3-6
Michigan state 4-8, 2-7
Indiana 2-10, 0-9
 


1688427420954.png

Not familiar with KFORD but I think their metrics look good. As much as I hate to see the W/L projections
 
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Reasonable picks except I’d be shocked if Purdue wins 8
 

by LucasRoss Sports, April 4, 2023.

Big Ten Projected Standings

Big Ten West:
1. Iowa 8-4, 6-3
2. Purdue 8-4, 5-4
3. Minnesota 7-5, 5-4
4. Wisconsin 7-5, 5-4
5. Illinois 6-6, 4-5
6. Nebraska 6-6, 4-5
7. Northwestern 2-10, 0-9

Is Purdue really that strong?

FIFY.....

Big Ten Projected Standings

Big Ten West:
1. Iowa 8-4, 6-3
2. Minnesota 7-5, 5-4
3. Purdue 6-6, 4-5
4. Illinois 6-6, 4-5
5. Wisconsin 5-7, 3-6
6. Nebraska 5-7, 3-6
7. Northwestern 4-8, 2-7
 

by LucasRoss Sports, April 4, 2023.

Big Ten Projected Standings

Big Ten West:
1. Iowa 8-4, 6-3
2. Purdue 8-4, 5-4
3. Minnesota 7-5, 5-4
4. Wisconsin 7-5, 5-4
5. Illinois 6-6, 4-5
6. Nebraska 6-6, 4-5
7. Northwestern 2-10, 0-9

Is Purdue really that strong?

Wait... they are saying that Nebraska isn't a contender for the National Championship? Huh.
 

View attachment 25920

Not familiar with KFORD but I think their metrics look good. As much as I hate to see the W/L projections
KFORD somehow how has Wisconsin way inflated. Not sure why. I think their model think mordecai is going to do to big ten defenses what he did to American defenses…which was dominate them in wins and be Mertz in losses.

KFORD has gophers favored in 7 games.
At least a 37% chance to win in 10 games.
Over a 63% chance to win 6 games.
The model overrates WI but does make me feel good about my floor is 6 and ceiling is 10 prediction.
 
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KFORD somehow how has Wisconsin way inflated. Not sure why. I think their model think mordecai is going to do to big ten defenses what he did to American defenses…which was dominate them in wins and be Mertz in losses.

KFORD has gophers favored in 7 games.
At least a 37% chance to win in 10 games.
Over a 63% chance to win 6 games.
The model overrates WI but does make me feel good about my floor is 6 and ceiling is 10 prediction.
The Gophers certainly have come a long way. They need a ton of hard work in ramping up recruiting to new heights to separate themselves from the middle of the pack.
 

The Gophers certainly have come a long way. They need a ton of hard work in ramping up recruiting to new heights to separate themselves from the middle of the pack.
Maybe that’s true and possible. But I’m not sure I agree.

The way they separate themselves from the middle of the pack is with consistency, identity, and hard work.

If the goal is to become 1993-2019 wisconsin, dantonio Michigan state, etc. I don’t think it’s going to be done in recruiting, it think it’s going to be done at the football complex.
 





53% of their simulations have us winning at least 7 games this season. Pretty good
 

No. Purdues schedule is RIDICULOUS too. I actually think they could have an awful year even if they are decent. The easiest two games in the first 10 are @ Virginia Tech and @ Nebraska

First 10 games for them:

Fresno (won 10 last year after starting 1-4, losses to USC and Oregon state)

@ Va Tech - awful last year but I wouldn’t say ever easy going to Blacksburg…2-3 at home…2 of the 3 losses were by 6 or less

Syracuse - beat them last year

Wisconsin
Illinois
@iowa
Ohio state
@ Nebraska
@ Michigan
Minnesota


They could be 3-7 even if they are a decent team. If they’re below average or start slow, they could be 1-9 or 0-10

People think this guy is going to have Purdue playing Illinois level defense. But not sure they have 4 nfl guys on the back end. And Hudson Card got benched.

They are the hardest team to predict IMO, but I don’t think they’re winning 8 against that schedule.
If they are 3-7 at that point, I wouldn't call them a decent team. Sure, there are 7 games that, individually, would be very lovable for a decent team, but a decent team should also find a way to win more than that against that schedule. If you lose to all of the good opponents on your schedule with that many chances, you aren't that good.
 

If they are 3-7 at that point, I wouldn't call them a decent team. Sure, there are 7 games that, individually, would be very lovable for a decent team, but a decent team should also find a way to win more than that against that schedule. If you lose to all of the good opponents on your schedule with that many chances, you aren't that good.
If they are 3-7 at that point they are the type of team that goes 6-6 or 7-5 against 80% of historical big ten schedule. iMO that’s decent
 




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